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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 17, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Nashville Predators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 65% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Lupul–Kessel–BozakConnolly–Kulemin–FrattinConnolly–Lupul–KesselLombardi–Steckel–CrabbKulemin–Frattin–BozakSteckel–Crabb–DupuisKessel–Frattin–BozakLiles–FransonPhaneuf–GunnarssonKomisarek–SchennPhaneuf–GardinerSchenn–GardinerLiles–GardinerKomisarek–PhaneufLiles–KomisarekLiles–Phaneuf
Fisher–Erat–Kostitsyn7:390.31–0.533:380.16–0.075:230.00–0.491:420.05–0.002:150.10–0.000:440.00–0.030:580.10–0.08
Hornqvist–Wilson–Smith1:230.00–0.084:270.06–0.200:410.00–0.000:550.02–0.000:420.00–0.001:330.24–0.182:290.06–0.214:080.03–0.171:570.08–0.000:450.00–0.040:430.00–0.00
Tootoo–Geoffrion–Spaling1:160.00–0.022:380.01–0.001:180.00–0.031:320.16–0.011:370.00–0.051:350.00–0.002:210.00–0.021:120.00–0.000:430.16–0.00
McGrattan–Smithson–Halischuk0:530.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Smithson–Halischuk–Spaling1:210.00–0.001:020.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Suter–Weber9:320.34–0.554:220.16–0.090:530.06–0.146:080.00–0.632:530.05–0.063:080.19–0.001:190.00–0.011:130.10–0.080:560.00–0.000:390.16–0.05
Bouillon–Klein2:020.06–0.066:350.06–0.181:270.00–0.001:050.00–0.002:360.06–0.010:360.00–0.065:060.18–0.096:010.03–0.142:000.00–0.001:080.00–0.100:300.00–0.00
Blum–Hillen0:430.00–0.003:380.02–0.180:310.00–0.022:070.16–0.032:290.00–0.241:340.00–0.002:270.02–0.020:350.00–0.001:020.16–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndErat FFisher FKostitsyn FSmith FHornqvist FWilson FSpaling FTootoo FGeoffrion FMcGrattan FHalischuk FSmithson FWeber DSuter DKlein DBouillon DBlum DHillen DRinne GLupul FBozak FKessel FConnolly FLombardi FKulemin FSteckel FCrabb FDupuis FRosehill FFrattin FFranson DLiles DPhaneuf DGunnarsson DSchenn DKomisarek DGardiner DScrivens G
NSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Phil KesselTOR3027:070:542:2880
Shea WeberNSH2825:460:552:2816
Ryan SuterNSH2825:440:552:2916
Dion PhaneufTOR3324:490:451:5476
Joffrey LupulTOR2924:380:511:35100
John-Michael LilesTOR2923:200:481:3052
Tyler BozakTOR2922:370:471:2130
Sergei KostitsynNSH2519:500:481:3322
Mike FisherNSH2819:410:421:1833
Kevin KleinNSH2019:350:591:5725
Francis BouillonNSH2119:120:551:5534
Carl GunnarssonTOR2717:470:401:3755
Martin EratNSH2617:290:401:3744
Tim ConnollyTOR2316:430:441:2883
Patric HornqvistNSH2016:390:502:2921
Nick SpalingNSH2116:300:471:2024
Craig SmithNSH2116:280:471:3733
Cody FransonTOR2516:220:391:0723
Colin WilsonNSH1816:100:542:2922
Jonathon BlumNSH2215:560:431:2143
Jake GardinerTOR2215:420:431:4624
Luke SchennTOR2515:100:361:1233
David SteckelTOR2415:090:381:1545
Nikolay KuleminTOR2115:000:431:2833
Matt FrattinTOR2014:290:431:2823
Jack HillenNSH2013:470:411:2123
Jordin TootooNSH1912:550:411:0830
Jerred SmithsonNSH1912:270:391:3026
Mike KomisarekTOR1712:220:441:2201
Blake GeoffrionNSH2012:190:371:0832
Joey CrabbTOR1911:130:351:1544
Philippe DupuisTOR1510:480:431:3713
Matt HalischukNSH139:480:451:0721
Matthew LombardiTOR147:500:340:5732
Brian McGrattanNSH106:250:391:0720
Jay RosehillTOR84:250:330:4902