Sat, Oct 15, 2011·Centre Bell, Montreal
Colorado Avalanche 6, Montréal Canadiens 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 73% of the time.
65%
20%
MTL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 26:08 | 0.10 | 43.2% | +63.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:51 | 0.01 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 24:33 | 0.15 | 37.3% | +69.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:36 | 0.14 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:49 | 0.42 | 46.0% | +47.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.11 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:14 | 0.10 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.03 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 18:33 | 0.40 | 46.6% | +64.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.02 | 17.7% | +27.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.19 | 44.5% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.11 | 36.7% | +41.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.00 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:52 | 0.10 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:51 | 0.04 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:54 | 0.03 | 21.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 43 | 38 | 5 | .884 | 3.26 | −1.7 | 64:55 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 25:41 | 0.14 | 68.1% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 23:17 | 0.59 | 55.0% | +49.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:09 | 0.02 | 61.9% | +38.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 22:21 | 1.05 | 66.9% | +49.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:58 | 0.02 | 64.0% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:37 | 0.22 | 82.8% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:01 | 0.06 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.01 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.02 | 63.6% | +33.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 17:49 | 0.25 | 77.2% | +84.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:39 | 0.00 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.07 | 63.5% | +26.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.20 | 49.7% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.14 | 67.6% | +38.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:13 | 0.30 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:17 | 0.07 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:05 | 0.13 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:57 | 0.00 | 74.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 30 | 25 | 5 | .833 | 1.93 | −3.1 | 65:00 |