Tue, Oct 25, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 74% of the time.
66%
8%
18%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Eric BrewerD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.10 | 74.8% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.01 | 70.7% | 0.0 |
 Pavel KubinaD · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.03 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Martin St. LouisRW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.08 | 43.0% | +12.0 |
 Brett ClarkD · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.00 | 35.0% | +5.4 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:26 | 0.12 | 27.0% | +21.4 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronD · #47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.03 | 3.7% | +21.4 |
 Nate ThompsonC · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.10 | 37.8% | +19.2 |
 Vincent LecavalierC · #4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:19 | 0.64 | 37.9% | +12.0 |
 Dominic MooreC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.01 | 19.9% | +19.2 |
 Matt GilroyD · #97 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 3.6% | +21.4 |
 Brett ConnollyRW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Steve DownieRW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.00 | 5.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan MaloneLW · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:03 | 0.36 | 27.6% | +5.4 |
 Adam HallRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.18 | 78.6% | 0.0 |
 Tom PyattLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.02 | 69.8% | +19.2 |
 Teddy PurcellLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:37 | 0.15 | 14.8% | 0.0 |
 Blair JonesC · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:18 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Mathieu Garon#32 | W | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 3.22 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Christian EhrhoffD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:51 | 0.22 | 83.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyler MyersD · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:08 | 0.07 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:29 | 0.60 | 61.5% | +16.0 |
 Derek RoyC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:05 | 0.12 | 39.9% | 0.0 |
 Robyn RegehrD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:46 | 0.02 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
 Andrej SekeraD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.02 | 84.0% | 0.0 |
 Thomas VanekLW · #26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:00 | 0.25 | 66.8% | +16.0 |
 Marc-Andre GragnaniD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.02 | 85.8% | 0.0 |
 Drew StaffordRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.02 | 39.1% | 0.0 |
 Jordan LeopoldD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:15 | 0.11 | 49.2% | 0.0 |
 Ville LeinoLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 |
 Luke AdamC · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 15:56 | 0.72 | 62.1% | +16.0 |
 Paul GaustadC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:33 | 0.08 | 76.1% | +3.7 |
 Nathan GerbeC · #42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 13:19 | 0.65 | 75.2% | +3.7 |
 Patrick KaletaRW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:30 | 0.10 | 78.6% | 0.0 |
 Brad BoyesRW · #22 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.08 | 83.2% | +14.6 |
 Matt EllisLW · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 6:49 | 0.01 | 93.4% | +10.9 |
 Cody McCormickC · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 6:45 | 0.12 | 83.4% | +10.9 |
 Ryan Miller#30 | L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 1.84 | −2.2 | 59:10 |