Sat, Mar 5, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.
50%
9%
10%
32%
TBL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:26 | 0.05 | 53.3% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:50 | 0.00 | 54.7% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:07 | 0.00 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:39 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:50 | 0.15 | 60.1% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:02 | 0.21 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.16 | 65.3% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 17:37 | 0.33 | 64.6% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.07 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.17 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.47 | 60.7% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.28 | 30.2% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.00 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.07 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:25 | 0.16 | 36.8% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:09 | 0.09 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.10 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 45 | 43 | 2 | .956 | 2.80 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 25:18 | 0.38 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 8 | 23:58 | 0.58 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.02 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 21:31 | 0.26 | 51.0% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.02 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:06 | 0.49 | 44.8% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.00 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.04 | 58.9% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.00 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.09 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.02 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:13 | 0.15 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 0.23 | 24.5% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:24 | 0.09 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:23 | 0.18 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:19 | 0.22 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:10 | 0.02 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:52 | 0.00 | 72.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.31 | −1.7 | 58:15 |