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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 3, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Buffalo Sabres 3, Nashville Predators 2

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 80% of the time.

NSH winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Weber, saved by Miller
  3. P1 2:09Shot by Tootoo, saved by Miller
  4. P1 3:24Shot by Blum, saved by Miller
  5. P1 6:49Shot by Pominville, saved by Lindback
  6. P1 7:46Shot by Wilson, saved by Miller
  7. P1 8:21Shot by Hillen, saved by Miller
  8. P1 9:05Shot by Weber, saved by Miller
  9. P1 9:27Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lindback
  10. P1 10:00Goal by Adam (Leino, Ehrhoff)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Suter, Wilson, Blum, Mueller · BUF Ehrhoff, Gragnani, Leino, Adam, Kassian

  11. P1 10:13Shot by Pominville, saved by Lindback
  12. P1 12:24Shot by Roy, saved by Lindback
  13. P1 12:51Fisher: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Blum, Smith · BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Stafford, Ennis, McNabb

  14. P1 15:40Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  15. P1 16:02Shot by Legwand, saved by Miller
  16. P1 16:19Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lindback
  17. P1 17:27Goal by Kassian (Adam, Leino)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Tootoo, Blum, Josi · BUF Ehrhoff, Gragnani, Leino, Adam, Kassian

  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:45Shot by Hillen, saved by Miller
  21. P2 2:13Adam: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Hornqvist, Blum, Hillen, Wilson · BUF Roy, Stafford, Gragnani, Adam, McNabb

  22. P2 3:56Shot by Legwand, saved by Miller5v4
  23. P2 3:54Shot by Suter, saved by Miller5v4
  24. P2 3:52Shot by Legwand, saved by Miller5v4
  25. P2 5:34Smithson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Klein, Wilson, Hillen, Mueller · BUF Pominville, Vanek, Finley, Gragnani, Leino

  26. P2 6:50Shot by Roy, saved by Lindback4v5
  27. P2 10:21Shot by Hecht, saved by Lindback
  28. P2 11:17Shot by Weber, saved by Miller
  29. P2 15:38Shot by Weber, saved by Miller
  30. P2 15:54Tootoo: Charging (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Halischuk, Spaling · BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Gragnani, Tropp

  31. P2 15:54Tootoo: Game misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Halischuk, Spaling · BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Gragnani, Tropp

  32. P2 15:54Gaustad: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Halischuk, Spaling · BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Gragnani, Tropp

  33. P2 15:54Gaustad: Roughing (2 min)4v3

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Halischuk, Spaling · BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Gragnani, Tropp

  34. P2 15:54Gaustad: Misconduct (10 min)4v3

    On ice: NSH Tootoo, Suter, Weber, Halischuk, Spaling · BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Gragnani, Tropp

  35. P2 19:14Shot by Suter, saved by Miller4v4
  36. P2 19:21Shot by Suter, saved by Miller4v4
  37. P2 19:27Shot by Ennis, saved by Lindback4v4
  38. P2 19:58Shot by Blum, saved by Miller4v5
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:48Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lindback4v5
  42. P3 1:09Stafford: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Klein, Hillen, Smith · BUF Regehr, Roy, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis

  43. P3 1:18Shot by Suter, saved by Miller5v4
  44. P3 1:28Shot by Suter, saved by Miller5v4
  45. P3 1:48Shot by Suter, saved by Miller5v4
  46. P3 3:55Shot by Hillen, saved by Miller
  47. P3 3:58Shot by Halischuk, saved by Miller
  48. P3 4:09Shot by Hillen, saved by Miller
  49. P3 4:24Stafford: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Smithson, Suter, Weber, Wilson, Mueller · BUF Regehr, Roy, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis

  50. P3 4:54Goal by Smith (Legwand, Wilson)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Suter, Weber, Wilson, Smith · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Pominville, Sekera

  51. P3 5:48Shot by Klein, saved by Miller
  52. P3 7:30Shot by Wilson, saved by Miller
  53. P3 9:16Shot by Smithson, saved by Miller
  54. P3 10:09Shot by Regehr, saved by Lindback
  55. P3 10:59Shot by Ellis, saved by Lindback
  56. P3 11:18Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Miller
  57. P3 11:19Hornqvist: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Spaling, Mueller · BUF Ehrhoff, Ellis, Gragnani, Tropp, Leino

  58. P3 11:19Ehrhoff: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Suter, Weber, Hornqvist, Spaling, Mueller · BUF Ehrhoff, Ellis, Gragnani, Tropp, Leino

  59. P3 11:28Shot by Suter, saved by Miller4v4
  60. P3 12:02Shot by Legwand, saved by Miller4v4
  61. P3 14:42Shot by Halischuk, saved by Miller
  62. P3 15:10Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  63. P3 15:45Goal by Ennis (Roy)+10 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Blum, Wilson, Josi, Smith · BUF Roy, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Ennis, McNabb

  64. P3 18:25Goal by Legwand (Josi, Blum)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Wilson, Hornqvist, Blum, Wilson, Josi · BUF Roy, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Ennis, McNabb

  65. P3 19:50Shot by Legwand, saved by Miller6v5
  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final