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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 17, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Nashville Predators 4

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 65% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:18Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 1:34Shot by Liles, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 2:59Shot by Kessel, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 4:04Shot by Liles, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 5:48Goal by Erat (Kostitsyn, Fisher)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  7. P1 7:14Shot by Schenn, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 9:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 10:36Shot by Connolly, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 13:08Shot by Tootoo, saved by Scrivens
  11. P1 13:44Shot by Connolly, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 16:15Shot by Smith, saved by Scrivens
  13. P1 18:50Shot by Liles, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 0:27Shot by Bozak, saved by Rinne
  17. P2 1:14Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Scrivens
  18. P2 1:58Shot by Erat, saved by Scrivens
  19. P2 2:04Shot by Kessel, saved by Rinne
  20. P2 2:37Shot by Lombardi, saved by Rinne
  21. P2 3:12Shot by Spaling, saved by Scrivens
  22. P2 3:45Shot by Suter, saved by Scrivens
  23. P2 4:42Frattin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hornqvist, Blum, Hillen, Wilson, Smith · TOR Liles, Franson, Kulemin, Frattin, Gardiner

  24. P2 5:18Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Scrivens5v4
  25. P2 6:17Shot by Weber, saved by Scrivens5v4
  26. P2 6:42Shot by Spaling, saved by Scrivens
  27. P2 7:40Shot by Fisher, saved by Scrivens
  28. P2 8:37Shot by McGrattan, saved by Scrivens
  29. P2 9:05Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 9:17Hillen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Tootoo, Geoffrion, Blum, Hillen · TOR Liles, Lombardi, Steckel, Crabb, Franson

  31. P2 10:36Goal by Liles (Lupul, Bozak)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Smithson, Suter, Weber · TOR Liles, Lombardi, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Frattin

  32. P2 12:38Shot by Weber, saved by Scrivens
  33. P2 12:42Goal by Suter (Kostitsyn, Weber)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · TOR Komisarek, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  34. P2 13:49Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Scrivens
  35. P2 14:17Bozak: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Wilson, Smith · TOR Komisarek, Kessel, Frattin, Schenn, Bozak

  36. P2 15:44Shot by Weber, saved by Scrivens5v4
  37. P2 15:53Shot by Erat, saved by Scrivens5v4
  38. P2 16:16Shot by Crabb, saved by Rinne5v4
  39. P2 18:24Shot by Connolly, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 19:06Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 0:11Shot by Liles, saved by Rinne
  44. P3 0:19Shot by Lupul, saved by Rinne
  45. P3 1:05Shot by Kulemin, saved by Rinne
  46. P3 1:33Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rinne
  47. P3 1:39Shot by Lupul, saved by Rinne
  48. P3 1:50Shot by Lupul, saved by Rinne
  49. P3 2:05Goal by Erat (Fisher, Kostitsyn)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Suter, Weber, Kostitsyn · TOR Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak

  50. P3 2:15Shot by Crabb, saved by Rinne
  51. P3 2:30Tootoo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Geoffrion, Spaling, Blum, Hillen · TOR Liles, Steckel, Crabb, Dupuis, Franson

  52. P3 3:20Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rinne4v5
  53. P3 3:25Lupul: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Bouillon, Smithson, Klein, Spaling · TOR Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  54. P3 4:48Shot by Weber, saved by Scrivens5v4
  55. P3 5:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Rinne5v4
  56. P3 6:33Shot by Liles, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 7:02McGrattan: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH McGrattan, Smithson, Halischuk, Blum, Hillen · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Rosehill, Schenn, Gardiner

  58. P3 7:02Rosehill: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH McGrattan, Smithson, Halischuk, Blum, Hillen · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Rosehill, Schenn, Gardiner

  59. P3 7:02McGrattan: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NSH McGrattan, Smithson, Halischuk, Blum, Hillen · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Rosehill, Schenn, Gardiner

  60. P3 7:23Shot by Connolly, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 7:37Shot by Kessel, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 8:54Shot by Kulemin, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 9:15Shot by Tootoo, saved by Scrivens
  64. P3 9:44Shot by Liles, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 14:35Shot by Dupuis, saved by Rinne
  66. P3 15:10Shot by Connolly, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 16:01Shot by Kessel, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 16:38Shot by Halischuk, saved by Scrivens
  69. P3 18:15Shot by Bozak, saved by Rinne5v6
  70. P3 18:27Shot by Lupul, saved by Rinne5v6
  71. P3 18:52Shot by Lupul, saved by Rinne
  72. P3 19:00Shot by Kulemin, saved by Rinne5v6
  73. P3 19:37Goal by Halischuk (Suter)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Suter, Weber, Halischuk, Spaling · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Kulemin, Gardiner

  74. P3 19:44Shot by Rosehill, saved by Rinne
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final