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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 25, 2011·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Dallas Stars 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 75% of the time.

DAL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 2:09Shot by Steckel, saved by Lehtonen
  4. P1 2:59Shot by Kulemin, saved by Lehtonen
  5. P1 3:10Shot by Eriksson, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 4:03Goal by Nystrom (Ryder, Benn)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Ryder, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Larsen · TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  7. P1 4:26Shot by Colborne, saved by Lehtonen
  8. P1 7:51Ryder: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Souray, Robidas, Ryder, Eriksson, Benn · TOR Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak

  9. P1 10:37Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 10:55Goal by Crabb (Phaneuf, Colborne)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Ribeiro, Ott, Fistric, Larsen, Vincour · TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Colborne

  11. P1 11:53Shot by Daley, saved by Gustavsson
  12. P1 12:16Gardiner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Souray, Robidas, Ribeiro, Ott, Vincour · TOR Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak

  13. P1 13:12Shot by Ott, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  14. P1 13:54Shot by Benn, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  15. P1 13:55Benn: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Souray, Robidas, Eriksson, Benn, Vincour · TOR Liles, Steckel, Dupuis, Schenn

  16. P1 14:53Goal by Phaneuf (Liles, Lupul)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Nystrom, Fistric, Dowell · TOR Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  17. P1 15:14Shot by Colborne, saved by Lehtonen
  18. P1 15:34Shot by Nystrom, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 16:35Lupul: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Ribeiro, Ryder, Daley, Eriksson, Grossmann · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 2:02Shot by Nystrom, saved by Gustavsson
  23. P2 2:53Shot by Crabb, saved by Lehtonen
  24. P2 4:38Goal by Nystrom (Dvorak, Benn)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dvorak, Daley, Nystrom, Grossmann, Benn · TOR Liles, Lupul, Franson, Kulemin, Bozak

  25. P2 5:07Shot by Eriksson, saved by Gustavsson
  26. P2 5:53Shot by Colborne, saved by Lehtonen
  27. P2 9:11Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Gustavsson
  28. P2 9:12Bozak: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Ribeiro, Ott, Fistric, Larsen, Vincour · TOR Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak

  29. P2 9:43Shot by Benn, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  30. P2 11:50Shot by Nystrom, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P2 12:30Shot by Wandell, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 12:37Shot by Petersen, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 13:55Dowell: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Ryder, Eriksson, Fistric, Benn, Larsen · TOR Connolly, MacArthur, Kessel, Kulemin, Schenn, Gardiner

  34. P2 14:37Shot by Bozak, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  35. P2 14:34Shot by Bozak, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  36. P2 15:17Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  37. P2 16:27Shot by Kulemin, saved by Lehtonen
  38. P2 18:34Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lehtonen
  39. P2 18:40Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehtonen
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 4:04Shot by Souray, saved by Gustavsson
  43. P3 5:00Shot by Benn, saved by Gustavsson
  44. P3 5:08Shot by Daley, saved by Gustavsson
  45. P3 5:38Shot by Eriksson, saved by Gustavsson
  46. P3 6:00Shot by Fiddler, saved by Gustavsson
  47. P3 6:02Shot by Nystrom, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P3 6:38Shot by Grossmann, saved by Gustavsson
  49. P3 6:55Goal by MacArthur (Connolly, Kulemin)+33 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Ribeiro, Ott, Daley, Grossmann, Vincour · TOR Connolly, Liles, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kulemin

  50. P3 7:51Shot by Grossmann, saved by Gustavsson
  51. P3 7:58Shot by Grossmann, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P3 8:18Shot by Ryder, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P3 10:42Shot by Benn, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P3 11:32Shot by Frattin, saved by Lehtonen
  55. P3 11:57Shot by Vincour, saved by Gustavsson
  56. P3 12:34Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 12:47Goal by Dvorak (Ribeiro, Larsen)+38 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dvorak, Ribeiro, Ott, Fistric, Larsen · TOR Liles, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Frattin, Colborne

  58. P3 14:42Shot by Lupul, saved by Lehtonen
  59. P3 15:27Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lehtonen
  60. P3 16:22Frattin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Larsen · TOR Liles, Crabb, Phaneuf, Frattin, Colborne

  61. P3 17:59Robidas: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Souray, Robidas, Nystrom, Eriksson, Benn · TOR Liles, Crabb, Phaneuf, Kulemin

  62. P3 19:27Shot by Lupul, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  63. P3 19:52Shot by Liles, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. OT 0:00Period start
  66. OT 1:23Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  67. OT 2:52Shot by Dupuis, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  68. OT 5:00Period end
  69. SO Period start
  70. SO Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehtonenother
  71. SO Shot by Eriksson, saved by Gustavssonother
  72. SO Shot by Colborne, saved by Lehtonenother
  73. SO Goal by Lupul, unassistedother
  74. SO Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Gustavssonother
  75. SO Period end
  76. SO Final