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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 30, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Ottawa Senators 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 68% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Shot by Neil, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 3:08Greening: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Cowen · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson

  4. P1 3:53Shot by Liles, saved by Lehner4v5
  5. P1 4:40Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Lehner4v5
  6. P1 5:11Shot by Winchester, saved by Gustavsson
  7. P1 5:48Shot by Greening, saved by Gustavsson
  8. P1 6:47Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 6:56Shot by Connolly, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 6:57Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 7:11Shot by Michalek, saved by Gustavsson
  12. P1 7:39Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 9:51Karlsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson

  14. P1 10:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehner4v5
  15. P1 11:20Goal by MacArthur (Kulemin, Gunnarsson)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Michalek, Foligno · TOR MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Gardiner

  16. P1 12:13Shot by Neil, saved by Gustavsson
  17. P1 13:19Shot by Filatov, saved by Gustavsson
  18. P1 13:24Shot by Winchester, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 14:01Shot by Kuba, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P1 14:16Shot by Michalek, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P1 14:20Shot by Greening, saved by Gustavsson
  22. P1 14:20Gunnarsson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson

  23. P1 14:33Shot by Spezza, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  24. P1 14:46Shot by Gonchar, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  25. P1 16:16Goal by Greening (Rundblad, Kuba)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Rundblad · TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn

  26. P1 19:58Shot by Liles, saved by Lehner
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:20Shot by Lupul, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 3:18Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Lehner
  31. P2 3:32Shot by Brown, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 4:25Shot by Karlsson, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 4:33Connolly: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Daugavins, Smith, Karlsson · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson

  34. P2 4:56Shot by Karlsson, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  35. P2 6:07Shot by Da Costa, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  36. P2 6:31Shot by Kuba, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  37. P2 6:56Kulemin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · TOR Connolly, Komisarek, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn

  38. P2 7:59Goal by Neil (Karlsson, Gonchar)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson · TOR Liles, Lombardi, Komisarek, Brown

  39. P2 8:42Shot by Winchester, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 10:14Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 12:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 12:29Shot by Connolly, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 12:29Connolly: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Rundblad · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson

  44. P2 12:59Shot by Gonchar, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  45. P2 14:45Shot by Michalek, saved by Gustavsson
  46. P2 16:37Spezza: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Rundblad · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson

  47. P2 17:18Shot by Lupul, saved by Lehner4v5
  48. P2 18:38Shot by Phillips, saved by Gustavsson
  49. P2 18:57Shot by Spezza, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P2 18:58Shot by Spezza, saved by Gustavsson
  51. P2 19:00Shot by Michalek, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P2 19:42Karlsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson · TOR Connolly, Komisarek, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:24Shot by Daugavins, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  56. P3 6:08Shot by Lombardi, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 6:17Shot by Condra, saved by Gustavsson
  58. P3 7:08Goal by Daugavins (Smith)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Daugavins, Smith, Karlsson, Butler · TOR Liles, Lombardi, Steckel, Brown, Gardiner

  59. P3 7:22Shot by Dupuis, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 7:24Shot by Steckel, saved by Lehner
  61. P3 9:07Goal by MacArthur (Grabovski, Kulemin)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Rundblad · TOR Liles, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gardiner

  62. P3 11:20Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 11:59Daugavins: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson · TOR Connolly, Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel

  64. P3 12:38Shot by Kulemin, saved by Lehner4v5
  65. P3 16:18Shot by Connolly, saved by Lehner
  66. P3 17:08Shot by Kulemin, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 17:44Shot by Winchester, saved by Gustavsson
  68. P3 18:17Shot by Spezza, saved by Gustavsson
  69. P3 18:53Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lehner5v6
  70. P3 19:55Gonchar: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Spezza, Daugavins, Condra · TOR Liles, Steckel, Lupul, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final