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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 8, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Away

Ottawa Senators

5

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:58Schenn: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Grabovski, Kulemin, Frattin, Schenn · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Filatov, Karlsson

  3. P1 3:58Shot by Da Costa, saved by Reimer4v5
  4. P1 5:37Shot by Lee, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 5:42Brown: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lombardi, Orr, Brown, Schenn · OTT Gonchar, Konopka, Condra, Smith, Cowen

  6. P1 5:42Konopka: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lombardi, Orr, Brown, Schenn · OTT Gonchar, Konopka, Condra, Smith, Cowen

  7. P1 6:22Shot by Spezza, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 7:44Shot by Spezza, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 7:56Shot by Michalek, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 8:12Lupul: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Spezza, Michalek, Cowen

  11. P1 8:54Shot by Da Costa, saved by Reimer4v5
  12. P1 10:27Shot by Liles, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 11:47Cowen: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, Steckel, Dupuis, Gardiner · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Foligno, Cowen, Da Costa

  14. P1 12:16Shot by Grabovski, saved by Anderson5v4
  15. P1 12:58Goal by Grabovski (Kulemin, Phaneuf)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Frattin · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Lee

  16. P1 14:37Shot by Frattin, saved by Anderson5v4
  17. P1 15:11Shot by Steckel, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 15:56Shot by Greening, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 16:15Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Reimer
  20. P1 16:21Shot by Smith, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 16:22Shot by Condra, saved by Reimer
  22. P1 16:50Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 18:03Shot by Gardiner, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 18:51Goal by Kessel (Lupul, Gunnarsson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Bozak · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Foligno, Karlsson, Da Costa

  25. P1 19:00Shot by Lupul, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 19:42Shot by Grabovski, saved by Anderson
  27. P1 19:58Shot by Dupuis, saved by Anderson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:15Shot by Kulemin, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 0:50Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 3:14Foligno: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Lee, Foligno, Da Costa

  33. P2 3:51Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Anderson5v4
  34. P2 4:04Shot by Phillips, saved by Reimer5v4
  35. P2 4:28Lupul: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Gardiner, Bozak · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Greening, Cowen

  36. P2 5:59Shot by Spezza, saved by Reimer4v5
  37. P2 6:33Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Lupul, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Schenn · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Filatov, Karlsson, Da Costa

  38. P2 6:33Neil: Instigator (2 min)5v3

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Lupul, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Schenn · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Filatov, Karlsson, Da Costa

  39. P2 6:33Neil: Fighting (5 min)5v3

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Lupul, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Schenn · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Filatov, Karlsson, Da Costa

  40. P2 6:33Neil: Misconduct (10 min)5v3

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Lupul, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Schenn · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Filatov, Karlsson, Da Costa

  41. P2 6:33Schenn: Fighting (5 min)5v3

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Lupul, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Schenn · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Filatov, Karlsson, Da Costa

  42. P2 7:56Goal by Lupul (Liles, Kessel)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak · OTT Phillips, Lee, Greening, Condra

  43. P2 8:43Shot by Grabovski, saved by Anderson5v4
  44. P2 8:46Shot by Grabovski, saved by Anderson5v4
  45. P2 8:52Shot by Kuba, saved by Reimer5v4
  46. P2 9:15Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson5v4
  47. P2 9:33Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Anderson5v4
  48. P2 11:21Komisarek: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lombardi, Orr, Komisarek, Brown, Gardiner · OTT Gonchar, Konopka, Greening, Condra, Cowen

  49. P2 13:17Shot by Lombardi, saved by Anderson4v5
  50. P2 14:13Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Reimer
  51. P2 14:48Shot by Michalek, saved by Reimer
  52. P2 17:01Shot by Brown, saved by Anderson
  53. P2 17:59Shot by Frattin, saved by Anderson
  54. P2 18:49Goal by Kessel (Bozak, Lupul)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Foligno, Karlsson, Da Costa

  55. P2 19:29Shot by Michalek, saved by Reimer
  56. P2 19:46Shot by Dupuis, saved by Anderson
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:35Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Auld
  60. P3 1:42Goal by Greening (Gonchar, Spezza)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, Steckel, Dupuis, Gardiner · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Lee, Greening, Zibanejad

  61. P3 2:30Shot by Gardiner, saved by Auld
  62. P3 2:51Shot by Brown, saved by Auld
  63. P3 2:52Goal by Orr (Brown)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lombardi, Orr, Phaneuf, Brown, Gunnarsson · OTT Spezza, Konopka, Lee, Foligno, Karlsson

  64. P3 3:01Grabovski: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Frattin · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Michalek, Cowen, Da Costa

  65. P3 4:20Karlsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lombardi, Komisarek, Brown, Kessel, Gunnarsson · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson, Zibanejad

  66. P3 5:03Shot by Condra, saved by Reimer5v4
  67. P3 5:11Shot by Grabovski, saved by Auld5v4
  68. P3 5:42Shot by Frattin, saved by Auld5v4
  69. P3 7:12Filatov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lombardi, Orr, Phaneuf, Brown, Gunnarsson · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Filatov, Karlsson, Da Costa

  70. P3 7:46Shot by Smith, saved by Reimer5v4
  71. P3 8:57Alfredsson: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Gardiner · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Spezza, Cowen

  72. P3 9:06Shot by Liles, saved by Auld5v3
  73. P3 9:10Konopka: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v3

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak · OTT Kuba, Phillips, Konopka

  74. P3 9:56Shot by Liles, saved by Auld5v3
  75. P3 11:04Goal by Alfredsson (Phillips, Smith)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Gardiner · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Phillips, Smith

  76. P3 13:10Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Reimer
  77. P3 13:17Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  78. P3 13:58Shot by Spezza, saved by Reimer
  79. P3 14:19Komisarek: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, Steckel, Dupuis, Gunnarsson · OTT Gonchar, Konopka, Smith, Filatov, Cowen

  80. P3 14:19Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, Steckel, Dupuis, Gunnarsson · OTT Gonchar, Konopka, Smith, Filatov, Cowen

  81. P3 14:19Komisarek: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Armstrong, Steckel, Dupuis, Gunnarsson · OTT Gonchar, Konopka, Smith, Filatov, Cowen

  82. P3 14:25Phaneuf: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Gunnarsson · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  83. P3 15:00Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Reimer3v5
  84. P3 15:27Shot by Karlsson, saved by Reimer3v5
  85. P3 15:36Shot by Michalek, saved by Reimer3v5
  86. P3 15:36Goal by Spezza (Michalek, Karlsson)3v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lombardi, Schenn · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  87. P3 15:44Goal by Alfredsson (Karlsson)4v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Steckel, Dupuis, Gunnarsson · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  88. P3 17:41Goal by Kessel (Lombardi, Schenn)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lombardi, Steckel, Kessel, Schenn · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Greening, Cowen, Da Costa

  89. P3 17:57Shot by Neil, saved by Reimer
  90. P3 18:06Goal by Da Costa (Karlsson)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lombardi, Komisarek, Armstrong, Steckel, Schenn · OTT Kuba, Neil, Greening, Karlsson, Da Costa

  91. P3 18:18Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Auld
  92. P3 18:55Shot by Lupul, saved by Auld
  93. P3 19:05Shot by Da Costa, saved by Reimer
  94. P3 19:16Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Reimer5v6
  95. P3 19:53Phaneuf: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Lombardi, Steckel, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Neil, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  96. P3 0:00Period end
  97. P3 0:00Final