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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 27, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 75% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Malone–Purcell–StamkosSt. Louis–Lecavalier–ConnollyMoore–Thompson–DownieHall–Jones–PyattSt. Louis–Lecavalier–StamkosSt. Louis–Lecavalier–DownieThompson–Downie–ConnollyMoore–Downie–ConnollyClark–KubinaBrewer–HedmanBergeron–GilroyGilroy–HedmanKubina–BergeronBergeron–HedmanBrewer–BergeronBrewer–Gilroy
Smithson–Tootoo–Spaling4:180.36–0.011:560.00–0.053:510.02–0.001:390.04–0.050:370.00–0.000:440.30–0.000:420.00–0.01
Legwand–Hornqvist–Wilson3:350.12–0.030:320.00–0.001:540.07–0.041:470.03–0.001:120.00–0.000:360.27–0.000:340.00–0.000:490.00–0.02
Fisher–Kostitsyn–Smith5:300.20–0.030:330.00–0.000:350.00–0.021:100.24–0.004:510.13–0.030:360.00–0.02
Legwand–Halischuk–Wilson4:290.30–0.292:020.21–0.000:560.00–0.042:400.09–0.25
Fisher–Spaling–Smith1:410.15–0.001:370.00–0.091:110.15–0.001:310.00–0.07
Bergfors–Hornqvist–Geoffrion1:300.01–0.320:390.00–0.090:420.00–0.261:260.01–0.15
Smithson–Tootoo–Halischuk0:340.13–0.00
Fisher–Tootoo–Spaling0:560.08–0.000:320.08–0.00
Smithson–Tootoo–Geoffrion0:370.00–0.050:340.03–0.000:320.03–0.00
Smithson–Bergfors–Halischuk1:040.00–0.001:040.00–0.00
Legwand–Bergfors–Wilson0:410.00–0.030:470.00–0.03
Suter–Weber2:380.12–0.055:590.35–0.021:090.01–0.000:430.16–0.002:190.00–0.090:350.00–0.024:330.46–0.005:130.13–0.111:400.16–0.020:370.05–0.032:100.00–0.07
Bouillon–Klein6:150.21–0.341:140.05–0.021:560.03–0.014:570.21–0.075:010.12–0.052:190.00–0.251:310.00–0.03
Blum–Hillen3:420.55–0.322:550.00–0.151:040.00–0.001:410.01–0.001:190.01–0.313:240.01–0.151:360.52–0.00
Bouillon–Hillen0:380.00–0.051:000.03–0.000:470.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:350.03–0.000:340.13–0.00
Klein–Blum1:260.08–0.000:310.00–0.000:320.08–0.00
Suter–Blum0:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSpaling FTootoo FSmithson FFisher FKostitsyn FSmith FLegwand FWilson FHalischuk FGeoffrion FBergfors FHornqvist FKlein DBouillon DWeber DSuter DBlum DHillen DRinne GDownie FMalone FThompson FConnolly FLecavalier FSt. Louis FPurcell FStamkos FMoore FPyatt FHall FJones FBrewer DHedman DClark DKubina DBergeron DGilroy DGaron GRoloson G
NSHTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea WeberNSH2825:320:551:4755
Ryan SuterNSH2925:050:521:3955
Victor HedmanTBL3223:520:451:2317
Eric BrewerTBL2922:500:471:2738
Kevin KleinNSH2822:050:471:2936
Steven StamkosTBL2622:040:511:4753
Martin St. LouisTBL2321:550:571:4743
Mike FisherNSH2620:240:471:1745
Francis BouillonNSH2419:190:481:5214
Vincent LecavalierTBL2219:180:531:4742
Ryan MaloneTBL2419:150:481:2631
David LegwandNSH2319:090:501:2723
Pavel KubinaTBL2818:560:411:1334
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL2418:390:471:4752
Colin WilsonNSH2118:020:521:3022
Craig SmithNSH2217:480:491:1863
Brett ClarkTBL2917:310:361:0943
Jerred SmithsonNSH2316:420:441:1426
Nick SpalingNSH2216:240:451:0326
Matt GilroyTBL2116:200:471:1731
Jonathon BlumNSH2016:110:491:3723
Steve DownieTBL1715:380:551:3431
Teddy PurcellTBL2014:590:451:2631
Jordin TootooNSH1714:450:521:4033
Nate ThompsonTBL1714:010:491:2932
Brett ConnollyTBL1513:420:551:3112
Matt HalischukNSH1813:400:461:3710
Patric HornqvistNSH1813:130:441:2531
Dominic MooreTBL1712:550:461:1842
Jack HillenNSH1712:030:431:1921
Sergei KostitsynNSH149:330:411:0121
Tom PyattTBL118:040:441:0613
Niclas BergforsNSH118:000:441:1843
Adam HallTBL107:030:421:0112
Blake GeoffrionNSH126:590:350:5212
Blair JonesTBL106:240:381:1811