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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 27, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Ottawa Senators 4

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 63% of the time.

OTT winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Goal by Spezza (Gonchar, Karlsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Spezza, Greening, Filatov · CAR Ponikarovsky, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, Faulk

  3. P1 1:33Shot by Tlusty, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 2:11Shot by LaRose, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 2:18Shot by Greening, saved by Ward
  6. P1 3:20Condra: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson · CAR Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, Joslin, Skinner

  7. P1 3:29Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Anderson4v5
  8. P1 4:14Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Anderson4v5
  9. P1 5:35Shot by Spezza, saved by Ward
  10. P1 6:51Shot by Ruutu, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 8:59Shot by Allen, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 10:26Shot by Ruutu, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 11:43Shot by Sutter, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 12:25Shot by Sutter, saved by Anderson5v6
  15. P1 12:26Shot by McBain, saved by Anderson5v6
  16. P1 12:27Cowen: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Konopka, Winchester, Cowen, Rundblad, Butler · CAR Pitkanen, Dwyer, Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Sutter

  17. P1 13:21Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Anderson4v5
  18. P1 13:59Shot by LaRose, saved by Anderson4v5
  19. P1 14:36Shot by Allen, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 15:03Goal by Dwyer (Sutter, Gleason)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Greening, Filatov, Cowen, Rundblad · CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Sutter, Sutter

  21. P1 17:14Greening: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Spezza, Greening, Filatov · CAR Allen, Ponikarovsky, Jokinen, LaRose, Joslin

  22. P1 17:14Joslin: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Spezza, Greening, Filatov · CAR Allen, Ponikarovsky, Jokinen, LaRose, Joslin

  23. P1 17:21Sutter: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Michalek, Foligno, Karlsson · CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Tlusty, Sutter

  24. P1 18:03Goal by Spezza (Gonchar, Karlsson)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson · CAR Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  25. P1 18:12Shot by Gonchar, saved by Ward
  26. P1 18:29Shot by Gonchar, saved by Ward
  27. P1 19:36Skinner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson · CAR Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, Faulk, Skinner

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:45Shot by Karlsson, saved by Ward5v4
  31. P2 1:15Shot by Gonchar, saved by Ward5v4
  32. P2 1:39Foligno: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Foligno, Filatov, Karlsson, Butler · CAR Gleason, Pitkanen, Brent, Tlusty, Skinner

  33. P2 3:15Shot by Faulk, saved by Anderson4v5
  34. P2 3:34Shot by Winchester, saved by Ward
  35. P2 4:52Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Ward
  36. P2 5:12Shot by Ruutu, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 5:57Winchester: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Konopka, Winchester, Karlsson, Butler · CAR Ponikarovsky, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain

  38. P2 5:57Gleason: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Konopka, Winchester, Karlsson, Butler · CAR Ponikarovsky, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain

  39. P2 5:57Winchester: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Konopka, Winchester, Karlsson, Butler · CAR Ponikarovsky, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain

  40. P2 6:56Shot by McBain, saved by Anderson4v5
  41. P2 7:28Shot by Joslin, saved by Anderson4v5
  42. P2 7:37Shot by Joslin, saved by Anderson4v5
  43. P2 7:43Shot by Ruutu, saved by Anderson4v5
  44. P2 9:58Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 10:26Shot by Filatov, saved by Ward
  46. P2 10:36Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 11:23Shot by Daugavins, saved by Ward
  48. P2 11:38Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 13:11Shot by Cowen, saved by Ward
  50. P2 13:21Shot by Winchester, saved by Ward
  51. P2 13:37Shot by Ruutu, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 14:10Spezza: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Greening, Filatov, Cowen, Rundblad · CAR Allen, Brent, Staal, Stewart, Joslin, Sutter

  53. P2 14:30Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson4v5
  54. P2 15:18Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson4v5
  55. P2 16:10Shot by Smith, saved by Ward4v5
  56. P2 17:46Shot by Spezza, saved by Ward6v5
  57. P2 17:46Sutter: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Konopka, Foligno, Cowen, Rundblad, Butler · CAR Gleason, Brent, Stewart, Sutter, Faulk

  58. P2 18:37Shot by Gonchar, saved by Ward5v4
  59. P2 19:46Goal by Rundblad (Butler, Konopka)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Konopka, Filatov, Rundblad, Butler · CAR Pitkanen, Brent, Dwyer, Faulk

  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:36Spezza: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Greening, Filatov, Cowen, Rundblad · CAR Gleason, Dwyer, Tlusty, Sutter, Faulk

  63. P3 0:40Shot by McBain, saved by Anderson4v5
  64. P3 1:31Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson4v5
  65. P3 3:30Shot by Sutter, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 3:42Shot by Konopka, saved by Ward
  67. P3 3:51Shot by Stewart, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 4:17Staal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Staal, Faulk, Skinner

  69. P3 6:46Goal by Staal (Pitkanen, Ruutu)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Phillips, Daugavins, Condra, Smith · CAR Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain, Skinner

  70. P3 7:12Shot by Phillips, saved by Ward
  71. P3 7:51Shot by Spezza, saved by Ward
  72. P3 9:33Shot by Sutter, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 12:26Shot by Konopka, saved by Ward
  74. P3 12:25Shot by Winchester, saved by Ward
  75. P3 12:35Goal by Smith (Daugavins, Kuba)+11 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson · CAR Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain, Skinner

  76. P3 13:02Shot by Kuba, saved by Ward
  77. P3 13:21Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson
  78. P3 14:56Filatov: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Daugavins, Smith, Filatov, Karlsson · CAR Ruutu, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain, Skinner

  79. P3 16:48Shot by LaRose, saved by Anderson4v5
  80. P3 16:49Goal by Ponikarovsky (LaRose, Ruutu)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Condra, Smith · CAR Ponikarovsky, Ruutu, LaRose, Joslin, Faulk

  81. P3 18:16Smith: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson · CAR Ruutu, Staal, Joslin, Faulk, Skinner

  82. P3 19:06Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Anderson4v6
  83. P3 19:11Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson4v6
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final