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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 7, 2011·Hartwall Areena, HelsinkiNeutral site

Anaheim Ducks 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.

BUF winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Koivu, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:08Gaustad: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Gaustad, McCormick, Kaleta, Gragnani · ANA Parros, Visnovsky, Guenin, Macenauer, McMillan

  4. P1 1:54Shot by Fowler, saved by Miller4v5
  5. P1 2:21Koivu: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Stafford, Myers · ANA Koivu, Beauchemin, Blake, Ryan, Sbisa

  6. P1 3:41Shot by Pominville, saved by Hiller5v4
  7. P1 4:01Shot by Vanek, saved by Hiller5v4
  8. P1 4:02Goal by Vanek (Adam, Pominville)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Gragnani, Adam · ANA Brookbank, Gordon, Macenauer, Sbisa

  9. P1 5:28Shot by Blake, saved by Miller
  10. P1 7:33Shot by Boyes, saved by Hiller
  11. P1 8:30Goal by Leino (Sekera, Boyes)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Sekera, Gragnani, Leino, Ennis · ANA Visnovsky, Gordon, Cogliano, Sbisa, Smith-Pelly

  12. P1 9:04Shot by Stafford, saved by Hiller
  13. P1 9:07Shot by Gerbe, saved by Hiller
  14. P1 10:36Perry: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Adam · ANA Beauchemin, Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Fowler

  15. P1 12:17Shot by Vanek, saved by Hiller5v4
  16. P1 13:14Shot by Blake, saved by Miller
  17. P1 13:18Regehr: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Boyes, Leino, Myers, Ennis · ANA Koivu, Blake, Visnovsky, Perry, Fowler

  18. P1 16:05Shot by Sbisa, saved by Miller
  19. P1 16:54Shot by Macenauer, saved by Miller
  20. P1 18:37Regehr: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Adam · ANA Parros, Brookbank, Guenin, Macenauer, McMillan

  21. P1 18:37Parros: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Adam · ANA Parros, Brookbank, Guenin, Macenauer, McMillan

  22. P1 19:59Shot by Ennis, saved by Hiller4v4
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:23Shot by Sbisa, saved by Miller
  26. P2 2:09Shot by Pominville, saved by Hiller
  27. P2 3:01Shot by Guenin, saved by Miller
  28. P2 3:06Shot by Blake, saved by Miller
  29. P2 3:33Shot by Fowler, saved by Miller
  30. P2 4:32Goal by Guenin (Macenauer)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, McCormick, Sekera, Kaleta, Gragnani · ANA Parros, Brookbank, Guenin, Macenauer, McMillan

  31. P2 5:42Shot by Vanek, saved by Hiller
  32. P2 5:45Goal by Pominville (Vanek, Adam)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Adam · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Blake, Visnovsky, Sbisa

  33. P2 5:56Shot by Perry, saved by Miller
  34. P2 6:12Shot by Stafford, saved by Hiller
  35. P2 7:33Shot by Ennis, saved by Hiller
  36. P2 8:05Shot by Vanek, saved by Hiller
  37. P2 9:23Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Hiller
  38. P2 9:55Shot by Blake, saved by Miller
  39. P2 9:56Stafford: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Gerbe · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Blake, Visnovsky, Sbisa

  40. P2 9:56Koivu: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Gerbe · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Blake, Visnovsky, Sbisa

  41. P2 10:37Shot by Regehr, saved by Hiller4v4
  42. P2 11:06Shot by Vanek, saved by Hiller4v4
  43. P2 11:21Cogliano: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Roy, Sekera, Gragnani, Gerbe · ANA Beauchemin, Ryan, Cogliano, Fowler

  44. P2 11:37Shot by Pominville, saved by Hiller4v3
  45. P2 11:57Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Hiller5v4
  46. P2 11:59Goal by Vanek (Ehrhoff, Pominville)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Stafford, Gragnani · ANA Koivu, Beauchemin, Macenauer, Fowler

  47. P2 13:04Shot by Cogliano, saved by Miller
  48. P2 14:13Shot by McMillan, saved by Miller
  49. P2 15:13Shot by Ryan, saved by Miller
  50. P2 16:05Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Miller
  51. P2 17:01Guenin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Kaleta · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Blake, Brookbank, Guenin

  52. P2 18:00Shot by Stafford, saved by Hiller5v4
  53. P2 18:21Shot by Cogliano, saved by Miller5v4
  54. P2 18:51Shot by Vanek, saved by Hiller5v4
  55. P2 19:13Shot by Vanek, saved by Hiller
  56. P2 19:32Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Miller
  57. P2 19:45Shot by Ennis, saved by Hiller
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:13Shot by Blake, saved by Miller
  61. P3 2:40Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Miller
  62. P3 4:09Roy: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Stafford, Sekera, Gragnani, Gerbe · ANA Selanne, Koivu, Blake, Visnovsky, Sbisa

  63. P3 5:03Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Miller4v5
  64. P3 5:25Ehrhoff: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Gerbe · ANA Selanne, Visnovsky, Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler

  65. P3 7:02Shot by Ryan, saved by Miller4v5
  66. P3 10:58Shot by Ryan, saved by Miller
  67. P3 12:30Shot by Fowler, saved by Miller
  68. P3 13:01Shot by Fowler, saved by Miller
  69. P3 13:27Ehrhoff: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Ehrhoff, Kaleta, Ennis, Adam · ANA Parros, Brookbank, Guenin, Macenauer, McMillan

  70. P3 13:36Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Miller4v5
  71. P3 14:25Shot by Selanne, saved by Miller4v5
  72. P3 14:44Shot by Perry, saved by Miller4v5
  73. P3 18:33Shot by Gordon, saved by Miller
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final