Sat, Mar 5, 2011·Pepsi Center, Denver
Edmonton Oilers 5, Colorado Avalanche 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 55% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:59Plante: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: COL Foote, Hejduk, Liles, Yip, O'Reilly · EDM Horcoff, Vandermeer, Plante, Eberle, Paajarvi
- P1 2:36Shot by Liles, saved by Dubnyk5v4
- P1 2:58Shot by McLeod, saved by Dubnyk5v4
- P1 4:05Shot by MacIntyre, saved by Elliott
- P1 4:11Wilson: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: COL Foote, Jones, Stastny, Wilson, Duchene · EDM Vandermeer, MacIntyre, Jones, Gagner, Plante
- P1 4:19Goal by Gagner (Cogliano, Omark)4v5+18 pts WP
On ice: COL Foote, McClement, Hunwick, Winnik · EDM Foster, Jones, Cogliano, Gagner, Omark
- P1 5:15Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Elliott
- P1 5:39Shot by Plante, saved by Elliott
- P1 6:54Shot by Jones, saved by Dubnyk
- P1 8:04Dupuis: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: COL Hejduk, Dupuis, Hunwick, Yip, Holos · EDM Strudwick, Foster, Jacques, Gagner, Omark
- P1 9:17Goal by Jones (Gagner, Gilbert)4v5+14 pts WP
On ice: COL Foote, McClement, Hunwick, O'Reilly · EDM Gilbert, Jones, Cogliano, Gagner, Paajarvi
- P1 9:16Shot by Gagner, saved by Elliott4v5
- P1 12:37Shot by Vandermeer, saved by Elliott
- P1 12:50Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
- P1 13:20Shot by Holos, saved by Dubnyk
- P1 13:23Shot by Yip, saved by Dubnyk
- P1 13:55Plante: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: COL Foote, Hejduk, Liles, Yip, Stastny · EDM Horcoff, Vandermeer, Jones, Plante, Paajarvi
- P1 13:55Yip: Tripping (2 min)5v4
On ice: COL Foote, Hejduk, Liles, Yip, Stastny · EDM Horcoff, Vandermeer, Jones, Plante, Paajarvi
- P1 14:53Shot by Jones, saved by Elliott4v4
- P1 15:46Shot by Reddox, saved by Elliott4v4
- P1 16:08Shot by Horcoff, saved by Elliott
- P1 16:09Shot by Gilbert, saved by Elliott
- P1 16:53Shot by Vandermeer, saved by Elliott
- P1 17:15Shot by Reddox, saved by Elliott
- P1 18:28Shot by Fraser, saved by Elliott
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:39Goal by Horcoff (Paajarvi, Eberle)+8 pts WP
On ice: COL Jones, Hunwick, Stastny, Johnson, Duchene · EDM Horcoff, Gilbert, Smid, Eberle, Paajarvi
- P2 0:54Shot by Gagner, saved by Elliott
- P2 2:16Shot by Plante, saved by Elliott
- P2 2:23Koci: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: COL Koci, Dupuis, Hunwick, Yip, Johnson · EDM Vandermeer, Jacques, Fraser, MacIntyre, Plante
- P2 2:23MacIntyre: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: COL Koci, Dupuis, Hunwick, Yip, Johnson · EDM Vandermeer, Jacques, Fraser, MacIntyre, Plante
- P2 6:02Shot by Reddox, saved by Elliott
- P2 7:18Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 7:31Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 8:22Shot by Holos, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 8:28Shot by Hunwick, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 8:36Goal by Giroux (Omark, Gagner)+3 pts WP
On ice: COL Jones, Porter, Hunwick, Holos, O'Reilly · EDM Giroux, Vandermeer, Gagner, Plante, Omark
- P2 9:09Shot by Porter, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 10:20Shot by Hejduk, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 10:22Shot by Hunwick, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 11:26Shot by McLeod, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 11:26Vandermeer: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: COL Foote, McClement, Winnik, McLeod, Wilson · EDM Strudwick, Vandermeer, Jones, Gagner, Omark
- P2 11:46Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk5v4
- P2 12:00Shot by Hejduk, saved by Dubnyk5v4
- P2 12:56Shot by Yip, saved by Dubnyk5v4
- P2 13:03Shot by Reddox, saved by Budaj5v4
- P2 13:39Shot by Vandermeer, saved by Budaj
- P2 13:57Shot by Eberle, saved by Budaj
- P2 14:32Shot by Hejduk, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 14:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 15:08Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 15:12Shot by Jones, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 15:13Goal by O'Reilly (Jones, Liles)+2 pts WP
On ice: COL Foote, Liles, Jones, Porter, O'Reilly · EDM Strudwick, Giroux, Foster, Reddox, Cogliano
- P2 15:11Shot by Liles, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 15:25Shot by Liles, saved by Dubnyk
- P2 18:30Foster: Cross checking (2 min)6v5
On ice: COL Foote, Jones, Porter, Winnik, Stastny, Wilson · EDM Strudwick, Foster, Jones, Gagner, Omark
- P2 18:33Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk5v4
- P2 18:36Shot by Jones, saved by Dubnyk5v4
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:29Goal by Cogliano (Reddox, Gilbert)5v4+1 pts WP
On ice: COL Hejduk, Liles, Stastny, Johnson, Duchene · EDM Gilbert, Smid, Reddox, Cogliano
- P3 1:07Shot by Horcoff, saved by Budaj
- P3 2:52Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
- P3 5:40Shot by Plante, saved by Budaj
- P3 6:35Shot by Eberle, saved by Budaj
- P3 7:45Shot by Giroux, saved by Budaj
- P3 8:34Jacques: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)
On ice: COL Foote, Koci, Dupuis, Yip, Wilson · EDM Strudwick, Foster, Jacques, Fraser, MacIntyre
- P3 8:34Foote: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: COL Foote, Koci, Dupuis, Yip, Wilson · EDM Strudwick, Foster, Jacques, Fraser, MacIntyre
- P3 8:34Jacques: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: COL Foote, Koci, Dupuis, Yip, Wilson · EDM Strudwick, Foster, Jacques, Fraser, MacIntyre
- P3 8:57Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Dubnyk5v4
- P3 9:11Shot by Liles, saved by Dubnyk5v4
- P3 9:59Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk5v4
- P3 13:24Plante: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: COL Foote, McClement, Winnik, McLeod, Wilson · EDM Giroux, Vandermeer, Reddox, Cogliano, Plante
- P3 13:24McLeod: Fighting (5 min)5v4
On ice: COL Foote, McClement, Winnik, McLeod, Wilson · EDM Giroux, Vandermeer, Reddox, Cogliano, Plante
- P3 13:48Shot by Dupuis, saved by Dubnyk
- P3 13:49Shot by Koci, saved by Dubnyk
- P3 13:49MacIntyre: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: COL Foote, Koci, Dupuis, Yip, Wilson · EDM Vandermeer, Foster, Jacques, Fraser, MacIntyre
- P3 13:49Koci: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: COL Foote, Koci, Dupuis, Yip, Wilson · EDM Vandermeer, Foster, Jacques, Fraser, MacIntyre
- P3 16:25Shot by Fraser, saved by Budaj
- P3 16:28Shot by Jacques, saved by Budaj
- P3 16:52Shot by Fraser, saved by Budaj
- P3 17:00Shot by Porter, saved by Dubnyk
- P3 18:19Shot by Eberle, saved by Budaj
- P3 19:41Shot by Liles, saved by Dubnyk
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final