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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 3, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

New York Rangers 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 71% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Brewer, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:05Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon
  4. P1 1:24Goal by Downie (Stamkos, Purcell)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Bergeron, Downie, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy · NYR Gaborik, Sauer, Anisimov, Del Zotto, Stepan

  5. P1 2:22Shot by Prust, saved by Garon
  6. P1 4:36Shot by Anisimov, saved by Garon
  7. P1 4:40Shot by Girardi, saved by Garon
  8. P1 5:38Shot by Kubina, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 7:10Shot by Stepan, saved by Garon
  10. P1 11:18Shot by Richards, saved by Garon
  11. P1 11:35Shot by Richards, saved by Garon
  12. P1 12:19Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon
  13. P1 13:53Shot by Brewer, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 14:16Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 15:24Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Garon
  16. P1 17:19Shot by Shannon, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 18:05Shot by Malone, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 18:56Shot by Thompson, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 19:02Shot by Thompson, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 19:31Shot by Gilroy, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:57Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon
  24. P2 2:36Shot by Boyle, saved by Garon
  25. P2 2:54Shot by Eminger, saved by Garon
  26. P2 5:21Shot by Stepan, saved by Garon
  27. P2 5:30Shot by Clark, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 6:10Shot by Downie, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P2 6:36Shot by Callahan, saved by Garon
  30. P2 6:38Goal by Fedotenko (Richards, Callahan)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Bergeron, Thompson, Pyatt, Tyrell, Gilroy · NYR Richards, Fedotenko, Woywitka, Eminger, Callahan

  31. P2 10:17Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 10:23Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 10:57Shot by Anisimov, saved by Garon
  34. P2 11:54Shot by Hagelin, saved by Garon
  35. P2 13:09Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Garon
  36. P2 13:46Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 14:28Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 17:18Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Garon
  39. P2 17:25Shot by Callahan, saved by Garon
  40. P2 17:42Goal by Pyatt (Tyrell, Thompson)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Thompson, Pyatt, Tyrell, Hedman · NYR Richards, Fedotenko, Woywitka, Eminger, Callahan

  41. P2 17:53Shot by Anisimov, saved by Garon
  42. P2 19:07Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Garon
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:51Shot by Pyatt, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P3 0:53Shot by Pyatt, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P3 1:19Shot by Boyle, saved by Garon
  48. P3 2:25Shot by Kubina, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P3 4:31Shot by Sauer, saved by Garon
  50. P3 6:14Shot by Stepan, saved by Garon
  51. P3 6:16Goal by Anisimov (Stepan)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Moore, Bergeron, Downie, Gilroy · NYR Callahan, Sauer, Anisimov, Del Zotto, Stepan

  52. P3 6:38Shot by Mitchell, saved by Garon
  53. P3 7:41Shot by Girardi, saved by Garon
  54. P3 8:30Shot by McDonagh, saved by Garon
  55. P3 9:22Shot by Hagelin, saved by Garon
  56. P3 10:45Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 10:52Shot by Brewer, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 11:16Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 12:25Kubina: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Thompson, Pyatt, Tyrell · NYR Gaborik, Sauer, Anisimov, Del Zotto, Stepan

  60. P3 12:41Shot by Pyatt, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  61. P3 14:25Shot by Richards, saved by Garon4v5
  62. P3 14:45Shot by Hagelin, saved by Garon
  63. P3 16:39Shot by Anisimov, saved by Garon
  64. P3 16:41Goal by Stepan (Anisimov, McDonagh)+44 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Thompson, Pyatt, Tyrell · NYR Gaborik, Girardi, Anisimov, McDonagh, Stepan

  65. P3 16:58Callahan: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Stamkos, Gilroy · NYR Richards, Fedotenko, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh

  66. P3 17:43Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  67. P3 19:03Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist6v5
  68. P3 19:34Goal by Richards (McDonagh)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Bergeron, Stamkos, Hedman · NYR Richards, Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh

  69. P3 19:49Downie: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Downie, Stamkos · NYR Gaborik, Girardi, Anisimov, McDonagh, Stepan

  70. P3 19:57Shot by Mitchell, saved by Garon4v5
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final