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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 7, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  3. P1 1:30Shot by Shannon, saved by Ward
  4. P1 1:43Shot by Shannon, saved by Ward
  5. P1 3:01Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  6. P1 4:40Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Roloson
  7. P1 5:04Shot by Jokinen, saved by Roloson
  8. P1 6:05Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  9. P1 6:34Shot by Malone, saved by Ward
  10. P1 6:35Shot by Malone, saved by Ward
  11. P1 6:39Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  12. P1 7:34Shot by Gilroy, saved by Ward
  13. P1 8:06Shot by Gleason, saved by Roloson6v5
  14. P1 8:07Goal by Skinner (Gleason, Ruutu)6v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal, Skinner · TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Malone, Purcell, Gilroy

  15. P1 8:22Shot by Brent, saved by Roloson
  16. P1 9:33Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Roloson
  17. P1 9:55Shot by Dwyer, saved by Roloson
  18. P1 10:30Shot by Staal, saved by Roloson
  19. P1 11:44Shot by Tlusty, saved by Roloson
  20. P1 11:59Shot by Jokinen, saved by Roloson
  21. P1 12:07Shot by Jokinen, saved by Roloson
  22. P1 13:40Shot by Dalpe, saved by Roloson
  23. P1 14:03Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
  24. P1 14:46Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  25. P1 14:47Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  26. P1 16:17Allen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ponikarovsky, Gleason, Dwyer, Sutter · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy

  27. P1 16:56Shot by Sutter, saved by Roloson4v5
  28. P1 17:10St. Louis: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Harrison, LaRose, Pitkanen, Brent · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Bergeron, Stamkos

  29. P1 17:45Shot by Jokinen, saved by Roloson4v4
  30. P1 18:09Shot by Staal, saved by Roloson4v4
  31. P1 19:18Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Roloson
  32. P1 19:58Stamkos: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ponikarovsky, Harrison, Dwyer, Sutter · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman

  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:20Shot by Staal, saved by Roloson5v4
  36. P2 1:49Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Roloson5v4
  37. P2 4:00Shot by Sutter, saved by Roloson
  38. P2 4:01Shot by Gleason, saved by Roloson
  39. P2 4:29Shot by Kaberle, saved by Roloson
  40. P2 5:14Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  41. P2 5:19Goal by St. Louis (Stamkos)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman

  42. P2 5:18Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  43. P2 6:06Shot by Thompson, saved by Ward
  44. P2 6:07Allen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Harrison, Brent, Stewart, Dalpe · TBL Clark, Kubina, Lecavalier, Malone, Purcell

  45. P2 6:30Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward4v5
  46. P2 6:37Lecavalier: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Pitkanen, Dwyer, Sutter · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Stamkos

  47. P2 8:54Connolly: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, Skinner · TBL Clark, Kubina, Malone, Purcell, Connolly

  48. P2 10:21Faulk: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Ponikarovsky, Harrison, Jokinen, Sutter, Faulk · TBL Brewer, Thompson, Shannon, Hedman

  49. P2 10:19Shot by Thompson, saved by Ward5v4
  50. P2 12:48Shot by Skinner, saved by Roloson
  51. P2 13:42Shot by LaRose, saved by Roloson
  52. P2 16:43Shot by Staal, saved by Roloson
  53. P2 17:31Faulk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Jokinen, LaRose, Tlusty, Faulk · TBL Kubina, Moore, Bergeron, Shannon, Jones

  54. P2 17:31Jokinen: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Jokinen, LaRose, Tlusty, Faulk · TBL Kubina, Moore, Bergeron, Shannon, Jones

  55. P2 17:50Goal by Lecavalier (Stamkos, St. Louis)3v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Sutter · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos

  56. P2 18:26Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward4v5
  57. P2 17:49Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward3v5
  58. P2 19:07Shot by Kubina, saved by Ward4v5
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:13Shot by Gilroy, saved by Ward
  62. P3 1:18Shot by Kubina, saved by Ward
  63. P3 1:47Shot by Jokinen, saved by Roloson
  64. P3 1:53Shot by Tlusty, saved by Roloson
  65. P3 6:03Shot by Staal, saved by Roloson
  66. P3 7:36Malone: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Ruutu, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Malone, Purcell, Hedman

  67. P3 7:42Shot by Sutter, saved by Roloson5v4
  68. P3 10:29Staal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Staal, Stewart, Dalpe · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman

  69. P3 11:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward4v5
  70. P3 12:22Goal by Downie (Bergeron, Shannon)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Tlusty · TBL Kubina, Bergeron, Shannon, Downie, Purcell

  71. P3 12:32Goal by Hall (Thompson, Jones)+3 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty · TBL Clark, Hall, Thompson, Jones, Hedman

  72. P3 12:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  73. P3 12:45Shot by Malone, saved by Ward
  74. P3 13:27Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward
  75. P3 16:26Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Roloson
  76. P3 16:37Shot by Kaberle, saved by Roloson
  77. P3 16:58Goal by Malone (Purcell, Brewer)0 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ruutu, Harrison, Staal, Skinner · TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Malone, Purcell, Hedman

  78. P3 17:09Shot by Jones, saved by Ward
  79. P3 17:20Shot by Hall, saved by Ward
  80. P3 18:06Shot by Jones, saved by Ward
  81. P3 18:22Shot by Dwyer, saved by Roloson
  82. P3 18:25Shot by Dwyer, saved by Roloson
  83. P3 18:29Shot by Sutter, saved by Roloson
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final