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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 7, 2011·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 75% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:05Shot by Cleary, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 1:06Lee: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Cleary, Stuart, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Hudler · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Lee, Greening, Zibanejad

  4. P1 1:25Shot by White, saved by Anderson5v4
  5. P1 1:50Shot by Condra, saved by Howard5v4
  6. P1 2:50Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Anderson5v4
  7. P1 3:41Shot by Foligno, saved by Howard
  8. P1 3:49Shot by Foligno, saved by Howard
  9. P1 4:15Shot by Greening, saved by Howard
  10. P1 4:23Shot by Emmerton, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 4:49Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Howard
  12. P1 6:30Shot by Kindl, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 7:58Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 11:55Shot by Franzen, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 14:13Shot by Da Costa, saved by Howard
  16. P1 14:58Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 16:01Goal by Bertuzzi (Helm, Kindl)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Ericsson, Kindl, Abdelkader, Helm · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Lee, Foligno, Da Costa

  18. P1 16:25Shot by Foligno, saved by Howard
  19. P1 17:37Shot by Filppula, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 18:38Shot by Ericsson, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 18:57Shot by Kuba, saved by Howard
  22. P1 19:42Shot by Spezza, saved by Howard
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:25Shot by Michalek, saved by Howard
  26. P2 0:32Shot by Michalek, saved by Howard
  27. P2 0:43Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 0:54Shot by White, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 1:39Goal by Lidstrom, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, White, Abdelkader, Helm · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Lee, Greening, Zibanejad

  30. P2 3:16Neil: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, White, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm · OTT Phillips, Neil, Lee, Foligno, Da Costa

  31. P2 3:25Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Anderson5v4
  32. P2 4:37Shot by Filppula, saved by Anderson5v4
  33. P2 5:34Shot by Neil, saved by Howard
  34. P2 6:17Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 6:42Shot by Smith, saved by Howard
  36. P2 7:55Shot by Spezza, saved by Howard
  37. P2 8:02Shot by Kronwall, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 8:08Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 9:14Shot by Helm, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 9:40Goal by Emmerton (Miller)+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Holmstrom, Ericsson, Miller, Kindl, Emmerton · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Greening, Karlsson, Zibanejad

  41. P2 10:01Shot by Cleary, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 10:38Goal by Hudler (Datsyuk, Ericsson)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Cleary, Datsyuk, Hudler, Ericsson, Kindl · OTT Gonchar, Condra, Smith, Cowen, Butler

  43. P2 10:54Shot by Michalek, saved by Howard
  44. P2 12:06White: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, White, Abdelkader, Helm · OTT Kuba, Neil, Greening, Karlsson, Da Costa

  45. P2 12:49Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson4v5
  46. P2 13:17Shot by Spezza, saved by Howard4v5
  47. P2 14:13Shot by Neil, saved by Howard
  48. P2 14:24Shot by Neil, saved by Howard
  49. P2 14:25Shot by Foligno, saved by Howard
  50. P2 16:20Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 18:44Shot by Cleary, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 18:55Shot by Stuart, saved by Anderson
  53. P2 19:44Shot by Greening, saved by Howard
  54. P2 19:45Shot by Greening, saved by Howard
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:28Shot by Filatov, saved by Howard
  58. P3 0:56Shot by Da Costa, saved by Howard
  59. P3 3:09Shot by Hudler, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 3:12Goal by White (Miller, Emmerton)0 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, White, Miller, Emmerton · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Lee, Foligno, Da Costa

  61. P3 3:28Shot by Lee, saved by Howard
  62. P3 4:15Shot by Neil, saved by Howard
  63. P3 4:55Shot by Stuart, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 5:07Shot by Smith, saved by Howard
  65. P3 5:42Shot by Michalek, saved by Howard
  66. P3 5:49Goal by Michalek (Spezza, Filatov)0 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Datsyuk, Hudler, White · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Lee, Filatov

  67. P3 6:36Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Howard
  68. P3 7:15Shot by Filppula, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 8:03White: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Cleary, Datsyuk, Hudler, White · OTT Kuba, Neil, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson, Zibanejad

  70. P3 8:22Goal by Michalek (Spezza, Karlsson)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Stuart, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Helm · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Filatov, Karlsson

  71. P3 5:20Shot by Butler, saved by Howard
  72. P3 9:06Shot by Kindl, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 9:09Kuba: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Cleary, Datsyuk, Hudler, Ericsson, Kindl · OTT Kuba, Condra, Smith, Karlsson, Butler

  74. P3 10:28Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Anderson5v4
  75. P3 10:28Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Anderson5v4
  76. P3 15:13Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Ericsson, Kindl, Abdelkader, Helm · OTT Phillips, Neil, Lee, Greening, Zibanejad

  77. P3 16:09Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Anderson5v4
  78. P3 16:20Shot by Kronwall, saved by Anderson5v4
  79. P3 16:37Kindl: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler, Franzen, Kindl · OTT Kuba, Condra, Smith, Cowen

  80. P3 16:54Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Anderson4v4
  81. P3 18:29Goal by Kuba (Alfredsson, Zibanejad)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Lee, Greening, Zibanejad

  82. P3 18:40Butler: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Cleary, Datsyuk, White, Kindl · OTT Phillips, Foligno, Smith, Cowen, Butler

  83. P3 19:22Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Anderson5v4
  84. P3 19:30Shot by Stuart, saved by Anderson5v4
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final