Sun, Oct 30, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Ottawa Senators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 68% of the time.
59%
9%
9%
23%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29:18 | 0.03 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:45 | 0.08 | 64.4% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:36 | 0.08 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:01 | 0.55 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:34 | 0.16 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:16 | 0.14 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.08 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.03 | 68.6% | +11.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.22 | 89.2% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.30 | 93.4% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.02 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.36 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:47 | 0.02 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.18 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.00 | 7.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 5.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.62 | −0.4 | 58:30 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:16 | 0.04 | 41.9% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:59 | 0.03 | 39.3% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:34 | 0.14 | 79.6% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:46 | 0.90 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.56 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.02 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.64 | 43.7% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.00 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.13 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.12 | 52.6% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 33.4% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.05 | 55.0% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:05 | 0.20 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:31 | 0.21 | 48.9% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.03 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:13 | 0.02 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:16 | 0.12 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.24 | +0.2 | 60:00 |