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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 12, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 3, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 96% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Forsberg–Hejduk–StastnyForsberg–Hejduk–DucheneYip–Winnik–O'ReillyJones–Porter–StastnyPorter–Yip–DucheneJones–Winnik–O'ReillyDupuis–Winnik–McLeodDupuis–McLeod–O'ReillyYip–McLeod–StastnyHejduk–Porter–DucheneKoci–Dupuis–McLeodJones–Porter–DucheneJones–Porter–O'ReillyO'Byrne–WilsonHunwick–ShattenkirkWilson–ShattenkirkLiles–GaunceO'Byrne–HunwickO'Byrne–GaunceHunwick–WilsonWilson–GaunceHunwick–GaunceLiles–O'ByrneLiles–WilsonLiles–Shattenkirk
Fisher–Erat–Kostitsyn2:370.16–0.082:460.04–0.001:140.13–0.000:520.06–0.000:480.06–0.000:330.00–0.000:480.00–0.033:570.14–0.083:030.17–0.012:330.00–0.010:530.06–0.000:500.08–0.000:360.22–0.020:380.00–0.00
Sullivan–Legwand–Hornqvist1:040.01–0.071:500.07–0.011:050.00–0.063:280.30–0.002:240.23–0.060:370.07–0.000:410.07–0.000:520.17–0.001:080.00–0.01
Smithson–Ward–Wilson1:130.14–0.001:010.00–0.002:190.14–0.190:340.00–0.000:370.05–0.000:390.01–0.000:540.11–0.000:350.00–0.001:480.07–0.192:130.00–0.001:200.14–0.001:050.11–0.000:370.05–0.001:250.11–0.00
Dumont–Halischuk–Spaling1:390.45–0.000:300.05–0.001:160.12–0.000:340.09–0.001:190.00–0.00
Smithson–Ward–Spaling0:580.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:580.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Legwand–Hornqvist–Wilson0:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Suter–Weber3:200.16–0.073:400.04–0.000:590.00–0.001:290.06–0.131:060.00–0.081:160.37–0.000:390.01–0.000:330.06–0.000:360.00–0.000:330.00–0.005:160.45–0.103:390.22–0.082:530.00–0.021:330.00–0.001:040.08–0.000:490.00–0.100:430.00–0.00
Klein–Sulzer0:430.00–0.080:500.33–0.001:330.08–0.190:320.00–0.000:480.05–0.000:430.00–0.000:400.04–0.002:320.39–0.193:220.27–0.010:490.08–0.000:340.09–0.002:030.12–0.080:430.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
O'Brien–Franson0:480.00–0.000:320.00–0.160:340.00–0.000:520.06–0.001:020.11–0.000:320.01–0.002:110.00–0.161:400.01–0.001:190.06–0.001:020.11–0.000:530.17–0.001:080.11–0.00
Klein–O'Brien2:310.14–0.081:040.00–0.011:220.01–0.000:340.00–0.040:350.00–0.001:470.00–0.161:010.00–0.000:580.14–0.000:340.00–0.001:030.00–0.000:360.00–0.01
Sulzer–Franson0:360.00–0.00
Klein–Franson0:390.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmithson FWard FWilson FFisher FErat FKostitsyn FLegwand FSullivan FHornqvist FSpaling FHalischuk FDumont FWeber DSuter DKlein DSulzer DFranson DO'Brien DRinne GPorter FStastny FJones FDuchene FHejduk FYip FForsberg FDupuis FWinnik FMcLeod FO'Reilly FKoci FO'Byrne DWilson DHunwick DShattenkirk DGaunce DLiles DBudaj G
NSHCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan WilsonCOL2925:450:532:1449
Shea WeberNSH2725:410:572:0046
Ryan O'ByrneCOL3124:060:471:43311
Ryan SuterNSH2524:040:582:0056
Kevin KleinNSH2323:091:001:4851
Paul StastnyCOL2520:590:501:3415
Matt HunwickCOL2920:490:431:2735
Kevin ShattenkirkCOL2720:240:451:4462
Martin EratNSH2620:140:471:0961
Sergei KostitsynNSH2619:300:451:0772
Shane O'BrienNSH2219:040:521:3932
Milan HejdukCOL2218:530:521:3334
David LegwandNSH2618:300:431:1933
Mike FisherNSH2418:100:451:1631
Matt DucheneCOL2218:050:491:4052
Joel WardNSH2617:340:411:2181
Peter ForsbergCOL2017:320:531:2624
Patric HornqvistNSH2417:130:431:1961
Ryan O'ReillyCOL2216:430:461:2024
Jerred SmithsonNSH2616:140:371:0274
Brandon YipCOL2015:590:481:2342
David JonesCOL2015:490:471:2011
Daniel WinnikCOL1915:150:481:2035
Kevin PorterCOL1714:380:521:4321
Steve SullivanNSH2414:320:361:1442
Alexander SulzerNSH1614:170:541:3730
Philippe DupuisCOL1813:270:451:2618
John-Michael LilesCOL1813:030:441:5753
Colin WilsonNSH1712:590:461:0961
Cody FransonNSH1712:380:451:3632
Nick SpalingNSH1811:200:381:1623
Cody McLeodCOL1311:170:521:3713
Cameron GaunceCOL1511:110:451:5703
J-P DumontNSH95:510:391:0410
Matt HalischukNSH85:360:421:1510
David KociCOL32:040:410:5500