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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 8, 2011·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Buffalo Sabres 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 52% of the time.

PIT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Shot by Mancari, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 1:43Shot by Kennedy, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:26Shot by Boyes, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 2:36Shot by McCormick, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 2:47Goal by Niedermayer (Myers)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cooke, Dupuis, Martin, Michalek, Jeffrey · BUF Niedermayer, Parrish, McCormick, Butler, Myers

  7. P1 3:08Shot by Kennedy, saved by Miller
  8. P1 6:26Shot by Cooke, saved by Miller
  9. P1 6:27Shot by Jeffrey, saved by Miller
  10. P1 6:45Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Miller
  11. P1 7:17Engelland: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Engelland, Kunitz, Kennedy, Staal, Lovejoy · BUF Gaustad, Mancari, Butler, Gerbe, Myers

  12. P1 7:38Shot by Sekera, saved by Fleury4v5
  13. P1 8:01Shot by Sekera, saved by Fleury4v5
  14. P1 8:03Shot by Stafford, saved by Fleury4v5
  15. P1 8:36Shot by Mancari, saved by Fleury4v5
  16. P1 8:47Ennis: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Cooke, Michalek, Letang, Staal · BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Sekera, Mancari, Myers, Ennis

  17. P1 9:23Montador: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Engelland, Niskanen, Neal, Letestu, Lovejoy · BUF Niedermayer, Montador, McCormick, Sekera

  18. P1 10:20Shot by Letang, saved by Miller5v3
  19. P1 10:43Shot by Letang, saved by Miller5v3
  20. P1 10:59Shot by Ennis, saved by Fleury5v4
  21. P1 12:03Shot by Neal, saved by Miller
  22. P1 12:30Shot by Weber, saved by Fleury
  23. P1 12:44Shot by Gaustad, saved by Fleury
  24. P1 13:09Shot by Ennis, saved by Fleury
  25. P1 13:38Shot by Myers, saved by Fleury
  26. P1 14:21Shot by Pominville, saved by Fleury
  27. P1 15:00Adam: Elbowing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Kovalev, Martin, Michalek, Kunitz, Kennedy, Staal · BUF Leopold, Boyes, Pominville, Weber, Adam

  28. P1 16:16Shot by Kunitz, saved by Miller6v4
  29. P1 17:30Shot by Montador, saved by Fleury
  30. P1 18:05Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  31. P1 18:11Shot by Martin, saved by Miller
  32. P1 18:51Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Miller
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 1:19Shot by Dupuis, saved by Miller
  36. P2 1:25Goal by Neal (Engelland, Staal)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kovalev, Engelland, Neal, Staal, Lovejoy · BUF Leopold, Boyes, Pominville, Weber, Adam

  37. P2 1:48Shot by Adam, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 1:57Shot by Adam, saved by Fleury
  39. P2 2:58Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Fleury
  40. P2 4:42Goal by Michalek (Neal, Letestu)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kovalev, Martin, Michalek, Neal, Letestu · BUF Boyes, Montador, Pominville, Sekera, Adam

  41. P2 5:08Shot by Pominville, saved by Fleury
  42. P2 5:54McCormick: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cooke, Dupuis, Engelland, Lovejoy, Jeffrey · BUF Niedermayer, Parrish, McCormick, Butler, Myers

  43. P2 9:17Shot by Adams, saved by Miller
  44. P2 9:55Shot by Montador, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 10:13Kunitz: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Kennedy, Niskanen, Letang, Staal · BUF Connolly, Montador, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis

  46. P2 12:06Shot by Pominville, saved by Fleury4v5
  47. P2 12:48Shot by Gerbe, saved by Fleury
  48. P2 14:20Mancari: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Engelland, Neal, Lovejoy, Jeffrey · BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Mancari, Weber, Adam

  49. P2 14:20Gaustad: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Engelland, Neal, Lovejoy, Jeffrey · BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Mancari, Weber, Adam

  50. P2 14:20Lovejoy: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: PIT Dupuis, Engelland, Neal, Lovejoy, Jeffrey · BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Mancari, Weber, Adam

  51. P2 14:33Shot by Letang, saved by Miller5v4
  52. P2 15:48Shot by Kunitz, saved by Miller5v4
  53. P2 15:50Shot by Kunitz, saved by Miller5v4
  54. P2 16:00Shot by Jeffrey, saved by Miller5v4
  55. P2 17:47Kennedy: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Adams, Rupp, Martin, Letang, Staal · BUF Parrish, Boyes, Montador, Sekera, Gerbe

  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:26Shot by Gerbe, saved by Fleury
  59. P3 3:05Shot by Butler, saved by Fleury
  60. P3 4:00Shot by Sekera, saved by Fleury
  61. P3 4:57Shot by Neal, saved by Miller
  62. P3 5:22Shot by Mancari, saved by Fleury
  63. P3 5:24Gaustad: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cooke, Dupuis, Engelland, Lovejoy, Jeffrey · BUF Gaustad, Mancari, Butler, Myers, Adam

  64. P3 7:23Shot by Neal, saved by Miller5v4
  65. P3 7:27Butler: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Niskanen, Neal, Letestu, Jeffrey · BUF Connolly, Gaustad, Pominville, Butler, Myers

  66. P3 8:19Shot by Martin, saved by Miller5v4
  67. P3 9:08Shot by Jeffrey, saved by Miller5v4
  68. P3 9:21Shot by Niskanen, saved by Miller5v4
  69. P3 9:22Shot by Jeffrey, saved by Miller5v4
  70. P3 11:43Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  71. P3 12:30Shot by Cooke, saved by Miller
  72. P3 12:34Shot by Dupuis, saved by Miller
  73. P3 13:06Goal by Letestu (Michalek)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kovalev, Martin, Michalek, Neal, Letestu · BUF Niedermayer, Parrish, Gaustad, Butler, Myers

  74. P3 13:23Shot by Leopold, saved by Fleury
  75. P3 14:23Shot by Stafford, saved by Fleury
  76. P3 15:45Shot by Myers, saved by Fleury
  77. P3 17:55Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  78. P3 19:34Shot by Stafford, saved by Fleury5v6
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final