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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 8, 2011·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Phoenix Coyotes 3, San Jose Sharks 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 93% of the time.

SJS winsPHX wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Mitchell, saved by Smith
  3. P1 0:33Shot by Marleau, saved by Smith
  4. P1 3:04Shot by Couture, saved by Smith
  5. P1 3:47Pyatt: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Burns, Mitchell, Vlasic, McGinn · PHX Rozsival, Pyatt, Vrbata, Klesla, Hanzal

  6. P1 4:01Goal by Pavelski (Marleau, Burns)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Burns, Pavelski · PHX Morris, Gordon, Chipchura, Yandle

  7. P1 4:41Shot by Wingels, saved by Smith
  8. P1 5:49Shot by Handzus, saved by Smith
  9. P1 6:01Shot by Burns, saved by Smith
  10. P1 6:04Shot by Handzus, saved by Smith
  11. P1 6:10Morris: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Burns, Mitchell, Vlasic, McGinn · PHX Morris, Pyatt, Vrbata, Hanzal, Yandle

  12. P1 7:19Shot by Chipchura, saved by Greiss5v4
  13. P1 8:23Goal by Handzus (Mitchell, Demers)+11 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Boyle, Murray, Mitchell, McGinn · PHX Aucoin, Langkow, Doan, Morris, Ekman-Larsson

  14. P1 9:10Shot by Desjardins, saved by Smith
  15. P1 9:21Shot by Desjardins, saved by Smith
  16. P1 9:37Shot by Murray, saved by Smith
  17. P1 11:02Shot by Boyle, saved by Smith
  18. P1 11:32Shot by Morris, saved by Greiss
  19. P1 13:05Shot by Wingels, saved by Smith
  20. P1 15:19Shot by Desjardins, saved by Smith
  21. P1 16:23Shot by Yandle, saved by Greiss
  22. P1 16:28Shot by Boedker, saved by Greiss
  23. P1 18:20Shot by Couture, saved by Smith
  24. P1 19:13Shot by Marleau, saved by Smith
  25. P1 19:14Shot by Pavelski, saved by Smith
  26. P1 19:15Shot by Boyle, saved by Smith
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:59Shot by Doan, saved by Greiss
  30. P2 1:22Shot by Marleau, saved by Smith
  31. P2 2:04Shot by Clowe, saved by Smith
  32. P2 2:33Shot by Clowe, saved by Smith
  33. P2 2:38Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Greiss
  34. P2 2:39Couture: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS White, Clowe, Couture, Demers, Wingels · PHX Aucoin, Torres, Korpikoski, Boedker, Ekman-Larsson

  35. P2 3:47Shot by Vrbata, saved by Greiss4v5
  36. P2 4:01Shot by Doan, saved by Greiss4v5
  37. P2 5:43Shot by Hanzal, saved by Greiss
  38. P2 5:55Shot by Morris, saved by Greiss
  39. P2 6:09Shot by Thornton, saved by Smith
  40. P2 6:25Morris: Boarding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski, Couture · PHX Morris, Klesla, Torres, Korpikoski, Boedker

  41. P2 6:35Shot by Pavelski, saved by Smith5v4
  42. P2 6:55Shot by Burns, saved by Smith5v4
  43. P2 7:04Shot by Couture, saved by Smith5v4
  44. P2 7:33Goal by Clowe (Couture, Wingels)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Clowe, Couture, Demers, Wingels · PHX Aucoin, Gordon, Chipchura, Ekman-Larsson

  45. P2 7:47Shot by Doan, saved by Greiss
  46. P2 8:33Goal by Desjardins, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Murray, Winchester, Murray, Desjardins, Demers · PHX Aucoin, Klesla, Torres, Korpikoski, Boedker

  47. P2 8:45Shot by Winchester, saved by Smith
  48. P2 9:05Shot by Murray, saved by Smith
  49. P2 9:36Shot by Chipchura, saved by Greiss
  50. P2 10:04Marleau: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Vlasic · PHX Aucoin, Gordon, Bissonnette, Chipchura, Ekman-Larsson

  51. P2 11:20Shot by Doan, saved by Greiss4v5
  52. P2 11:39Murray: Holding the stick (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Murray, Pavelski, Desjardins · PHX Langkow, Doan, Pyatt, Korpikoski, Yandle

  53. P2 12:16Goal by Doan (Vrbata, Yandle)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Vlasic · PHX Whitney, Doan, Vrbata, Hanzal, Yandle

