Tue, Mar 8, 2011·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 52% of the time.
42%
10%
10%
38%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:53 | 0.07 | 78.1% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:40 | 0.09 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.01 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:36 | 0.69 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:36 | 0.02 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:33 | 0.28 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.03 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.02 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.18 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.40 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.10 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.04 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.04 | 62.9% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:27 | 0.19 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:35 | 0.04 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:41 | 0.18 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:41 | 0.14 | 99.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 7:22 | 0.03 | 44.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.13 | −0.9 | 58:33 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29:16 | 0.12 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 27:05 | 0.09 | 44.4% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:01 | 0.05 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:31 | 0.09 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.02 | 39.2% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:19 | 0.20 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 16:13 | 0.32 | 68.2% | +42.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:56 | 0.68 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.09 | 51.6% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.15 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:38 | 0.05 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.64 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:02 | 0.10 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:19 | 0.06 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 53.8% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.00 | 1.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:28 | 0.00 | 23.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 2.54 | +1.5 | 59:52 |