Tue, Nov 22, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
24%
9%
8%
58%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:06 | 0.05 | 62.6% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.00 | 71.0% | +7.1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 20:15 | 0.97 | 51.3% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 1 | 19:41 | 0.11 | 51.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.08 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:05 | 0.43 | 51.3% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:59 | 0.37 | 51.3% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 18:49 | 0.02 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.15 | 68.5% | +47.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 44.2% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.14 | 74.9% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.02 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.10 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:22 | 0.16 | 73.2% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.16 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.12 | 89.6% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 81.0% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:34 | 0.00 | 21.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.00 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:10 | 0.00 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 23:00 | 0.06 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.13 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:15 | 0.34 | 49.4% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:14 | 0.10 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 5 | 18:08 | 0.31 | 54.2% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:02 | 0.06 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:46 | 0.38 | 36.6% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.03 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.03 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.02 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:51 | 0.43 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:39 | 0.03 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:27 | 0.08 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:47 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 15 | 6 | .714 | 2.47 | −3.5 | 44:28 | |
| – | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 0.43 | −0.6 | 15:32 |