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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 3, 2011·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Buffalo Sabres 3, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 80% of the time.

NSH winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hecht–Pominville–VanekRoy–Stafford–EnnisLeino–Adam–KassianGaustad–Ellis–TroppHecht–Ellis–KassianHecht–Stafford–EnnisPominville–Vanek–LeinoEllis–Vanek–TroppGaustad–Tropp–EnnisEhrhoff–GragnaniRegehr–SekeraRegehr–McNabbEhrhoff–McNabbSekera–McNabbGragnani–McNabbRegehr–EhrhoffEhrhoff–FinleySekera–FinleySekera–GragnaniFinley–Gragnani
Fisher–Erat–Smith2:500.02–0.002:190.07–0.240:560.02–0.000:380.02–0.001:000.00–0.003:290.05–0.002:430.04–0.001:520.07–0.24
Legwand–Hornqvist–Wilson1:230.00–0.074:230.25–0.031:100.01–0.000:310.00–0.000:530.10–0.001:190.18–0.081:530.00–0.012:290.11–0.001:280.08–0.001:020.00–0.06
Tootoo–Halischuk–Spaling2:040.00–0.030:330.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:530.02–0.000:470.01–0.020:470.03–0.001:430.01–0.021:210.00–0.001:190.03–0.000:430.02–0.030:580.03–0.000:360.00–0.00
Smithson–Wilson–Mueller1:230.01–0.000:440.03–0.001:130.00–0.130:460.00–0.001:040.00–0.130:430.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:570.01–0.00
Fisher–Erat–Hornqvist1:060.00–0.001:410.01–0.000:300.00–0.00
Halischuk–Spaling–Mueller0:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:320.07–0.000:490.18–0.00
Halischuk–Spaling–Smith1:020.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Klein–Hillen1:410.00–0.002:100.04–0.013:000.07–0.002:060.04–0.000:360.02–0.000:470.00–0.003:380.03–0.002:300.00–0.011:060.04–0.000:400.07–0.000:560.00–0.001:010.00–0.000:580.00–0.000:580.02–0.00
Suter–Weber3:370.03–0.033:210.29–0.020:330.00–0.000:300.10–0.000:420.00–0.000:440.03–0.002:370.30–0.021:570.00–0.001:460.13–0.001:590.08–0.000:540.05–0.000:410.03–0.00
Blum–Josi0:550.00–0.061:380.01–0.130:450.00–0.001:020.00–0.000:560.00–0.131:350.01–0.000:490.00–0.091:190.00–0.001:150.00–0.06
Weber–Josi2:030.02–0.001:290.02–0.000:300.00–0.001:490.04–0.000:430.00–0.000:540.00–0.00
Suter–Blum1:380.00–0.000:580.01–0.000:310.00–0.001:470.00–0.131:190.00–0.00
Suter–Klein0:310.01–0.020:440.01–0.02
Blum–Hillen
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndErat FFisher FSmith FLegwand FHornqvist FWilson FSpaling FHalischuk FTootoo FMueller FWilson FSmithson FWeber DJosi DKlein DHillen DBlum DSuter DLindback GVanek FPominville FHecht FGaustad FEllis FTropp FRoy FStafford FEnnis FLeino FKassian FAdam FRegehr DSekera DEhrhoff DGragnani DFinley DMcNabb DMiller G
NSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan SuterNSH2628:111:052:1963
Christian EhrhoffBUF2826:530:581:4822
Shea WeberNSH2626:081:002:1952
Andrej SekeraBUF2822:520:491:3526
Robyn RegehrBUF2622:070:511:3525
Jason PominvilleBUF2421:540:552:0126
Jochen HechtBUF2320:350:541:3544
Brayden McNabbBUF2420:190:511:5313
Thomas VanekBUF1919:551:032:0242
Marc-Andre GragnaniBUF2419:450:491:3803
Martin EratNSH2419:410:491:2042
David LegwandNSH2419:400:491:5353
Mike FisherNSH2218:500:511:3541
Drew StaffordBUF2118:470:541:4525
Colin WilsonNSH1917:540:571:3861
Jack HillenNSH2117:230:501:5433
Jonathon BlumNSH1817:010:572:2730
Derek RoyBUF1916:570:542:1324
Craig SmithNSH2316:510:441:2070
Kevin KleinNSH2016:230:491:3043
Patric HornqvistNSH1816:190:541:3841
Tyler EnnisBUF1915:380:491:1014
Roman JosiNSH1714:540:532:2730
Nick SpalingNSH2114:400:421:1152
Matt HalischukNSH2114:190:411:2452
Ville LeinoBUF1613:210:501:3202
Zack KassianBUF1511:000:441:1811
Matt EllisBUF1510:560:441:1103
Luke AdamBUF139:570:461:1902
Jordin TootooNSH119:390:531:2041
Chris MuellerNSH149:330:411:2610
Kyle WilsonNSH117:030:381:2620
Paul GaustadBUF107:020:420:5703
Corey TroppBUF116:420:371:0501
Jerred SmithsonNSH116:310:361:2630
Joe FinleyBUF64:560:491:1600