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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 9, 2011·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Buffalo Sabres 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 72% of the time.

CBJ winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Shot by Montador, saved by Mason
  3. P1 1:54Shot by Morrisonn, saved by Mason
  4. P1 3:16Shot by McCormick, saved by Mason
  5. P1 4:16Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Miller
  6. P1 4:52Shot by Clark, saved by Miller
  7. P1 1:38Shot by Upshall, saved by Miller
  8. P1 5:59Shot by Upshall, saved by Miller
  9. P1 6:04Shot by Huselius, saved by Miller
  10. P1 6:48Shot by Ellis, saved by Mason
  11. P1 7:12Morrisonn: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Tyutin, Methot, Brassard, Voracek, Calvert · BUF Gaustad, Morrisonn, Mancari, Gerbe, Weber

  12. P1 8:32Shot by Voracek, saved by Miller5v4
  13. P1 10:58Shot by Dorsett, saved by Miller
  14. P1 15:14Shot by Weber, saved by Mason
  15. P1 15:19Shot by Mancari, saved by Mason
  16. P1 15:29Shot by Mancari, saved by Mason
  17. P1 17:52Shot by Ennis, saved by Mason
  18. P1 18:08Shot by Dorsett, saved by Miller
  19. P1 18:11Shot by Clark, saved by Miller
  20. P1 18:11Shot by Pahlsson, saved by Miller
  21. P1 18:34Shot by Dorsett, saved by Miller
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:59Shot by Connolly, saved by Mason
  25. P2 1:26Shot by Connolly, saved by Mason
  26. P2 2:34Shot by Boyes, saved by Mason
  27. P2 3:26Shot by Myers, saved by Mason
  28. P2 4:15Goal by Dorsett (Pahlsson, Clark)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Clark, Pahlsson, Tyutin, Methot, Dorsett · BUF Gaustad, Montador, Mancari, Gragnani, Gerbe

  29. P2 4:31Mancari: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Huselius, Vermette, Tyutin, Upshall, Methot · BUF Gaustad, Morrisonn, Mancari, Gerbe, Weber

  30. P2 4:45Shot by Umberger, saved by Miller5v4
  31. P2 4:43Shot by Brassard, saved by Miller5v4
  32. P2 4:52Shot by Clitsome, saved by Miller5v4
  33. P2 5:01Shot by Clitsome, saved by Miller5v4
  34. P2 5:09Shot by Brassard, saved by Miller5v4
  35. P2 5:28Shot by Vermette, saved by Miller5v4
  36. P2 5:59Shot by Vermette, saved by Miller5v4
  37. P2 7:18Goal by Pominville (Montador, Boyes)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Rivet, Umberger, Lepisto, Brassard, Voracek · BUF Boyes, Montador, Pominville, Butler, Ennis

  38. P2 7:26Clark: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Clark, Pahlsson, Hejda, Methot, Dorsett · BUF Niedermayer, Connolly, Morrisonn, Pominville, Weber

  39. P2 7:38Shot by Dorsett, saved by Miller4v5
  40. P2 9:00Shot by Ennis, saved by Mason4v5
  41. P2 9:35Shot by Clark, saved by Miller
  42. P2 10:16Shot by Kaleta, saved by Mason
  43. P2 10:23Shot by McCormick, saved by Mason
  44. P2 11:51Goal by Butler (Gaustad, Mancari)+26 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Umberger, Hejda, Clitsome, Brassard, Voracek · BUF Gaustad, Mancari, Butler, Gerbe, Myers

  45. P2 12:21Shot by Clark, saved by Enroth
  46. P2 12:45Shot by McCormick, saved by Mason
  47. P2 13:30Shot by Boll, saved by Enroth
  48. P2 15:12Goal by Ennis (Boyes)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Umberger, Tyutin, Methot, Brassard, Voracek · BUF Boyes, Montador, Stafford, Gragnani, Ennis

  49. P2 16:02Shot by Ellis, saved by Mason
  50. P2 16:30Shot by Calvert, saved by Enroth
  51. P2 16:32Goal by Boll (Calvert, MacKenzie)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ MacKenzie, Hejda, Clitsome, Boll, Calvert · BUF Niedermayer, Connolly, Pominville, Butler, Myers

  52. P2 17:46Morrisonn: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CBJ MacKenzie, Vermette, Tyutin, Hejda, Boll, Calvert · BUF Boyes, Morrisonn, Stafford, Weber, Ennis

  53. P2 19:28Shot by Voracek, saved by Enroth5v4
  54. P2 19:37Shot by Clitsome, saved by Enroth5v4
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 2:37Goal by Huselius (Vermette, Lepisto)+30 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Rivet, Huselius, Vermette, Umberger, Lepisto · BUF Montador, McCormick, Ellis, Kaleta, Gragnani

  58. P3 2:55Shot by Brassard, saved by Enroth
  59. P3 3:18Shot by Rivet, saved by Enroth
  60. P3 4:04Shot by Clitsome, saved by Enroth
  61. P3 4:18Shot by Connolly, saved by Mason
  62. P3 4:53Shot by Methot, saved by Enroth
  63. P3 5:41Shot by Ellis, saved by Mason
  64. P3 8:44Shot by Umberger, saved by Enroth
  65. P3 9:57Shot by Gerbe, saved by Mason
  66. P3 11:16Shot by Gragnani, saved by Mason
  67. P3 11:24Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Enroth
  68. P3 11:39Shot by Ennis, saved by Mason
  69. P3 11:44Ennis: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Rivet, Huselius, Vermette, Lepisto, Boll · BUF Boyes, Morrisonn, Stafford, Weber, Ennis

  70. P3 11:44Rivet: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CBJ Rivet, Huselius, Vermette, Lepisto, Boll · BUF Boyes, Morrisonn, Stafford, Weber, Ennis

  71. P3 11:44Rivet: Game misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: CBJ Rivet, Huselius, Vermette, Lepisto, Boll · BUF Boyes, Morrisonn, Stafford, Weber, Ennis

  72. P3 11:44Rivet: Cross checking (5 min)4v4

    On ice: CBJ Rivet, Huselius, Vermette, Lepisto, Boll · BUF Boyes, Morrisonn, Stafford, Weber, Ennis

  73. P3 12:11Goal by Stafford (Pominville, Gragnani)4v5+33 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Clark, Pahlsson, Tyutin, Methot · BUF Connolly, Pominville, Stafford, Gragnani, Gerbe

  74. P3 12:30Shot by Myers, saved by Mason4v5
  75. P3 13:12Goal by Gaustad (Boyes, Myers)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Vermette, Umberger, Tyutin, Methot · BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Mancari, Butler, Myers

  76. P3 13:52Shot by Weber, saved by Mason4v5
  77. P3 14:58Shot by Gragnani, saved by Mason4v5
  78. P3 19:11Weber: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CBJ Huselius, Vermette, Umberger, Clitsome, Brassard, Calvert · BUF Niedermayer, Connolly, Montador, Pominville, Weber

  79. P3 19:20Shot by Clitsome, saved by Enroth6v4
  80. P3 19:37Goal by Huselius (Clitsome, Brassard)6v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Huselius, Vermette, Umberger, Clitsome, Brassard, Calvert · BUF Gaustad, Pominville, Butler, Myers

  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final