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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 20, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Nashville Predators 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)

Away

Nashville Predators

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.

BUF winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Connolly, saved by Lindback
  3. P1 3:00Shot by Grier, saved by Lindback
  4. P1 5:08Shot by Ward, saved by Miller
  5. P1 6:44Goal by Geoffrion (Wilson, Dumont)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Mancari, Gerbe, Myers · NSH Dumont, Klein, Geoffrion, Blum, Wilson

  6. P1 7:40Shot by Grier, saved by Lindback
  7. P1 8:08Shot by Connolly, saved by Lindback
  8. P1 9:24Shot by Wilson, saved by Miller
  9. P1 9:38Shot by Mancari, saved by Lindback
  10. P1 10:58Shot by Ward, saved by Miller
  11. P1 15:01Shot by Ward, saved by Miller
  12. P1 15:13Shot by McCormick, saved by Lindback
  13. P1 15:18Shot by McCormick, saved by Lindback
  14. P1 15:37Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Miller
  15. P1 15:53Shot by Grier, saved by Lindback
  16. P1 17:57Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lindback
  17. P1 18:26Shot by Butler, saved by Lindback
  18. P1 18:41Shot by Connolly, saved by Lindback
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:27Shot by Erat, saved by Miller
  22. P2 2:05Shot by O'Brien, saved by Miller
  23. P2 2:06Shot by Smithson, saved by Miller
  24. P2 4:08Shot by Vanek, saved by Lindback
  25. P2 4:14Shot by Vanek, saved by Lindback
  26. P2 4:59Shot by Klein, saved by Miller
  27. P2 5:22Shot by Fisher, saved by Miller
  28. P2 5:45Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Miller
  29. P2 5:47Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Miller
  30. P2 6:07Shot by Suter, saved by Miller
  31. P2 6:19Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lindback
  32. P2 6:53Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lindback
  33. P2 7:04Goal by Gerbe (Gaustad, Mancari)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Mancari, Gerbe, Myers · NSH Legwand, Erat, Tootoo, Klein, Blum

  34. P2 7:46Goal by Connolly (Vanek, Myers)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Butler · NSH Fisher, Ward, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn

  35. P2 9:54Shot by Leopold, saved by Lindback
  36. P2 10:17Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lindback
  37. P2 10:35Shot by Tootoo, saved by Miller
  38. P2 10:50Kostitsyn: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Pominville, Vanek, Weber · NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Spaling

  39. P2 12:33Shot by Butler, saved by Lindback5v4
  40. P2 14:27Shot by McCormick, saved by Lindback
  41. P2 14:35Shot by Pominville, saved by Lindback
  42. P2 14:37Shot by Pominville, saved by Lindback
  43. P2 15:30Shot by Vanek, saved by Lindback
  44. P2 16:30Shot by Ennis, saved by Lindback
  45. P2 17:22Franson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Morrisonn, Mancari, Gerbe, Weber · NSH Dumont, O'Brien, Franson, Geoffrion, Wilson

  46. P2 17:56Shot by Vanek, saved by Lindback5v4
  47. P2 18:05Shot by Leopold, saved by Lindback5v4
  48. P2 18:12Shot by Smithson, saved by Miller5v4
  49. P2 19:00Goal by Ennis (Stafford, Miller)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Stafford, Sekera, Butler, Ennis · NSH Legwand, Ward, Klein, O'Brien

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:51Shot by Ward, saved by Miller
  53. P3 2:08Shot by Suter, saved by Miller
  54. P3 2:32Shot by Butler, saved by Lindback
  55. P3 4:20Shot by Suter, saved by Miller
  56. P3 4:54Suter: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Morrisonn, Stafford, Gerbe, Weber · NSH Erat, Smithson, Ward, Suter, Weber

  57. P3 7:45Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Miller
  58. P3 8:06Shot by Mancari, saved by Lindback
  59. P3 8:55Shot by Pominville, saved by Lindback
  60. P3 11:15Shot by McCormick, saved by Lindback
  61. P3 11:48Shot by Legwand, saved by Miller
  62. P3 11:58Shot by McCormick, saved by Lindback
  63. P3 12:37Shot by Vanek, saved by Lindback
  64. P3 13:59Shot by Mancari, saved by Lindback
  65. P3 15:03Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Lindback
  66. P3 17:33Goal by Geoffrion, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Mancari, Myers, Ennis · NSH Dumont, O'Brien, Kostitsyn, Geoffrion, Blum

  67. P3 18:08Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lindback
  68. P3 18:37Goal by Geoffrion (Franson, Kostitsyn)+46 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Niedermayer, Grier, McCormick, Sekera, Myers · NSH Fisher, Franson, Kostitsyn, Geoffrion, Blum

  69. P3 19:00Shot by Pominville, saved by Lindback
  70. P3 19:36Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Miller
  71. P3 19:52Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Miller
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 0:27Goal by Erat (Suter, Legwand)4v4+47 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Connolly, Vanek, Sekera, Myers · NSH Legwand, Erat, Suter, Weber

  75. OT 0:27Period end
  76. OT 0:27Final