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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 13, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 6

Away

Ottawa Senators

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Condra, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 0:27Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  4. P1 1:08Shot by Foligno, saved by Enroth
  5. P1 1:31Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 1:36Shot by Spezza, saved by Enroth
  7. P1 1:45Shot by Winchester, saved by Enroth
  8. P1 3:32Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 4:03Shot by Neil, saved by Enroth
  10. P1 4:39Shot by McCormick, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 4:58Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 5:03Shot by Leopold, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 5:40Goal by Ennis (Connolly, Sekera)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Boyes, Sekera, Ennis · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson, Butler

  14. P1 8:02Shot by Condra, saved by Enroth
  15. P1 8:00Shot by Lee, saved by Enroth
  16. P1 8:12Shot by Shannon, saved by Enroth
  17. P1 8:36Butler: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Mancari, Butler, Gerbe, Myers · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson

  18. P1 8:50Shot by Spezza, saved by Enroth4v5
  19. P1 8:52Goal by Spezza (Karlsson, Gonchar)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, Morrisonn, Weber · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Shannon, Karlsson, Butler

  20. P1 12:26Goal by Vanek (Gaustad, Weber)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Vanek, Mancari, Butler, Myers · OTT Phillips, Lessard, Potulny, Lee, Winchester

  21. P1 14:15Shot by Boyes, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 14:21Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 16:05Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 16:11Shot by Sekera, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 16:59Shot by Connolly, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 17:56Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  27. P1 18:16Goal by Greening (Winchester, Spezza)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, Morrisonn, McCormick, Weber · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Greening, Smith, Winchester

  28. P1 18:21Shot by Neil, saved by Enroth
  29. P1 19:17Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson
  30. P1 19:41Sekera: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Leopold, Boyes, Sekera, Ennis · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Condra, Smith, Winchester

  31. P1 19:45Shot by Spezza, saved by Enroth4v5
  32. P1 19:51Shot by Gonchar, saved by Enroth4v5
  33. P1 19:56Butler: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, Butler, Myers · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson, Butler

  34. P1 19:56Karlsson: Diving (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, Butler, Myers · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson, Butler

  35. P1 19:56Karlsson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v3

    On ice: BUF Grier, Gaustad, Butler, Myers · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson, Butler

  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 1:03Shot by Gonchar, saved by Enroth4v4
  39. P2 1:37Goal by Ennis (Connolly, Weber)4v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Morrisonn, Weber, Ennis · OTT Phillips, Lee, Greening, Condra

  40. P2 1:59Shot by Weber, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 2:08Shot by Vanek, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 2:10Goal by Gaustad (Mancari, Vanek)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Morrisonn, Vanek, Mancari, Weber · OTT Phillips, Neil, Lee, Foligno, Smith

  43. P2 3:20Shot by Phillips, saved by Enroth
  44. P2 4:21Shot by Condra, saved by Enroth
  45. P2 6:33Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  46. P2 8:08Shot by Phillips, saved by Enroth
  47. P2 9:08Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  48. P2 9:23Shot by Connolly, saved by McElhinney
  49. P2 9:39Goal by Spezza, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Morrisonn, Weber, Ennis · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Potulny, Lee, Winchester

  50. P2 9:50Shot by Gaustad, saved by McElhinney
  51. P2 10:03Shot by Shannon, saved by Enroth
  52. P2 10:37Shot by Myers, saved by McElhinney
  53. P2 11:45Shot by Sekera, saved by McElhinney
  54. P2 12:25Shot by Greening, saved by Enroth
  55. P2 14:08Shot by Butler, saved by McElhinney
  56. P2 14:12Shot by Connolly, saved by McElhinney
  57. P2 14:23Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  58. P2 14:34Goal by Gerbe (Weber, Pominville)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Morrisonn, Pominville, Gerbe, Weber · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson

  59. P2 15:17Shot by Greening, saved by Enroth
  60. P2 17:42Hecht: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Pominville, Sekera, Gerbe · OTT Svatos, Lee, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson

  61. P2 17:52Shot by Gonchar, saved by Enroth4v5
  62. P2 18:41Shot by Kuba, saved by Enroth4v5
  63. P2 18:52Butler: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Pominville, Butler, Myers · OTT Gonchar, Kuba, Spezza, Shannon, Butler

  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:47Shot by Gonchar, saved by Enroth4v5
  67. P3 1:36Shot by Greening, saved by Enroth
  68. P3 2:38Shot by Neil, saved by Enroth
  69. P3 2:44Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  70. P3 3:53Shot by Phillips, saved by Enroth
  71. P3 4:13Shot by Niedermayer, saved by McElhinney
  72. P3 5:07Shot by Butler, saved by Enroth
  73. P3 5:19Shot by Ennis, saved by McElhinney
  74. P3 6:15Shot by Myers, saved by McElhinney6v5
  75. P3 6:16Kuba: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Pominville, McCormick, Butler, Myers, Ennis · OTT Kuba, Neil, Potulny, Winchester, Karlsson

  76. P3 6:44Shot by Leopold, saved by McElhinney5v4
  77. P3 7:48Shot by Sekera, saved by McElhinney5v4
  78. P3 8:16Goal by Boyes (Pominville, Sekera)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Pominville, Sekera, Mancari, Butler · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Lee, Butler

  79. P3 9:46Shot by Boyes, saved by McElhinney
  80. P3 9:56Shot by Ennis, saved by McElhinney
  81. P3 10:58Shot by Gerbe, saved by McElhinney
  82. P3 14:34Shot by Lee, saved by Enroth
  83. P3 15:02Shot by Phillips, saved by Enroth
  84. P3 19:15Goal by Karlsson (Spezza)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, McCormick, Butler, Myers, Ennis · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Potulny, Winchester, Karlsson

  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final