Sat, Oct 8, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.
48%
8%
36%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 3 | 3 | −2 | 1 | 26:08 | 0.13 | 52.7% | +14.8 |
 Sergei GoncharD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 23:29 | 0.10 | 59.8% | +1.4 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23:01 | 0.78 | 27.7% | +2.6 |
 Milan MichalekLW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:27 | 0.34 | 40.5% | +1.2 |
 Daniel AlfredssonRW · #11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 20:16 | 0.60 | 20.8% | +9.0 |
 Filip KubaD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.01 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
 Chris PhillipsD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.10 | 46.8% | +0.5 |
 Jared CowenD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
 Brian LeeD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.06 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
 Colin GreeningC · #14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.17 | 88.9% | +1.4 |
 Erik CondraRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.40 | 85.6% | 0.0 |
 Nick FolignoLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.01 | 10.4% | 0.0 |
 Nikita FilatovLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.02 | 39.0% | 0.0 |
 Stephane Da CostaC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 12:19 | 0.28 | 46.7% | +5.1 |
 Mika ZibanejadC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 11:14 | 0.25 | 74.5% | 0.0 |
 Zack SmithC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:56 | 0.07 | 81.8% | +0.5 |
 Chris NeilRW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:35 | 0.25 | 89.9% | 0.0 |
 Zenon KonopkaC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:28 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0 |
 Alex Auld#35 | L | 11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 1.22 | −0.8 | 19:05 |
 Craig Anderson#41 | – | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.68 | −1.3 | 40:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 26:56 | 0.23 | 85.9% | +16.9 |
 John-Michael LilesD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 23:43 | 0.23 | 46.2% | +5.9 |
 Carl GunnarssonD · #36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:00 | 0.05 | 87.3% | +12.6 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 19:43 | 0.31 | 51.5% | +26.4 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.02 | 34.9% | +6.2 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiC · #84 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 17:53 | 1.21 | 63.7% | +16.9 |
 Nikolay KuleminLW · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.11 | 62.9% | +16.9 |
 Joffrey LupulLW · #19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 17:02 | 0.39 | 50.3% | +20.3 |
 David SteckelC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.01 | 19.2% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.26 | 50.5% | +1.7 |
 Mike KomisarekD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.00 | 25.6% | 0.0 |
 Matt FrattinRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:59 | 0.35 | 53.5% | 0.0 |
 Philippe DupuisC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.15 | 40.6% | 0.0 |
 Colby ArmstrongRW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:02 | 0.05 | 8.0% | 0.0 |
 Matthew LombardiC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.05 | 52.3% | +6.2 |
 Mike BrownRW · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 6:45 | 0.12 | 73.4% | +1.3 |
 Colton OrrRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2:59 | 0.36 | 71.6% | +1.3 |
 James Reimer#34 | W | 32 | 27 | 5 | .844 | 3.56 | −1.4 | 59:56 |