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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 12, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 52% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:55Goal by Weber (Connolly, Niedermayer)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Crabb, Rosehill, Boyce, Lebda · BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Connolly, Sekera, Weber

  3. P1 4:19Shot by Boyes, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 4:26Shot by Leopold, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 5:29Sekera: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie · BUF Hecht, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Myers

  6. P1 5:35Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller5v4
  7. P1 7:09Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller5v4
  8. P1 7:54Shot by Boyes, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 8:37Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 9:28Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 9:43Shot by Leopold, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 10:44Shot by Lebda, saved by Miller
  13. P1 11:23Goal by MacArthur (Grabovski, Kulemin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Gunnarsson · BUF Parrish, Boyes, Sekera, Myers, Ennis

  14. P1 11:41Shot by Armstrong, saved by Miller
  15. P1 12:13Shot by Montador, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 13:06Shot by Connolly, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 14:47Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 15:15Shot by Leopold, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 15:25Shot by Komisarek, saved by Miller
  20. P1 16:58Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  21. P1 19:34Shot by Leopold, saved by Reimer
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:36Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  25. P2 1:02Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  26. P2 1:13Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer
  27. P2 1:30Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  28. P2 1:47Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  29. P2 2:27Shot by Mancari, saved by Reimer
  30. P2 2:31Shot by Mancari, saved by Reimer
  31. P2 4:10Shot by Boyes, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 4:38Shot by Armstrong, saved by Miller
  33. P2 4:56Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  34. P2 5:16Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer
  35. P2 5:30Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 5:44Shot by Brent, saved by Miller
  37. P2 5:51Shot by Brown, saved by Miller
  38. P2 5:56Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  39. P2 6:52Shot by Gerbe, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 6:57Shot by McCormick, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 6:58Shot by Gerbe, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 7:01Shot by Leopold, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 7:17Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 7:30Shot by Myers, saved by Reimer
  45. P2 9:30Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  46. P2 10:10Goal by Bozak (Kessel, Lupul)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Lupul, Lebda, Kessel, Bozak · BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Parrish, Leopold, Montador

  47. P2 11:04Goal by Hecht (Sekera, Vanek)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Schenn · BUF Hecht, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Myers

  48. P2 11:03Shot by Sekera, saved by Reimer
  49. P2 13:37Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer
  50. P2 14:07Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer
  51. P2 14:17Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  52. P2 15:13Grabovski: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Grabovski, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn · BUF Niedermayer, Boyes, Morrisonn, Weber, Ennis

  53. P2 15:31Goal by Leopold (Ennis, McCormick)4v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Armstrong, Boyce, Gunnarsson, Schenn · BUF Leopold, McCormick, Vanek, Myers, Ennis

  54. P2 17:23Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  55. P2 17:42Shot by Rosehill, saved by Miller
  56. P2 17:53Shot by Gerbe, saved by Reimer
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 1:18Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 1:53Shot by Komisarek, saved by Miller
  61. P3 4:03Goal by Grabovski (Gunnarsson, Phaneuf)+31 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · BUF Connolly, Boyes, Sekera, Myers, Ennis

  62. P3 4:37Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  63. P3 5:14Shot by Brown, saved by Miller
  64. P3 6:36Goal by Kessel (Schenn, Reimer)+30 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Aulie, Bozak · BUF Connolly, Leopold, Boyes, Montador, Ennis

  65. P3 9:05Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 9:29Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller
  67. P3 9:34Myers: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Bozak · BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Parrish, Sekera, Myers

  68. P3 10:38Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller5v4
  69. P3 11:15Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller5v4
  70. P3 11:37Shot by Aulie, saved by Miller
  71. P3 12:23Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer
  72. P3 12:30Shot by Boyes, saved by Reimer
  73. P3 13:03Shot by Boyes, saved by Reimer
  74. P3 13:30Shot by Crabb, saved by Miller
  75. P3 16:51Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer
  76. P3 16:57Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  77. P3 17:31Shot by Armstrong, saved by Miller
  78. P3 18:51Shot by Myers, saved by Reimer
  79. P3 19:07Shot by Hecht, saved by Reimer5v6
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final