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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 5, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

Montréal Canadiens

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.

TBL winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:04Shot by Jones, saved by Price
  3. P1 2:15Shot by Stamkos, saved by Price
  4. P1 2:21Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Price
  5. P1 3:29Shot by Moen, saved by Roloson
  6. P1 3:59Shot by Purcell, saved by Price
  7. P1 5:27Goal by Gill (Gionta, Plekanec)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Ritola, Stamkos, Hedman · MTL Gill, Gionta, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty

  8. P1 6:14Shot by Pyatt, saved by Roloson
  9. P1 8:08Bergenheim: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Hall, Moore, Bergenheim, Hedman · MTL Sopel, Halpern, Plekanec, Weber, Pacioretty

  10. P1 8:41Goal by Desharnais (Kostitsyn)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Hall, Thompson, Jones · MTL Cammalleri, Plekanec, Wisniewski, Kostitsyn, Desharnais

  11. P1 9:01Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Price
  12. P1 10:05Shot by Thompson, saved by Price
  13. P1 12:03Shot by Thompson, saved by Price
  14. P1 12:41Shot by Hall, saved by Price
  15. P1 13:12Shot by Gionta, saved by Roloson
  16. P1 13:17Shot by Gionta, saved by Roloson
  17. P1 15:14Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Roloson
  18. P1 15:26Shot by Weber, saved by Roloson
  19. P1 16:46Shot by Gill, saved by Roloson
  20. P1 17:35Shot by Purcell, saved by Price
  21. P1 18:14Shot by Stamkos, saved by Price
  22. P1 18:29Shot by Moore, saved by Price
  23. P1 18:36Shot by Hedman, saved by Price
  24. P1 19:21Shot by Stamkos, saved by Price
  25. P1 19:28Eller: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Brewer, St. Louis, Gagne, Stamkos · MTL Gill, Moen, Kostitsyn, Subban, Eller

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Price5v4
  29. P2 1:23Shot by Purcell, saved by Price5v4
  30. P2 1:25Goal by Moore (Kubina, Purcell)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Gagne, Moore, Bergeron, Purcell · MTL Sopel, Halpern, Cammalleri, Weber

  31. P2 1:51Shot by Moore, saved by Price
  32. P2 2:05Shot by St. Louis, saved by Price
  33. P2 2:11Shot by Brewer, saved by Price
  34. P2 3:11Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Price
  35. P2 3:56Pouliot: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Ritola, Stamkos, Hedman · MTL Gill, Pouliot, Pyatt, Desharnais, Subban

  36. P2 5:19Shot by Gomez, saved by Roloson5v4
  37. P2 5:20Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Stamkos · MTL Hamrlik, Sopel, Gomez, Gionta

  38. P2 5:35Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Price4v4
  39. P2 8:39Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Price
  40. P2 9:04Shot by Gionta, saved by Roloson
  41. P2 9:11Shot by Gionta, saved by Roloson
  42. P2 11:40Shot by Ritola, saved by Price
  43. P2 11:47Shot by Jones, saved by Price
  44. P2 12:01Shot by Ritola, saved by Price
  45. P2 12:12Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Roloson
  46. P2 12:26Stamkos: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos · MTL Gill, Halpern, Cammalleri, Plekanec, Subban

  47. P2 12:53Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Roloson4v5
  48. P2 13:10Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Roloson4v5
  49. P2 14:03Shot by Plekanec, saved by Roloson4v5
  50. P2 14:05Goal by Pacioretty (Plekanec, Subban)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Hall, Bergenheim, Hedman · MTL Gomez, Gionta, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty

  51. P2 14:42Shot by Kubina, saved by Price
  52. P2 14:45Eller: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos · MTL Moen, Plekanec, Kostitsyn, Subban, Eller

  53. P2 18:08Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Price
  54. P2 19:35Shot by Gomez, saved by Roloson
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:18Goal by Pacioretty (Gomez)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · MTL Gill, Gomez, Gionta, Subban, Pacioretty

  58. P3 2:28Shot by Ritola, saved by Price
  59. P3 2:25Shot by Gagne, saved by Price
  60. P3 3:07Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Roloson
  61. P3 3:13Cammalleri: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Ohlund, Brewer, Bergenheim, Ritola, Stamkos · MTL Hamrlik, Halpern, Cammalleri, Plekanec, Wisniewski

  62. P3 3:41Shot by Stamkos, saved by Price5v4
  63. P3 3:42Moen: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Stamkos · MTL Gill, Moen, Plekanec, Subban

  64. P3 4:06Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Price5v3
  65. P3 6:32Shot by Jones, saved by Price
  66. P3 7:13Shot by Purcell, saved by Price
  67. P3 7:54Shot by Gionta, saved by Roloson
  68. P3 8:45Shot by Desharnais, saved by Roloson
  69. P3 10:35Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Price
  70. P3 10:58Shot by Stamkos, saved by Price
  71. P3 12:34Shot by Thompson, saved by Price
  72. P3 13:47Shot by Stamkos, saved by Price
  73. P3 14:07Goal by Lecavalier (Moore, Purcell)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Moore, Purcell, Hedman · MTL Gill, Moen, Kostitsyn, Subban, Eller

  74. P3 14:32Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Price
  75. P3 15:22Shot by Gionta, saved by Roloson
  76. P3 16:15Shot by St. Louis, saved by Price
  77. P3 17:57Shot by Bergeron, saved by Price6v5
  78. P3 18:29Shot by Stamkos, saved by Price6v5
  79. P3 18:42Shot by St. Louis, saved by Price6v5
  80. P3 19:08Shot by Moore, saved by Price6v5
  81. P3 19:11Halpern: High sticking double minor (4 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Hall, Moore, Bergeron, Stamkos · MTL Gill, Halpern, Cammalleri, Plekanec, Subban

  82. P3 19:25Shot by St. Louis, saved by Price6v4
  83. P3 19:35Lecavalier: Hooking (2 min)6v4

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Hall, Moore, Bergeron, Stamkos · MTL Gill, Cammalleri, Plekanec, Subban

  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final