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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 27, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Florida Panthers 3, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 69% of the time.

OTT winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Shot by Neil, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 2:47Shot by Da Costa, saved by Markstrom
  4. P1 3:22Shot by Condra, saved by Markstrom
  5. P1 4:41Goal by Garrison (Versteeg, Campbell)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, Spezza, Daugavins, Rundblad · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Upshall, Versteeg, Garrison

  6. P1 4:57Daugavins: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, Daugavins, Smith, Rundblad · FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Goc, Upshall, Gudbranson

  7. P1 5:27Shot by Smith, saved by Markstrom4v5
  8. P1 6:02Shot by Upshall, saved by Anderson4v5
  9. P1 6:35Shot by Kopecky, saved by Anderson4v5
  10. P1 7:17Shot by Skille, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 11:24Shot by Konopka, saved by Markstrom
  12. P1 11:42Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 11:59Shot by Karlsson, saved by Markstrom
  14. P1 12:01Shot by Spezza, saved by Markstrom
  15. P1 12:33Shot by Smith, saved by Markstrom
  16. P1 13:01Gudbranson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Daugavins, Smith, Cowen · FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Goc, Upshall, Gudbranson

  17. P1 13:49Shot by Spezza, saved by Markstrom5v4
  18. P1 14:34Shot by Karlsson, saved by Markstrom5v4
  19. P1 16:30Shot by Greening, saved by Markstrom
  20. P1 17:09Shot by Neil, saved by Markstrom
  21. P1 18:16Shot by Gonchar, saved by Markstrom
  22. P1 18:28Shot by Smith, saved by Markstrom
  23. P1 18:34Shot by Foligno, saved by Markstrom
  24. P1 18:51Shot by Sturm, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 19:20Shot by Upshall, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P1 0:00Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, Daugavins, Smith, Rundblad · FLA Jovanovski, Weaver, Kopecky, Goc, Upshall

  28. P1 0:00Kopecky: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, Daugavins, Smith, Rundblad · FLA Jovanovski, Weaver, Kopecky, Goc, Upshall

  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 2:21Shot by Upshall, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 2:27Kuba: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Smith, Karlsson · FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Goc, Upshall, Garrison

  32. P2 4:35Shot by Sturm, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 5:27Goal by Alfredsson (Spezza, Gonchar)6v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Foligno, Karlsson, Da Costa · FLA Jovanovski, Bradley, Kennedy, Matthias, Gudbranson

  34. P2 5:35Shot by Upshall, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 6:35Goal by Weiss (Fleischmann, Kulikov)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · FLA Weaver, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Kulikov

  36. P2 7:30Shot by Smith, saved by Markstrom
  37. P2 7:39Shot by Skille, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 7:58Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 8:47Shot by Spezza, saved by Markstrom
  40. P2 9:48Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 11:16Shot by Skille, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 11:28Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Markstrom
  43. P2 12:08Da Costa: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Konopka, Condra, Winchester, Cowen · FLA Bradley, Campbell, Kopecky, Goc, Upshall, Garrison

  44. P2 13:04Shot by Campbell, saved by Anderson4v5
  45. P2 14:14Goal by Da Costa (Condra, Michalek)+25 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Michalek, Condra, Cowen, Da Costa · FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Kulikov

  46. P2 15:30Shot by Garrison, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 15:41Spezza: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson · FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Goc, Upshall, Garrison

  48. P2 16:15Shot by Weiss, saved by Anderson4v5
  49. P2 18:24Shot by Foligno, saved by Markstrom
  50. P2 18:41Bradley: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, Greening, Rundblad, Da Costa · FLA Bradley, Campbell, Kennedy, Matthias, Garrison

  51. P2 19:10Shot by Gonchar, saved by Markstrom5v4
  52. P2 19:17Shot by Spezza, saved by Markstrom5v4
  53. P2 19:46Shot by Weiss, saved by Anderson5v4
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:37Shot by Karlsson, saved by Markstrom5v4
  57. P3 0:44Shot by Gonchar, saved by Markstrom
  58. P3 1:34Shot by Santorelli, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 2:26Shot by Gonchar, saved by Markstrom
  60. P3 4:30Shot by Garrison, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 5:26Shot by Cowen, saved by Markstrom
  62. P3 8:21Shot by Karlsson, saved by Markstrom
  63. P3 8:58Shot by Phillips, saved by Markstrom
  64. P3 9:51Shot by Neil, saved by Markstrom
  65. P3 10:10Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 10:55Shot by Rundblad, saved by Markstrom
  67. P3 11:00Shot by Phillips, saved by Markstrom
  68. P3 11:10Shot by Michalek, saved by Markstrom
  69. P3 12:35Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 17:53Goal by Greening (Karlsson)+40 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · FLA Jovanovski, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Gudbranson

  71. P3 18:30Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 18:51Shot by Smith, saved by Markstrom
  73. P3 19:12Goal by Versteeg (Weiss, Kulikov)5v6+42 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Kulikov

  74. P3 19:46Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Markstrom
  75. P3 19:55Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Markstrom
  76. P3 19:56Goal by Foligno (Alfredsson, Rundblad)+44 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Foligno, Rundblad, Da Costa · FLA Sturm, Weaver, Goc, Skille, Garrison

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final