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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 22, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

7

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Goal by MacArthur (Gardiner, Connolly)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Shannon, Hedman · TOR Connolly, MacArthur, Kulemin, Schenn, Gardiner

  3. P1 0:51Shot by Lupul, saved by Roloson
  4. P1 3:27Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 3:27Dupuis: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Downie, Hedman · TOR Steckel, Dupuis, Rosehill, Schenn, Gardiner

  6. P1 3:35Shot by Kulemin, saved by Roloson5v4
  7. P1 4:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  8. P1 5:54Shot by Kubina, saved by Gustavsson
  9. P1 6:42Shot by Hall, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 7:42Gardiner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Connolly, MacArthur, Kulemin, Schenn, Gardiner

  11. P1 8:38Goal by Lecavalier (Stamkos, Malone)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Stamkos · TOR Connolly, Liles, Crabb, Schenn

  12. P1 11:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Gustavsson
  13. P1 11:27Shot by Hall, saved by Gustavsson
  14. P1 11:31Shot by Hall, saved by Gustavsson
  15. P1 11:37Shot by Pyatt, saved by Gustavsson
  16. P1 12:52Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Gustavsson
  17. P1 13:51Shot by Lupul, saved by Roloson
  18. P1 15:39Shot by Purcell, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 15:41Shot by Stamkos, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P1 15:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P1 16:20Hedman: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Shannon, Hedman · TOR Connolly, Liles, MacArthur, Kulemin, Schenn

  22. P1 17:56Goal by Connolly (Kulemin, Franson)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Pyatt · TOR Connolly, Franson, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Colborne

  23. P1 18:44Kubina: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Pyatt · TOR Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  24. P1 19:20Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson3v5
  25. P1 19:22Goal by Bozak (Kessel, Connolly)3v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Hall, Thompson · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  26. P1 19:54Shot by MacArthur, saved by Roloson4v5
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:37Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson4v5
  30. P2 0:48Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Roloson
  31. P2 0:48Shot by Bozak, saved by Roloson
  32. P2 1:59Shot by Hedman, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 4:26Rosehill: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Shannon · TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Rosehill, Kulemin, Gunnarsson

  34. P2 5:23Shot by Malone, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  35. P2 7:26Shot by Gilroy, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 10:12Shot by Gilroy, saved by Gustavsson
  37. P2 11:13Shot by Dupuis, saved by Roloson
  38. P2 11:35Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Roloson
  39. P2 12:06Shot by Bozak, saved by Roloson
  40. P2 13:17Shot by Crabb, saved by Roloson
  41. P2 14:56Shot by Kessel, saved by Roloson
  42. P2 17:15Shot by Stamkos, saved by Gustavsson
  43. P2 17:45Goal by Colborne (Frattin, Liles)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Shannon · TOR Steckel, Frattin, Schenn, Colborne, Gardiner

  44. P2 18:58Shot by Bozak, saved by Roloson
  45. P2 19:52Shot by Gilroy, saved by Gustavsson
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:13Franson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy · TOR Liles, Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Bozak

  49. P3 1:13Purcell: Diving (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy · TOR Liles, Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Bozak

  50. P3 1:39Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  51. P3 2:02Shot by Hedman, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  52. P3 2:28Shot by Gardiner, saved by Roloson4v4
  53. P3 2:29Shannon: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Shannon, Stamkos, Gilroy · TOR Connolly, Liles, MacArthur, Gardiner

  54. P3 2:52Connolly: Interference (2 min)3v4

    On ice: TBL Hall, Thompson, Hedman · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel

  55. P3 3:07Goal by Bozak, unassisted3v3+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Hedman · TOR Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  56. P3 3:12Shot by Gilroy, saved by Gustavsson3v3
  57. P3 4:28Goal by Lupul (Bozak, Phaneuf)4v40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Gilroy · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Gardiner, Bozak

  58. P3 4:46Shot by Bergeron, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  59. P3 7:36Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Gustavsson
  60. P3 10:45Shot by Kessel, saved by Garon
  61. P3 11:16Shot by St. Louis, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P3 11:17Gardiner: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Shannon, Hedman · TOR Steckel, Dupuis, Rosehill, Schenn, Gardiner

  63. P3 13:55Shot by Hall, saved by Gustavsson
  64. P3 14:16Shot by Thompson, saved by Gustavsson
  65. P3 14:28Goal by Crabb (Frattin, Gardiner)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Moore, Pyatt, Gilroy, Hedman · TOR Crabb, Frattin, Schenn, Colborne, Gardiner

  66. P3 15:21Shot by Malone, saved by Gustavsson
  67. P3 15:37Shot by Kulemin, saved by Garon
  68. P3 18:11Stamkos: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Moore, Bergeron, Stamkos, Connolly · TOR Crabb, Rosehill, Franson, Colborne, Gardiner

  69. P3 18:11Gardiner: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Moore, Bergeron, Stamkos, Connolly · TOR Crabb, Rosehill, Franson, Colborne, Gardiner

  70. P3 18:11Stamkos: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Moore, Bergeron, Stamkos, Connolly · TOR Crabb, Rosehill, Franson, Colborne, Gardiner

  71. P3 18:11Gardiner: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Moore, Bergeron, Stamkos, Connolly · TOR Crabb, Rosehill, Franson, Colborne, Gardiner

  72. P3 18:19Shot by MacArthur, saved by Garon
  73. P3 19:38Shot by Dupuis, saved by Garon
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final