  54. P2 13:06Shot by Couture, saved by Smith
  55. P2 14:05Shot by Pyatt, saved by Greiss
  56. P2 14:24Shot by Vlasic, saved by Smith
  57. P2 14:52Shot by Morris, saved by Greiss
  58. P2 15:28Shot by Thornton, saved by Smith
  59. P2 15:34Klesla: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS White, Thornton, Marleau, Clowe, Pavelski, Demers · PHX Whitney, Aucoin, Langkow, Doan, Klesla

  60. P2 15:40Shot by Burns, saved by Smith5v4
  61. P2 15:47Shot by Hanzal, saved by Greiss5v4
  62. P2 16:15Shot by Couture, saved by Smith5v4
  63. P2 16:54Goal by Pavelski (Boyle, Marleau)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Pavelski, Demers · PHX Aucoin, Korpikoski, Hanzal, Ekman-Larsson

  64. P2 18:11Shot by Pyatt, saved by Greiss
  65. P2 18:42Goal by Desjardins (Winchester)+1 pts WP

    On ice: SJS White, Winchester, Murray, Desjardins, Demers · PHX Aucoin, Pyatt, Vrbata, Hanzal, Ekman-Larsson

  66. P2 18:49Shot by Couture, saved by Smith
  67. P2 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Period start
  69. P3 0:51Shot by Gordon, saved by Greiss
  70. P3 1:50Shot by Mitchell, saved by Smith
  71. P3 3:09Thornton: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Vlasic · PHX Morris, Bissonnette, Chipchura, Boedker, Ekman-Larsson

  72. P3 4:56Goal by Ekman-Larsson (Boedker, Langkow)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Burns, Mitchell, Vlasic · PHX Langkow, Pyatt, Korpikoski, Boedker, Ekman-Larsson

  73. P3 5:15Shot by Aucoin, saved by Greiss
  74. P3 6:30Shot by Yandle, saved by Greiss
  75. P3 6:43Shot by Mitchell, saved by Smith
  76. P3 6:58Shot by Boyle, saved by Smith
  77. P3 7:24Shot by Burns, saved by Smith
  78. P3 9:00Wingels: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Murray, Clowe, Couture, Wingels · PHX Klesla, Torres, Gordon, Korpikoski, Yandle

  79. P3 9:41Desjardins: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SJS White, Murray, Vlasic, Desjardins · PHX Langkow, Pyatt, Korpikoski, Boedker, Ekman-Larsson

  80. P3 10:02Shot by Vrbata, saved by Greiss3v5
  81. P3 10:06Shot by Whitney, saved by Greiss3v5
  82. P3 10:25Goal by Doan (Yandle, Whitney)3v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Murray, Vlasic · PHX Whitney, Doan, Vrbata, Hanzal, Yandle

  83. P3 12:22Aucoin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski · PHX Aucoin, Torres, Gordon, Korpikoski, Ekman-Larsson

  84. P3 12:56Shot by Burns, saved by Smith5v4
  85. P3 12:58Shot by Marleau, saved by Smith5v4
  86. P3 12:57Shot by Marleau, saved by Smith5v4
  87. P3 13:17Shot by Wingels, saved by Smith5v4
  88. P3 13:58Shot by Wingels, saved by Smith5v4
  89. P3 14:23Shot by Marleau, saved by Smith
  90. P3 14:25Shot by Marleau, saved by Smith
  91. P3 14:42Shot by Klesla, saved by Greiss
  92. P3 15:32Shot by Hanzal, saved by Greiss
  93. P3 16:09Shot by Murray, saved by Smith
  94. P3 17:12Shot by Langkow, saved by Greiss
  95. P3 17:17Doan: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS White, Clowe, Couture, Demers, Wingels · PHX Whitney, Aucoin, Langkow, Doan, Ekman-Larsson

  96. P3 17:17Clowe: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: SJS White, Clowe, Couture, Demers, Wingels · PHX Whitney, Aucoin, Langkow, Doan, Ekman-Larsson

  97. P3 17:17Clowe: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: SJS White, Clowe, Couture, Demers, Wingels · PHX Whitney, Aucoin, Langkow, Doan, Ekman-Larsson

  98. P3 17:39Shot by Yandle, saved by Greiss4v5
  99. P3 19:25Yandle: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Murray, Pavelski, Vlasic, McGinn · PHX Langkow, Pyatt, Gordon, Korpikoski, Yandle, Ekman-Larsson

  100. P3 19:36Shot by Thornton, saved by Smith5v4
  101. P3 19:44Shot by Boyle, saved by Smith5v4
  102. P3 0:00Period end
  103. P3 0:00Final