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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 22, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 78% of the time.

OTT winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:11Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:10Shot by Neil, saved by Mason
  4. P1 4:39Shot by Clitsome, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 5:03Shot by Savard, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 5:23Savard: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, Condra, Smith, Rundblad · CBJ Vermette, Umberger, Moore, Savard, Johansen

  7. P1 6:47Goal by Kuba (Spezza, Gonchar)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening · CBJ MacKenzie, Johnson, Nash, Russell

  8. P1 7:55Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  9. P1 9:09Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Mason
  10. P1 13:20Shot by Umberger, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 13:54Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 13:56Goal by Johnson (Brassard, Prospal)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · CBJ Prospal, Johnson, Nash, Russell, Brassard

  13. P1 14:54Zibanejad: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Foligno, Cowen, Zibanejad · CBJ MacKenzie, Giroux, Tyutin, Clitsome, Bass

  14. P1 17:12Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  15. P1 18:34Shot by Johansen, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 19:01Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  17. P1 19:54Shot by Tyutin, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:16Goal by Russell (Johansen, Vermette)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · CBJ Vermette, Umberger, Johnson, Russell, Johansen

  21. P2 5:01Shot by Greening, saved by Mason
  22. P2 6:15Shot by Umberger, saved by Anderson
  23. P2 9:23Shot by Clitsome, saved by Anderson
  24. P2 10:12Shot by Kuba, saved by Mason
  25. P2 10:58Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  26. P2 11:30Goal by Smith (Condra, Neil)+24 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Condra, Smith, Cowen · CBJ Prospal, Tyutin, Nash, Clitsome, Brassard

  27. P2 12:04Shot by Nash, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 12:38Shot by Nash, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 13:11Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 17:22Shot by Foligno, saved by Mason
  31. P2 17:39Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Condra, Smith, Cowen · CBJ Vermette, Umberger, Tyutin, Clitsome, Johansen

  32. P2 17:47Shot by Condra, saved by Mason4v5
  33. P2 19:43Shot by Dorsett, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 0:00Period end
  35. P3 0:00Period start
  36. P3 1:50Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Mason
  37. P3 4:13Shot by Winchester, saved by Mason
  38. P3 4:16Shot by Winchester, saved by Mason
  39. P3 4:50Shot by Spezza, saved by Mason
  40. P3 5:07Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  41. P3 5:37Shot by Cowen, saved by Mason
  42. P3 6:04Shot by Neil, saved by Mason
  43. P3 6:11Shot by Neil, saved by Mason
  44. P3 6:29Shot by Bass, saved by Anderson
  45. P3 8:17Shot by Nash, saved by Anderson
  46. P3 8:19Greening: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Greening, Smith, Karlsson · CBJ Prospal, Vermette, Nash, Moore, Savard

  47. P3 8:31Shot by Nash, saved by Anderson4v5
  48. P3 9:20Goal by Nash (Tyutin, Prospal)4v5+32 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Phillips, Smith · CBJ Prospal, Tyutin, Nash, Clitsome, Brassard

  49. P3 11:40Shot by Spezza, saved by Mason
  50. P3 14:26Shot by Johansen, saved by Anderson
  51. P3 16:27Shot by Gonchar, saved by Mason
  52. P3 17:25Shot by Nash, saved by Anderson
  53. P3 17:29Rundblad: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson, Rundblad · CBJ Prospal, MacKenzie, Tyutin, Nash, Clitsome

  54. P3 18:32Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Mason4v5
  55. P3 18:36Russell: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Michalek, Cowen · CBJ Giroux, Vermette, Umberger, Johnson, Russell

  56. P3 19:00Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason5v4
  57. P3 19:01Neil: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Neil, Spezza, Karlsson · CBJ Vermette, Umberger, Tyutin, Clitsome

  58. P3 19:23Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason5v4
  59. P3 19:24Goal by Spezza (Michalek, Karlsson)5v4+50 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson · CBJ Pahlsson, Umberger, Tyutin, Johnson

  60. P3 19:55Goal by Michalek (Gonchar, Spezza)5v4+44 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson · CBJ Vermette, Tyutin, Nash, Clitsome

  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Final