Fri, Oct 7, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Carolina Hurricanes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.
37%
10%
9%
44%
CAR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 24:34 | 0.00 | 80.6% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.04 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:42 | 0.23 | 51.1% | +50.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:07 | 0.58 | 51.3% | +50.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.06 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.00 | 13.2% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.02 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.03 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.24 | 59.4% | +2.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:50 | 0.41 | 61.5% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.06 | 36.5% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.02 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 0.39 | 60.3% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.01 | 66.3% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:56 | 0.44 | 42.7% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:42 | 0.39 | 62.7% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:04 | 0.21 | 77.9% | +2.6 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.93 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:18 | 0.01 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:57 | 0.11 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.15 | 52.1% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:43 | 0.00 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 18:40 | 0.56 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:01 | 0.27 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.07 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 17:15 | 0.16 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.00 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.77 | 42.2% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.05 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.03 | 35.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:18 | 0.26 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.11 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:01 | 0.10 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.13 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:38 | 0.14 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:32 | 0.01 | 59.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 3.14 | −1.9 | 59:56 |