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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 27, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 5

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 75% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:19Shot by Fisher, saved by Garon
  3. P1 1:56Shot by Purcell, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 2:13Shot by Malone, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 2:44Shot by Thompson, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 5:45Shot by Hillen, saved by Garon
  7. P1 5:49Shot by Weber, saved by Garon
  8. P1 6:25Goal by Kostitsyn (Smith, Fisher)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Smith · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Hedman, Connolly

  9. P1 6:51Shot by Bouillon, saved by Garon
  10. P1 7:07Shot by Jones, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 7:15Shot by Pyatt, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 7:30Shot by Bergeron, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 9:46Shot by Purcell, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 10:14Shot by Blum, saved by Garon
  15. P1 11:46Shot by Smith, saved by Garon
  16. P1 13:44Shot by Brewer, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 14:05Goal by Fisher (Kostitsyn, Smith)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn, Smith · TBL Clark, Kubina, Hall, Jones, Pyatt

  18. P1 16:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 16:36Goal by Stamkos (Purcell, Malone)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Klein, Halischuk, Wilson · TBL Malone, Bergeron, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy

  20. P1 17:11Shot by Bergfors, saved by Garon
  21. P1 17:53Tootoo: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Spaling · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Thompson, Downie

  22. P1 17:59Shot by Brewer, saved by Rinne4v5
  23. P1 18:03Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Rinne4v5
  24. P1 18:33Shot by Malone, saved by Rinne4v5
  25. P1 19:33Goal by Purcell (Connolly, Bergeron)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Klein, Halischuk, Blum · TBL Kubina, Bergeron, Downie, Purcell, Connolly

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:46Shot by Wilson, saved by Garon
  29. P2 0:47Kubina: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Klein, Halischuk, Wilson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos

  30. P2 2:01Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Garon5v4
  31. P2 4:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 5:07Shot by Bergeron, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 7:43Goal by Hornqvist (Halischuk, Geoffrion)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Geoffrion, Halischuk · TBL Bergeron, Thompson, Downie, Jones, Gilroy

  34. P2 8:27Shot by Klein, saved by Garon
  35. P2 9:03Shot by Brewer, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 10:53Shot by Hillen, saved by Garon
  37. P2 11:12Shot by Smithson, saved by Garon
  38. P2 11:20Goal by Spaling (Hillen, Blum)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Spaling, Blum, Hillen · TBL Moore, Thompson, Downie, Gilroy, Hedman

  39. P2 12:10Goal by Fisher (Spaling)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Spaling, Smith · TBL Clark, Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Connolly

  40. P2 12:46Shot by Pyatt, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 12:47Hillen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Bergfors, Blum, Hillen · TBL Hall, Bergeron, Jones, Pyatt, Gilroy

  42. P2 12:47Jones: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Bergfors, Blum, Hillen · TBL Hall, Bergeron, Jones, Pyatt, Gilroy

  43. P2 12:59Shot by Hall, saved by Rinne4v4
  44. P2 13:20Shot by Gilroy, saved by Rinne4v4
  45. P2 13:37Shot by St. Louis, saved by Rinne4v4
  46. P2 14:59Shot by Clark, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 15:01Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 16:35Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 17:31Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  50. P2 17:45Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Roloson
  51. P2 19:46Shot by Malone, saved by Rinne
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 2:34Shot by Wilson, saved by Roloson
  55. P3 6:22Clark: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Wilson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Malone, Downie, Stamkos

  56. P3 7:39Shot by Bergfors, saved by Roloson5v4
  57. P3 7:56Shot by Klein, saved by Roloson5v4
  58. P3 9:25Shot by Tootoo, saved by Roloson
  59. P3 10:04Downie: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Fisher, Smithson, Tootoo, Hillen · TBL Malone, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy, Hedman

  60. P3 12:06Shot by Pyatt, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 13:30Shot by Kubina, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 14:28Shot by Halischuk, saved by Roloson
  63. P3 14:52Shot by Fisher, saved by Roloson
  64. P3 16:06Shot by Legwand, saved by Roloson
  65. P3 16:17Shot by Purcell, saved by Rinne
  66. P3 17:03Goal by Stamkos (Bergeron, St. Louis)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Suter, Weber, Spaling, Smith · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Stamkos

  67. P3 17:55Shot by Smith, saved by Roloson
  68. P3 18:12Shot by Wilson, saved by Roloson
  69. P3 18:34Hornqvist: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Wilson · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Stamkos

  70. P3 19:02Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne4v6
  71. P3 19:56Shot by Bergeron, saved by Rinne4v6
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final