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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 17, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Florida Panthers 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Florida Panthers

7

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Shot by Upshall, saved by Roloson
  3. P1 1:53Shot by Moore, saved by Theodore
  4. P1 3:28Shot by Stamkos, saved by Theodore
  5. P1 3:33Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore
  6. P1 4:35Hall: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hall, Bergeron, Shannon, Ritola, Gilroy · FLA Bradley, Campbell, Matthias, Carter, Garrison

  7. P1 5:52Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Roloson4v5
  8. P1 6:15Goal by Kopecky (Jovanovski, Campbell)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Moore, Thompson, Hedman · FLA Jovanovski, Campbell, Kopecky, Upshall, Booth

  9. P1 6:51Malone: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Malone, Bergeron, Purcell, Gilroy · FLA Jovanovski, Goc, Bergenheim, Skille, Gudbranson

  10. P1 6:51Gudbranson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Malone, Bergeron, Purcell, Gilroy · FLA Jovanovski, Goc, Bergenheim, Skille, Gudbranson

  11. P1 7:26Fleischmann: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Garrison

  12. P1 7:29Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore5v4
  13. P1 7:26Downie: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Garrison

  14. P1 8:27Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore5v4
  15. P1 9:22Goal by Purcell (Shannon, Bergeron)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Bergeron, Shannon, Purcell, Connolly · FLA Jovanovski, Campbell, Kopecky, Matthias

  16. P1 10:50Shot by Versteeg, saved by Roloson
  17. P1 11:31Kopecky: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Lecavalier, Purcell, Connolly · FLA Jovanovski, Campbell, Kopecky, Upshall, Booth

  18. P1 13:12Shot by Stamkos, saved by Theodore5v4
  19. P1 13:40Shot by Brewer, saved by Theodore
  20. P1 13:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Theodore
  21. P1 14:00Goal by Hedman (Hall, Thompson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hall, Moore, Thompson, Gilroy, Hedman · FLA Jovanovski, Campbell, Kopecky, Weiss, Matthias

  22. P1 14:09Gilroy: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Malone, Bergeron, Shannon, Gilroy, Connolly · FLA Bradley, Weaver, Matthias, Carter, Kulikov

  23. P1 14:18Shot by Weiss, saved by Roloson4v5
  24. P1 16:21Brewer: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Clark, Brewer, St. Louis, Stamkos, Gilroy · FLA Weiss, Goc, Bergenheim, Skille, Kulikov, Gudbranson

  25. P1 17:12Goal by Weiss (Kulikov, Campbell)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Moore, Ritola, Hedman · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Kulikov

  26. P1 17:25Shot by Goc, saved by Roloson
  27. P1 19:22Shot by Matthias, saved by Roloson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:46St. Louis: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman · FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Garrison

  31. P2 1:00Shot by Kopecky, saved by Roloson4v5
  32. P2 1:30Shot by Booth, saved by Roloson4v5
  33. P2 1:41Shot by Kopecky, saved by Roloson4v5
  34. P2 1:53Shot by Weiss, saved by Roloson4v5
  35. P2 2:35Goal by Versteeg (Weiss, Campbell)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Moore, Shannon, Hedman · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Kulikov

  36. P2 3:32Shot by Malone, saved by Theodore
  37. P2 5:13Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore
  38. P2 6:03Shot by Goc, saved by Roloson
  39. P2 6:38Shot by Purcell, saved by Theodore
  40. P2 6:43Shot by Brewer, saved by Theodore
  41. P2 6:47Shot by Ritola, saved by Theodore
  42. P2 6:53Shot by Bradley, saved by Roloson
  43. P2 9:54Shot by Moore, saved by Theodore
  44. P2 10:07Shot by Skille, saved by Roloson
  45. P2 10:19Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Roloson
  46. P2 11:14Kulikov: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · FLA Weaver, Goc, Fleischmann, Skille, Kulikov

  47. P2 11:55Shot by Weiss, saved by Roloson5v4
  48. P2 12:17Goal by Bergenheim, unassisted5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Malone, Moore, Bergeron, Downie, Stamkos · FLA Jovanovski, Campbell, Bergenheim, Matthias

  49. P2 12:50Shot by Bergeron, saved by Theodore5v4
  50. P2 13:39Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore
  51. P2 14:04Shot by Shannon, saved by Theodore
  52. P2 14:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Theodore
  53. P2 16:01Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore
  54. P2 16:21Goal by Lecavalier (Bergeron, Gilroy)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Bergeron, Thompson, Purcell, Gilroy · FLA Jovanovski, Bradley, Matthias, Carter, Gudbranson

  55. P2 16:39Shot by Weiss, saved by Roloson
  56. P2 16:51Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore
  57. P2 18:39Moore: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Malone, Moore, Bergeron, Gilroy, Connolly · FLA Jovanovski, Goc, Bergenheim, Skille, Gudbranson

  58. P2 19:25Shot by Kopecky, saved by Roloson4v5
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:25Goal by Versteeg (Fleischmann, Weiss)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Hall, Thompson, Hedman · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Kulikov

  62. P3 1:53Shot by Purcell, saved by Theodore
  63. P3 3:18Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Roloson
  64. P3 5:11Shot by Moore, saved by Theodore
  65. P3 5:15Shot by Hedman, saved by Theodore
  66. P3 7:55Shot by Bergeron, saved by Theodore
  67. P3 8:31Shot by Skille, saved by Roloson
  68. P3 8:33Downie: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy · FLA Weaver, Goc, Bergenheim, Skille, Kulikov

  69. P3 9:30Shot by Versteeg, saved by Roloson4v5
  70. P3 9:51Shot by Upshall, saved by Roloson4v5
  71. P3 10:04Shot by Booth, saved by Roloson4v5
  72. P3 10:53Goal by Stamkos (Gilroy, Bergeron)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Bergeron, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy · FLA Campbell, Goc, Bergenheim, Skille, Garrison

  73. P3 11:03Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore
  74. P3 12:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Theodore
  75. P3 12:38Shot by Clark, saved by Theodore
  76. P3 13:05Shot by Clark, saved by Theodore
  77. P3 13:23Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore
  78. P3 13:29Shot by Bergeron, saved by Theodore
  79. P3 13:37Shot by Gilroy, saved by Theodore
  80. P3 13:41Shot by Malone, saved by Theodore
  81. P3 15:28Goal by Weiss (Versteeg, Jovanovski)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Downie, Stamkos · FLA Weaver, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Garrison

  82. P3 15:52Kubina: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Moore, Shannon, Hedman · FLA Weaver, Goc, Bergenheim, Skille, Kulikov

  83. P3 16:01Shot by Kulikov, saved by Roloson4v5
  84. P3 16:02Brewer: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Thompson, Stamkos, Hedman · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Kulikov

  85. P3 16:47Goal by Garrison (Campbell, Versteeg)3v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hall, Ritola, Hedman · FLA Campbell, Upshall, Booth, Versteeg, Garrison

  86. P3 17:59Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore4v5
  87. P3 18:13Shot by Garrison, saved by Roloson
  88. P3 18:23Shot by Carter, saved by Roloson
  89. P3 19:07Shot by Skille, saved by Roloson
  90. P3 19:28Ritola: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Malone, Moore, Ritola, Gilroy · FLA Jovanovski, Weaver, Weiss, Fleischmann, Skille

  91. P3 19:44Shot by Thompson, saved by Theodore4v5
  92. P3 19:50Shot by Gilroy, saved by Theodore4v5
  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final