Sun, Mar 20, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Nashville Predators 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.
50%
9%
10%
32%
BUF winsNSH wins
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:18 | 0.11 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:27 | 0.18 | 57.4% | +46.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.02 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.26 | 42.0% | +46.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.04 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.19 | 54.1% | +46.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.03 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.02 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:55 | 0.26 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.35 | 48.5% | +45.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.01 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.05 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 16.4% | +45.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:55 | 0.30 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.09 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.02 | 65.8% | +18.4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 10:45 | 0.34 | 74.0% | +71.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:39 | 0.11 | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 2.86 | −0.1 | 60:27 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 25:07 | 0.08 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 0 | 24:13 | 0.00 | 55.4% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:03 | 0.07 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:37 | 0.68 | 63.8% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:29 | 0.12 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:53 | 0.42 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:09 | 0.50 | 71.3% | +21.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.15 | 9.5% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.00 | 5.9% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.00 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:36 | 0.08 | 58.0% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.02 | 54.0% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.03 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13:18 | 0.39 | 62.1% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 10:54 | 0.26 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:48 | 0.04 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.03 | 73.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.39 | −1.6 | 60:27 |