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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 3, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 58% of the time.

CAR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Crosby, saved by Boucher
  3. P1 1:11Shot by Malkin, saved by Boucher
  4. P1 2:05Shot by LaRose, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 3:57Shot by Gleason, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 4:40Shot by Ruutu, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 5:20Shot by Jokinen, saved by Johnson
  8. P1 6:52Shot by Nodl, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 7:18Shot by Allen, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 8:11Shot by Martin, saved by Boucher
  11. P1 8:50Shot by Sullivan, saved by Boucher
  12. P1 8:54Shot by Sullivan, saved by Boucher
  13. P1 9:28Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 9:52Shot by LaRose, saved by Johnson
  15. P1 11:51Shot by Gleason, saved by Johnson
  16. P1 14:19Shot by Ruutu, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 16:14Shot by Kennedy, saved by Boucher
  18. P1 16:54Shot by Allen, saved by Johnson
  19. P1 18:04Shot by Kunitz, saved by Boucher
  20. P1 18:23Shot by Dupuis, saved by Boucher
  21. P1 18:33Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  22. P1 19:56Dwyer: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Pitkanen, Dwyer, Tlusty, Sutter · PIT Orpik, Martin, Malkin, Neal, Staal

  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:56Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson4v5
  26. P2 1:34Shot by Crosby, saved by Boucher4v5
  27. P2 2:11Shot by Kennedy, saved by Boucher
  28. P2 2:26Shot by Kunitz, saved by Boucher
  29. P2 3:47Shot by Cooke, saved by Boucher
  30. P2 4:40Shot by Kunitz, saved by Boucher
  31. P2 5:27Shot by Malkin, saved by Boucher
  32. P2 5:28Shot by Malkin, saved by Boucher
  33. P2 6:48Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 7:59Shot by Despres, saved by Boucher
  35. P2 8:34Goal by Adams (Crosby, Kunitz)+23 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ponikarovsky, Jokinen, LaRose, Joslin · PIT Adams, Orpik, Kunitz, Crosby, Bortuzzo

  36. P2 9:56Shot by Tlusty, saved by Johnson
  37. P2 10:32Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Johnson
  38. P2 12:24Shot by Kunitz, saved by Boucher
  39. P2 16:30Shot by Neal, saved by Boucher
  40. P2 17:21Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Johnson
  41. P2 18:41Goal by McBain (Pitkanen, Stewart)6v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal, Stewart, McBain, Skinner · PIT Park, Asham, Adams, Orpik, Niskanen

  42. P2 18:47Shot by Crosby, saved by Boucher
  43. P2 19:38Shot by Crosby, saved by Boucher
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:11Shot by LaRose, saved by Johnson
  47. P3 0:59Shot by Gleason, saved by Johnson
  48. P3 1:20Shot by Kunitz, saved by Boucher
  49. P3 1:26Shot by Crosby, saved by Boucher
  50. P3 1:39Shot by Crosby, saved by Boucher
  51. P3 2:19Shot by Sutter, saved by Johnson
  52. P3 2:29Shot by Kennedy, saved by Boucher
  53. P3 2:57Shot by Cooke, saved by Boucher
  54. P3 4:27Shot by Dupuis, saved by Boucher
  55. P3 6:25Shot by Kennedy, saved by Boucher
  56. P3 7:08Shot by Kunitz, saved by Boucher
  57. P3 7:35Shot by Sullivan, saved by Boucher
  58. P3 8:33Goal by Asham (Adams, Martin)+34 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Allen, Ruutu, Staal, Skinner · PIT Asham, Adams, Martin, Staal, Bortuzzo

  59. P3 9:00Shot by Kennedy, saved by Boucher
  60. P3 9:11Ruutu: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Allen, Ruutu, Tlusty, Sutter · PIT Cooke, Orpik, Kennedy, Niskanen, Staal

  61. P3 9:11Staal: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Allen, Ruutu, Tlusty, Sutter · PIT Cooke, Orpik, Kennedy, Niskanen, Staal

  62. P3 9:38Shot by Crosby, saved by Boucher4v4
  63. P3 9:57Shot by Malkin, saved by Boucher4v4
  64. P3 10:00Goal by Dupuis (Niskanen, Malkin)4v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, Faulk · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Malkin, Niskanen

  65. P3 9:59Shot by Niskanen, saved by Boucher4v4
  66. P3 10:33Sullivan: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR Pitkanen, Tlusty, McBain, Sutter · PIT Sullivan, Martin, Crosby, Bortuzzo

  67. P3 10:42Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson4v3
  68. P3 11:10Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson4v3
  69. P3 11:54Shot by Jokinen, saved by Johnson5v4
  70. P3 12:28Shot by Dwyer, saved by Johnson5v4
  71. P3 12:29Goal by McBain (Dwyer, Jokinen)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ponikarovsky, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Dwyer, McBain · PIT Adams, Martin, Niskanen, Staal

  72. P3 13:46Shot by Neal, saved by Boucher
  73. P3 14:18Shot by Staal, saved by Boucher
  74. P3 15:31Shot by Niskanen, saved by Boucher
  75. P3 15:35Shot by Orpik, saved by Boucher
  76. P3 16:35Shot by Kaberle, saved by Johnson
  77. P3 17:34Asham: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Pitkanen, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  78. P3 17:56Dupuis: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Kaberle, Ruutu, Staal, McBain, Skinner · PIT Adams, Dupuis, Orpik, Martin

  79. P3 18:14Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson5v3
  80. P3 18:46Shot by Ruutu, saved by Johnsonother
  81. P3 19:04Cooke: Tripping (2 min)other

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain, Skinner · PIT Adams, Cooke, Orpik

  82. P3 19:23Shot by Faulk, saved by Johnsonother
  83. P3 19:40Shot by Faulk, saved by Johnsonother
  84. P3 19:41Shot by Jokinen, saved by Johnsonother
  85. P3 19:42Staal: Roughing (2 min)other

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Jokinen, Staal, McBain, Faulk, Skinner · PIT Adams, Orpik, Crosby

  86. P3 19:42Adams: Roughing (2 min)other

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Jokinen, Staal, McBain, Faulk, Skinner · PIT Adams, Orpik, Crosby

  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final