Sun, Mar 13, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 61% of the time.
30%
9%
10%
51%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:11 | 0.23 | 59.0% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:40 | 0.05 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 22:24 | 0.27 | 34.0% | +15.3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 5 | 19:48 | 0.95 | 48.1% | +47.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.04 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.16 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:42 | 0.52 | 52.4% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.22 | 83.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.05 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.07 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.03 | 83.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 16:29 | 0.10 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:34 | 0.10 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.02 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.04 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.10 | 55.4% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:14 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:05 | 0.00 | 9.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 16 | 14 | 2 | .875 | 1.12 | −0.9 | 37:50 | |
| – | 17 | 13 | 4 | .765 | 1.27 | −2.7 | 22:10 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:11 | 0.17 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:57 | 0.09 | 55.1% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.14 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:36 | 0.04 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:24 | 0.25 | 59.6% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.05 | 46.1% | +51.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.31 | 58.3% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:40 | 0.08 | 39.3% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.01 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16:12 | 0.30 | 53.6% | +33.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:52 | 0.11 | 53.0% | +4.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:32 | 0.31 | 57.2% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.15 | 43.6% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.27 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.09 | 64.4% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:21 | 0.03 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 2.96 | −1.0 | 59:45 |