Fri, Oct 7, 2011·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 75% of the time.
67%
19%
DET winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.02 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:57 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:45 | 0.00 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.02 | 48.0% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.22 | 52.3% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.06 | 55.0% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:02 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 18:01 | 0.69 | 51.3% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 15:43 | 0.22 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:27 | 0.23 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.30 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.05 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.08 | 46.2% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.05 | 25.8% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.00 | 6.3% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:23 | 0.17 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.07 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:28 | 0.05 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 39 | 34 | 5 | .872 | 3.80 | −1.2 | 59:49 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:28 | 0.19 | 49.4% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:29 | 0.11 | 58.8% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:25 | 0.08 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:47 | 0.36 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:44 | 0.16 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:30 | 0.41 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.13 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.28 | 66.3% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.02 | 79.6% | +18.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.27 | 61.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.20 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.03 | 65.5% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.19 | 69.2% | +18.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:59 | 0.26 | 63.5% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:26 | 0.40 | 79.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 11:29 | 0.46 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 8:33 | 0.18 | 50.8% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 8:22 | 0.05 | 52.8% | +6.6 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.24 | −0.8 | 60:00 |