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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 6, 2011·Verizon Center, Washington

Florida Panthers 2, Washington Capitals 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 66% of the time.

WSH winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Skille, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 0:57Weaver: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Sturm, Fehr, Schultz, Collins, Johansson · FLA Weaver, Matthias, Carter, Dadonov, Ellerby

  4. P1 1:20Goal by Knuble (Laich, Ovechkin)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Laich, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Johansson · FLA Bernier, Santorelli, Garrison, Kulikov

  5. P1 2:52Shot by Laich, saved by Clemmensen
  6. P1 3:31Shot by Samsonov, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 4:22Shot by Skille, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 4:47Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 5:28Shot by Kennedy, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 5:36Shot by Ellerby, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 5:55Shot by Skille, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 5:58Shot by Reasoner, saved by Varlamov5v6
  13. P1 5:59Sloan: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Erskine, Sloan, Laich, Beagle · FLA Reasoner, Booth, Santorelli, Skille, Ellerby, Kulikov

  14. P1 6:06Shot by Carlson, saved by Clemmensen4v5
  15. P1 6:34Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov4v5
  16. P1 7:40Shot by Garrison, saved by Varlamov4v5
  17. P1 8:57Shot by Dadonov, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 9:24Shot by Johansson, saved by Clemmensen
  19. P1 10:32Laich: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Erskine, Sloan, Laich, Beagle · FLA Callahan, Bergfors, Kennedy, Wilson, Repik

  20. P1 11:06Shot by Santorelli, saved by Varlamov4v5
  21. P1 11:29Shot by Santorelli, saved by Varlamov4v5
  22. P1 11:55Shot by Samsonov, saved by Varlamov4v5
  23. P1 12:34Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 13:12Shot by Garrison, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 14:19Shot by Laich, saved by Clemmensen
  26. P1 15:08Shot by Bergfors, saved by Varlamov
  27. P1 15:15Shot by Ellerby, saved by Varlamov
  28. P1 17:11Carter: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hendricks, Gordon, Schultz, Collins · FLA Weaver, Matthias, Carter, Dadonov, Garrison

  29. P1 17:11Hendricks: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hendricks, Gordon, Schultz, Collins · FLA Weaver, Matthias, Carter, Dadonov, Garrison

  30. P1 18:16Booth: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: WSH Laich, Alzner, Carlson, Johansson · FLA Samsonov, Booth, Ellerby, Kulikov

  31. P1 19:23Goal by Chimera (Backstrom, Laich)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Chimera, Laich, Ovechkin, Backstrom · FLA Reasoner, Carter, Ellerby, Kulikov

  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 3:54Repik: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Erskine, Sloan, Ovechkin, Backstrom · FLA Bergfors, Kennedy, Repik, Ellerby, Garrison

  35. P2 4:00Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Clemmensen5v4
  36. P2 4:48Shot by Backstrom, saved by Clemmensen5v4
  37. P2 5:03Shot by Laich, saved by Clemmensen5v4
  38. P2 5:18Shot by Bernier, saved by Varlamov5v4
  39. P2 6:12Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 7:34Shot by Carter, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 9:24Shot by Repik, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 10:05Shot by Johansson, saved by Clemmensen
  43. P2 11:21Shot by Reasoner, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 11:42Goal by Collins (Ovechkin)+7 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Ovechkin, Schultz, Backstrom, Collins · FLA Reasoner, Weaver, Booth, Skille, Garrison

  45. P2 14:44Shot by Booth, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 15:40Shot by Bergfors, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 16:04Santorelli: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Erskine, Sloan, Laich, Beagle · FLA Samsonov, Callahan, Santorelli, Bergfors, Wilson

  48. P2 16:11Shot by Backstrom, saved by Clemmensen5v4
  49. P2 16:41Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Clemmensen5v4
  50. P2 16:51Knuble: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Johansson · FLA Reasoner, Weaver, Carter, Garrison

  51. P2 17:26Shot by Matthias, saved by Varlamov4v4
  52. P2 17:59Shot by Collins, saved by Clemmensen4v4
  53. P2 18:19Shot by Johansson, saved by Clemmensen4v5
  54. P2 19:42Shot by Collins, saved by Clemmensen
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 2:15Shot by Callahan, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 3:37Shot by Bradley, saved by Clemmensen
  59. P3 4:36Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Clemmensen
  60. P3 5:31Shot by Dadonov, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 6:37Goal by Hendricks (Gordon, Schultz)+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hendricks, Gordon, Schultz, Collins · FLA Reasoner, Callahan, Booth, Skille, Wilson

  62. P3 7:02Shot by Ellerby, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 7:15Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Clemmensen
  64. P3 7:25Shot by Fehr, saved by Clemmensen
  65. P3 12:26Shot by Hendricks, saved by Clemmensen
  66. P3 12:48Gordon: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hendricks, Gordon, Alzner, Carlson · FLA Samsonov, Callahan, Bernier, Santorelli, Wilson

  67. P3 13:44Goal by Booth (Samsonov, Wilson)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Schultz, Collins, Johansson · FLA Samsonov, Booth, Santorelli, Wilson, Garrison

  68. P3 15:23Shot by Bradley, saved by Clemmensen
  69. P3 16:44Shot by Santorelli, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 17:15Shot by Chimera, saved by Clemmensen
  71. P3 18:29Goal by Santorelli (Samsonov, Reasoner)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Sturm, Bradley, Schultz, Collins, Johansson · FLA Reasoner, Samsonov, Callahan, Santorelli, Bergfors, Wilson

  72. P3 19:36Shot by Bergfors, saved by Varlamov5v6
  73. P3 19:48Goal by Ovechkin (Backstrom)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Alzner, Carlson · FLA Reasoner, Samsonov, Booth, Santorelli, Wilson, Kulikov

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final