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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 29, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Vancouver Canucks 3, Nashville Predators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 83% of the time.

NSH winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:43Shot by Tootoo, saved by Luongo
  3. P1 1:47Shot by Franson, saved by Luongo
  4. P1 2:10Shot by Higgins, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 2:52Shot by Suter, saved by Luongo
  6. P1 3:06Shot by Legwand, saved by Luongo
  7. P1 3:31Shot by Lapierre, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 4:30Shot by Higgins, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 4:45Shot by Kesler, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 5:05Shot by Raymond, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 7:49Shot by Tootoo, saved by Luongo
  12. P1 9:47Oreskovich: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, O'Brien, Franson, Hornqvist, Wilson · VAN Bieksa, Rome, Tambellini, Lapierre, Oreskovich

  13. P1 10:32Shot by Ward, saved by Luongo5v4
  14. P1 11:08Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Luongo5v4
  15. P1 12:50Shot by Tootoo, saved by Luongo
  16. P1 14:30Shot by Dumont, saved by Luongo
  17. P1 15:22Blum: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Klein, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Blum · VAN Salo, Ehrhoff, Higgins, Kesler, Raymond

  18. P1 15:29Shot by Kesler, saved by Rinne4v5
  19. P1 16:17Shot by Legwand, saved by Luongo4v5
  20. P1 17:39Shot by Lapierre, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:46Fisher: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Klein, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Blum · VAN Salo, Sedin, Ehrhoff, Higgins, Kesler, Raymond

  24. P2 1:40Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Rinne4v5
  25. P2 1:47Shot by Burrows, saved by Rinne4v5
  26. P2 3:35Shot by Franson, saved by Luongo
  27. P2 4:20Dumont: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Dumont, Suter, O'Brien, Geoffrion, Wilson · VAN Salo, Rome, Tambellini, Bolduc, Oreskovich

  28. P2 4:57Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Rinne4v5
  29. P2 5:44Shot by Salo, saved by Rinne4v5
  30. P2 5:50Shot by Kesler, saved by Rinne4v5
  31. P2 9:07Ehrhoff: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Ward, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · VAN Salo, Sedin, Torres, Bieksa, Burrows

  32. P2 9:26Shot by Suter, saved by Luongo5v4
  33. P2 11:40Shot by Tootoo, saved by Luongo
  34. P2 12:23Shot by Oreskovich, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 12:25Shot by Tambellini, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 14:01Goal by Fisher (Blum, Kostitsyn)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Klein, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Blum · VAN Salo, Ehrhoff, Higgins, Kesler, Raymond

  37. P2 15:57Bolduc: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Dumont, O'Brien, Franson, Geoffrion, Wilson · VAN Bieksa, Rome, Tambellini, Bolduc, Oreskovich

  38. P2 16:19Shot by Kesler, saved by Rinne5v4
  39. P2 18:56Shot by Sedin, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 19:09Shot by Tootoo, saved by Luongo
  41. P2 19:43Shot by Higgins, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 19:59Shot by Higgins, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:05Shot by Sedin, saved by Rinne
  46. P3 1:17Goal by Burrows (Sedin, Sedin)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Ward, Suter, Weber · VAN Salo, Sedin, Sedin, Ehrhoff, Burrows

  47. P3 2:49Shot by Higgins, saved by Rinne
  48. P3 3:16Shot by Ward, saved by Luongo
  49. P3 4:01Shot by Tanev, saved by Rinne
  50. P3 4:09Shot by Sedin, saved by Rinne
  51. P3 4:59Shot by Torres, saved by Rinne
  52. P3 5:58Shot by Rome, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 7:06Shot by Raymond, saved by Rinne5v6
  54. P3 7:08Blum: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Klein, Spaling, Blum · VAN Salo, Sedin, Ehrhoff, Higgins, Kesler, Raymond

  55. P3 7:15Shot by Kesler, saved by Rinne4v5
  56. P3 10:42Shot by Raymond, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 10:59Sedin: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Spaling · VAN Bieksa, Higgins, Rome, Kesler, Raymond

  58. P3 13:02Tootoo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Klein, O'Brien, Spaling · VAN Sedin, Ehrhoff, Bieksa, Hansen, Raymond

  59. P3 13:04Shot by Sedin, saved by Rinne4v5
  60. P3 13:33Shot by Sedin, saved by Rinne4v5
  61. P3 14:57Salo: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Ward, Suter, Weber · VAN Salo, Sedin, Sedin, Ehrhoff, Kesler

  62. P3 16:59Shot by Fisher, saved by Luongo
  63. P3 17:31Goal by Burrows (Sedin, Sedin)+41 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Ward, Suter, Weber · VAN Salo, Sedin, Sedin, Ehrhoff, Burrows

  64. P3 19:51Goal by Rome (Hansen)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Geoffrion · VAN Sedin, Bieksa, Higgins, Rome, Hansen

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final