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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 20, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 86% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Harrison, saved by Scrivens
  3. P1 3:22Shot by Orr, saved by Ward
  4. P1 5:21Shot by LaRose, saved by Scrivens
  5. P1 5:25Shot by Staal, saved by Scrivens
  6. P1 6:18Shot by Stewart, saved by Scrivens
  7. P1 7:19Shot by Tlusty, saved by Scrivens
  8. P1 7:29Shot by Dwyer, saved by Scrivens
  9. P1 8:07Shot by Gardiner, saved by Ward
  10. P1 8:46Phaneuf: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ruutu, Gleason, Staal, Skinner · TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Frattin

  11. P1 10:53Shot by LaRose, saved by Scrivens
  12. P1 11:26Shot by Tlusty, saved by Scrivens
  13. P1 12:46Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ward
  14. P1 15:48Shot by Frattin, saved by Ward
  15. P1 17:55Shot by Steckel, saved by Ward
  16. P1 18:08Shot by LaRose, saved by Scrivens
  17. P1 19:31Goal by Harrison (Skinner, Staal)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Harrison, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Colborne

  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:57Shot by Bozak, saved by Ward
  21. P2 2:24Shot by Allen, saved by Scrivens
  22. P2 2:30Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Scrivens
  23. P2 2:31Shot by LaRose, saved by Scrivens
  24. P2 4:41Shot by Orr, saved by Ward
  25. P2 4:43Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Ward
  26. P2 4:55Shot by Dwyer, saved by Scrivens
  27. P2 4:59Shot by Gleason, saved by Scrivens
  28. P2 5:04Shot by Skinner, saved by Scrivens
  29. P2 5:06Frattin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Ruutu, Staal, McBain, Skinner · TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Frattin

  30. P2 5:51Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward5v4
  31. P2 6:38Shot by Jokinen, saved by Scrivens5v4
  32. P2 7:05Goal by Jokinen (Faulk, Ponikarovsky)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ponikarovsky, Harrison, Jokinen, LaRose, Faulk · TOR Connolly, Crabb, Schenn, Gardiner

  33. P2 7:54Kessel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Stewart, Sutter · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  34. P2 7:54Sutter: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Stewart, Sutter · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  35. P2 9:17Shot by Faulk, saved by Scrivens4v4
  36. P2 9:24Shot by Harrison, saved by Scrivens4v4
  37. P2 10:04Shot by Sutter, saved by Scrivens
  38. P2 10:39Shot by Skinner, saved by Scrivens
  39. P2 11:28Shot by Steckel, saved by Ward
  40. P2 13:24Gunnarsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Ruutu, Staal, McBain, Skinner · TOR Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Bozak

  41. P2 13:40Shot by Kaberle, saved by Scrivens5v4
  42. P2 14:10Ruutu: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Ruutu, Staal, McBain, Skinner · TOR Connolly, Liles, Crabb, Gardiner

  43. P2 14:29Shot by Harrison, saved by Scrivens4v4
  44. P2 14:40Shot by Faulk, saved by Scrivens4v4
  45. P2 14:51Shot by LaRose, saved by Scrivens4v4
  46. P2 16:15Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward
  47. P2 16:50Shot by Bozak, saved by Ward
  48. P2 16:57Shot by Stewart, saved by Scrivens
  49. P2 17:50Shot by Skinner, saved by Scrivens
  50. P2 19:21Bozak: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Tlusty, Sutter, Faulk · TOR Liles, Steckel, Franson, Frattin, Bozak

  51. P2 19:38Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Scrivens5v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 2:34Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward
  55. P3 3:08Colborne: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ponikarovsky, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Schenn, Colborne, Gardiner

  56. P3 3:08LaRose: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ponikarovsky, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Schenn, Colborne, Gardiner

  57. P3 4:06Ponikarovsky: Elbowing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Ponikarovsky, Jokinen, McBain · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson

  58. P3 4:29Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward3v4
  59. P3 4:31Goal by Kessel (Lupul, Phaneuf)3v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Sutter · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel

  60. P3 4:48Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward4v4
  61. P3 4:51Shot by Frattin, saved by Ward4v4
  62. P3 6:19Shot by Crabb, saved by Ward
  63. P3 6:27Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Ward
  64. P3 7:00Shot by Sutter, saved by Scrivens
  65. P3 7:52Shot by Dupuis, saved by Ward
  66. P3 9:09Shot by Ruutu, saved by Scrivens
  67. P3 9:41Shot by Staal, saved by Scrivens
  68. P3 10:20Shot by Lupul, saved by Ward
  69. P3 10:59Shot by Sutter, saved by Scrivens
  70. P3 12:31Shot by Ruutu, saved by Scrivens
  71. P3 13:06Shot by Staal, saved by Scrivens
  72. P3 13:08Goal by Skinner (Staal, Allen)+10 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ruutu, Gleason, Staal, Skinner · TOR Connolly, Liles, Franson, Kulemin, Frattin

  73. P3 13:19Shot by Sutter, saved by Scrivens
  74. P3 15:02Shot by Staal, saved by Scrivens
  75. P3 15:05Shot by Ruutu, saved by Scrivens
  76. P3 15:04Shot by Ruutu, saved by Scrivens
  77. P3 16:24Kessel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ponikarovsky, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  78. P3 16:41Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward5v4
  79. P3 17:16Shot by Skinner, saved by Scrivens5v4
  80. P3 18:00Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ward5v4
  81. P3 19:00Goal by Kessel (Liles, Connolly)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Harrison, Dwyer, Tlusty, Sutter · TOR Connolly, Liles, Lupul, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak

  82. P3 19:59Shot by Liles, saved by Ward5v6
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final