Sun, Nov 20, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 86% of the time.
82%
10%
CAR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:59 | 0.19 | 24.2% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:30 | 0.06 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.01 | 18.7% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.17 | 16.9% | +3.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.71 | 27.5% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.11 | 42.1% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.01 | 13.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.23 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 15.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.11 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.16 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.29 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:06 | 0.09 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:42 | 0.11 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:07 | 0.00 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:37 | 0.09 | 22.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 5.06 | +2.1 | 58:54 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:13 | 0.15 | 72.5% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.08 | 74.2% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:39 | 0.04 | 87.4% | +10.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 21:19 | 0.69 | 89.2% | +29.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 20:39 | 0.66 | 84.3% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.03 | 87.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 18:37 | 0.63 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.36 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:06 | 0.21 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.02 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.03 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:32 | 1.00 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.17 | 46.9% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:29 | 0.06 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.27 | 77.8% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:06 | 0.14 | 93.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:00 | 0.51 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:23 | 0.00 | 82.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.37 | +0.4 | 60:00 |