Sun, Nov 27, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 63% of the time.
26%
10%
9%
54%
OTT winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 27:16 | 0.10 | 54.2% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:12 | 0.07 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:39 | 0.03 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:27 | 0.30 | 49.8% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 21:26 | 0.35 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:14 | 0.09 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.00 | 55.2% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.08 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16:28 | 0.52 | 53.4% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:04 | 0.20 | 26.0% | +6.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.48 | 18.2% | +6.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.13 | 58.4% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:38 | 0.03 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.01 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.05 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.00 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:50 | 0.03 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:29 | 0.16 | 80.4% | +18.4 |
| L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 1.89 | −2.1 | 58:30 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:52 | 0.01 | 55.5% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:42 | 0.09 | 49.7% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.07 | 50.3% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.01 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.42 | 53.8% | +10.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18:03 | 0.49 | 50.3% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.01 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.15 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.03 | 44.0% | +10.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.16 | 58.7% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.04 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.12 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:02 | 0.00 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.06 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:58 | 0.03 | 88.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:32 | 0.00 | 78.5% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 6:23 | 0.20 | 50.6% | +12.9 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 2.63 | −0.4 | 59:45 |