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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 9, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 68% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:42Shot by Cole, saved by Smith
  3. P1 1:18Shot by Gagne, saved by Ward
  4. P1 1:19Shot by Gagne, saved by Ward
  5. P1 2:04Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  6. P1 2:38Shot by Tlusty, saved by Smith
  7. P1 3:09Shot by Jokinen, saved by Smith
  8. P1 4:05Shot by Downie, saved by Ward
  9. P1 4:09Shot by Lundin, saved by Ward
  10. P1 4:27Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  11. P1 4:29Pitkanen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Cole, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain · TBL Brewer, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Lundin, Stamkos

  12. P1 4:40Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward4v5
  13. P1 4:49Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward4v5
  14. P1 4:54Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward4v5
  15. P1 4:57Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward4v5
  16. P1 6:11Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward4v5
  17. P1 6:45Goal by Moore (Downie, Bergeron)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Skinner · TBL Hall, Moore, Smaby, Lundin, Downie

  18. P1 6:43Shot by Downie, saved by Ward
  19. P1 7:01Shot by Hall, saved by Ward
  20. P1 7:42Shot by Cole, saved by Smith
  21. P1 8:03Bergenheim: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Cole, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain, Sutter · TBL Kubina, Moore, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Smaby

  22. P1 8:27Shot by McBain, saved by Smith5v4
  23. P1 9:29Shot by Stillman, saved by Smith5v4
  24. P1 10:10Shot by Corvo, saved by Smith
  25. P1 11:19Goal by Lecavalier (St. Louis)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ruutu, Jokinen, Joslin, Skinner · TBL Ohlund, Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergenheim

  26. P1 12:37Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
  27. P1 13:17Goal by Stamkos (Purcell, Gagne)+9 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Cole, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain · TBL Brewer, Gagne, Lundin, Purcell, Stamkos

  28. P1 13:51Lecavalier: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Skinner · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Lundin, Downie

  29. P1 14:24Shot by McBain, saved by Smith5v4
  30. P1 14:58Shot by Corvo, saved by Smith5v4
  31. P1 15:38Shot by Joslin, saved by Smith5v4
  32. P1 16:25Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  33. P1 17:27Lundin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ruutu, Jokinen, McBain, Skinner · TBL Brewer, Moore, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Lundin

  34. P1 17:49Shot by Staal, saved by Smith5v4
  35. P1 17:55Shot by Corvo, saved by Smith5v4
  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 0:12Shot by Hall, saved by Ward
  39. P2 0:28Shot by Corvo, saved by Smith
  40. P2 0:47Shot by Stillman, saved by Smith
  41. P2 1:25Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  42. P2 3:59Shot by Corvo, saved by Smith
  43. P2 4:38Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith
  44. P2 5:23Shot by Lundin, saved by Ward
  45. P2 6:48Shot by Joslin, saved by Smith
  46. P2 7:57Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith
  47. P2 8:36Shot by Allen, saved by Smith
  48. P2 9:58Shot by Lundin, saved by Ward
  49. P2 10:53Goal by Clark (Lecavalier, St. Louis)+3 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Cole, Gleason, Staal, Joslin · TBL Ohlund, Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Purcell

  50. P2 11:04Shot by Downie, saved by Ward
  51. P2 11:49Shot by Downie, saved by Ward
  52. P2 12:18Shot by LaRose, saved by Smith
  53. P2 12:19Moore: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, LaRose, Joslin, Sutter, Bowman · TBL Brewer, Hall, Moore, Bergenheim, Lundin

  54. P2 12:23Tyrell: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Corvo, Cole, Pitkanen, Staal · TBL Ohlund, Brewer, Thompson, Tyrell

  55. P2 12:30Shot by Staal, saved by Smith5v3
  56. P2 13:31Goal by Stillman (Staal, Skinner)5v3+2 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Cole, Jokinen, Staal, Skinner · TBL Brewer, Hall, Thompson

  57. P2 15:40Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Ward
  58. P2 16:10Shot by Thompson, saved by Ward
  59. P2 16:22Shot by Staal, saved by Smith
  60. P2 17:26Shot by LaRose, saved by Smith
  61. P2 17:39Shot by Tyrell, saved by Ward
  62. P2 17:47Shot by Ruutu, saved by Smith
  63. P2 17:28Shot by Dwyer, saved by Smith
  64. P2 19:25Shot by Sutter, saved by Smith
  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 1:26Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  68. P3 3:44Shot by Staal, saved by Smith
  69. P3 3:54Shot by Staal, saved by Smith
  70. P3 4:45Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  71. P3 5:05Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Smith
  72. P3 5:23Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith
  73. P3 5:25Kubina: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ruutu, Jokinen, McBain, Skinner · TBL Kubina, Gagne, Lundin, Purcell, Stamkos

  74. P3 7:39Shot by Gagne, saved by Ward5v4
  75. P3 8:33Goal by LaRose (Sutter, McBain)+3 pts WP

    On ice: CAR LaRose, Pitkanen, Dwyer, McBain, Sutter · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Bergenheim, Lundin

  76. P3 10:59Shot by Corvo, saved by Smith
  77. P3 11:13Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Ward
  78. P3 12:36Shot by Sutter, saved by Smith
  79. P3 13:11Shot by Jokinen, saved by Smith
  80. P3 13:27Shot by Jokinen, saved by Smith
  81. P3 13:29Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith
  82. P3 15:19Shot by LaRose, saved by Smith
  83. P3 15:44Tyrell: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Corvo, Cole, Pitkanen, Staal · TBL Ohlund, Clark, Bergenheim, Thompson, Tyrell

  84. P3 15:59Shot by Jokinen, saved by Smith5v4
  85. P3 16:01Shot by Ruutu, saved by Smith5v4
  86. P3 16:20Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith5v4
  87. P3 16:51Shot by Staal, saved by Smith5v4
  88. P3 17:32Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith6v4
  89. P3 17:44Goal by Gagne (Thompson)6v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Jokinen, Staal, Joslin, Skinner · TBL Clark, Gagne, Thompson, Lundin

  90. P3 18:24Goal by St. Louis (Purcell, Smith)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, LaRose, Dwyer, Staal, McBain, Sutter · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Bergenheim, Smaby, Purcell

  91. P3 19:39Shot by Hall, saved by Ward4v5
  92. P3 19:49Shot by Sutter, saved by Smith
  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final