Tue, Oct 25, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 74% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:27Shot by Pyatt, saved by Miller
- P1 1:31Shot by Adam, saved by Garon
- P1 1:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller
- P1 1:56Goal by Vanek (Pominville, Adam)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani, Adam · TBL Brewer, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman
- P1 2:31Goal by Boyes (McCormick, Ellis)+11 pts WP
On ice: BUF Boyes, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Ellis, Sekera · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Downie, Jones
- P1 3:05Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller
- P1 3:48Shot by Roy, saved by Garon
- P1 4:00Shot by Roy, saved by Garon
- P1 6:02Shot by Vanek, saved by Garon
- P1 6:07Shot by Pominville, saved by Garon
- P1 7:42Shot by Purcell, saved by Miller
- P1 8:31Shot by Sekera, saved by Garon
- P1 9:12Vanek: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Adam · TBL Hall, Bergeron, Pyatt, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P1 12:33Shot by Ellis, saved by Garon
- P1 13:01Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller
- P1 13:03Goal by Lecavalier (St. Louis)+12 pts WP
On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Adam · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Hedman, Connolly
- P1 13:20Kaleta: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Kaleta, Gragnani, Gerbe · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Downie, Gilroy
- P1 13:20Downie: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Kaleta, Gragnani, Gerbe · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Downie, Gilroy
- P1 15:02Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller
- P1 15:17Shot by Leopold, saved by Garon
- P1 16:01Shot by Stafford, saved by Garon
- P1 16:27Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller
- P1 16:54Shot by Vanek, saved by Garon
- P1 17:07Shot by Myers, saved by Garon
- P1 17:17Shot by Leopold, saved by Garon
- P1 17:49Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
- P1 19:00Goal by Thompson (Pyatt, Moore)+19 pts WP
On ice: BUF Roy, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Sekera, Leino · TBL Brewer, Moore, Thompson, Pyatt, Hedman
- P1 19:57Shot by Kaleta, saved by Garon
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:44Shot by Myers, saved by Garon
- P2 1:13Shot by Pominville, saved by Garon
- P2 4:37Regehr: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Adam · TBL Malone, Bergeron, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P2 4:37Malone: Roughing (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, Adam · TBL Malone, Bergeron, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P2 4:42Goal by Stamkos (Gilroy, Bergeron)4v4+21 pts WP
On ice: BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Sekera, Kaleta · TBL Bergeron, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy
- P2 5:12Thompson: Tripping (2 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Sekera · TBL Moore, Bergeron, Thompson, Gilroy
- P2 5:51Shot by Vanek, saved by Garon4v3
- P2 6:49Shot by Malone, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 8:56Shot by Purcell, saved by Miller
- P2 9:39Hedman: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani, Adam · TBL Brewer, Moore, Thompson, Downie, Hedman
- P2 11:15Stafford: Tripping (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Leopold, Stafford, Leino, Myers, Adam · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Pyatt
- P2 11:28Shot by Gerbe, saved by Garon4v4
- P2 14:25Shot by Leopold, saved by Garon
- P2 15:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller
- P2 16:26Shot by Brewer, saved by Miller
- P2 17:40Shot by Gaustad, saved by Garon
- P2 17:57Shot by Gaustad, saved by Garon
- P2 19:59Shot by Thompson, saved by Miller
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:26Shot by Gerbe, saved by Garon
- P3 0:27Shot by Gerbe, saved by Garon
- P3 4:27Shot by Pominville, saved by Garon
- P3 6:21Shot by McCormick, saved by Garon
- P3 6:25Shot by McCormick, saved by Garon
- P3 6:27McCormick: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)
On ice: BUF Boyes, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Ellis, Sekera · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Gilroy, Connolly
- P3 7:16Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller4v5
- P3 8:16Shot by Kubina, saved by Miller4v5
- P3 8:20Shot by Purcell, saved by Miller4v5
- P3 10:16Shot by Kaleta, saved by Garon
- P3 10:33Shot by Kaleta, saved by Garon
- P3 10:43Shot by Gerbe, saved by Garon
- P3 11:11Shot by Malone, saved by Miller
- P3 12:23Shot by Roy, saved by Garon
- P3 13:42Shot by Hall, saved by Miller
- P3 13:51Shot by Gerbe, saved by Garon
- P3 14:07Lecavalier: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Regehr, Vanek, Kaleta, Myers, Adam · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Pyatt, Hedman
- P3 15:03Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Garon5v4
- P3 16:19Shot by Adam, saved by Garon
- P3 16:20Shot by Adam, saved by Garon
- P3 16:21Shot by Adam, saved by Garon
- P3 16:23Shot by Pominville, saved by Garon
- P3 17:10Shot by Gaustad, saved by Garon
- P3 17:39Shot by Moore, saved by Miller
- P3 18:37Goal by Malone (Clark)+5 pts WP
On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Leino, Myers, Adam · TBL Clark, Kubina, Hall, Malone, Stamkos
- P3 19:10Goal by Gerbe (Boyes, Gaustad)6v5+4 pts WP
On ice: BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Sekera, Kaleta, Gragnani, Gerbe · TBL Brewer, Thompson, Pyatt, Purcell, Hedman
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final