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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 3, 2011·American Airlines Center, Dallas

New York Islanders 5, Dallas Stars 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 56% of the time.

DAL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Parenteau, saved by Raycroft
  3. P1 1:18Shot by Benn, saved by DiPietro
  4. P1 1:34Bailey: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Fistric, Larsen · NYI Rolston, Mottau, Reese, Bailey, Ullstrom

  5. P1 3:07Shot by Robidas, saved by DiPietro5v4
  6. P1 3:47Shot by Robidas, saved by DiPietro
  7. P1 6:08Fistric: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Ryder, Eriksson, Fistric, Benn · NYI Reasoner, Mottau, Reese, Martin, Niederreiter

  8. P1 6:08Martin: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Ryder, Eriksson, Fistric, Benn · NYI Reasoner, Mottau, Reese, Martin, Niederreiter

  9. P1 6:08Martin: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Ryder, Eriksson, Fistric, Benn · NYI Reasoner, Mottau, Reese, Martin, Niederreiter

  10. P1 6:29Shot by Souray, saved by DiPietro5v4
  11. P1 7:54Shot by Ryder, saved by DiPietro5v4
  12. P1 7:55Ott: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Ribeiro, Petersen, Ryder, Ott · NYI Streit, Nielsen, Grabner, Hamonic

  13. P1 7:55Hamonic: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Ribeiro, Petersen, Ryder, Ott · NYI Streit, Nielsen, Grabner, Hamonic

  14. P1 7:55Ott: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Ribeiro, Petersen, Ryder, Ott · NYI Streit, Nielsen, Grabner, Hamonic

  15. P1 8:54Shot by Moulson, saved by Raycroft4v5
  16. P1 8:55Goal by Moulson (Tavares, Streit)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Ribeiro, Nystrom, Grossmann, Pardy · NYI Rolston, Streit, Parenteau, Moulson, Tavares

  17. P1 10:54Goal by Moulson (Tavares, Parenteau)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Souray, Robidas, Petersen, Dowell, Wandell · NYI Streit, Parenteau, Reese, Moulson, Tavares

  18. P1 11:19Shot by Vincour, saved by DiPietro
  19. P1 11:24Shot by Ribeiro, saved by DiPietro
  20. P1 11:34Vincour: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Ribeiro, Nystrom, Grossmann, Pardy, Vincour · NYI Reasoner, Streit, Hamonic, Ullstrom, Martin

  21. P1 11:54Shot by Moulson, saved by Raycroft4v5
  22. P1 13:26Shot by Ribeiro, saved by DiPietro4v5
  23. P1 17:15Shot by Vincour, saved by DiPietro
  24. P1 17:40Shot by Okposo, saved by Raycroft
  25. P1 17:59Shot by Ullstrom, saved by Raycroft
  26. P1 18:41Shot by Parenteau, saved by Raycroft
  27. P1 19:14Shot by Okposo, saved by Raycroft
  28. P1 19:58Shot by Hamonic, saved by Raycroft
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:28Shot by Ryder, saved by DiPietro
  32. P2 1:40Shot by Rolston, saved by Raycroft
  33. P2 2:03Shot by Rolston, saved by Raycroft
  34. P2 2:48Goal by Reese (Martin, Reasoner)+10 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Ryder, Eriksson, Grossmann, Pardy, Benn · NYI Reasoner, Jurcina, Reese, Okposo, Martin

  35. P2 3:24Shot by Ribeiro, saved by DiPietro
  36. P2 3:25Shot by Vincour, saved by DiPietro
  37. P2 3:27Goal by Vincour (Robidas, Ribeiro)+9 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Souray, Robidas, Ribeiro, Ott, Vincour · NYI Mottau, Parenteau, Moulson, Hamonic, Tavares

  38. P2 3:37Shot by Benn, saved by DiPietro
  39. P2 4:42Shot by Fiddler, saved by DiPietro
  40. P2 4:53Goal by Nystrom (Fiddler, Grossmann)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Nystrom, Grossmann, Pardy · NYI Rolston, Mottau, Reese, Bailey, Ullstrom

  41. P2 5:30Goal by Dowell (Wandell, Petersen)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Souray, Petersen, Dowell, Wandell, Larsen · NYI Staios, Reasoner, Jurcina, Grabner, Martin

  42. P2 5:46Shot by Streit, saved by Raycroft
  43. P2 5:57Goal by Moulson (Tavares, Parenteau)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Souray, Robidas, Ryder, Eriksson, Benn · NYI Streit, Parenteau, Moulson, Hamonic, Tavares

  44. P2 9:05Shot by Souray, saved by DiPietro
  45. P2 9:43Shot by Grossmann, saved by DiPietro
  46. P2 11:01Shot by Okposo, saved by Raycroft
  47. P2 11:29Shot by Okposo, saved by Raycroft
  48. P2 13:44Dvorak: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Souray, Dvorak, Robidas, Fiddler, Nystrom · NYI Mottau, Parenteau, Reese, Moulson, Bailey

  49. P2 14:23Shot by Moulson, saved by Raycroft4v5
  50. P2 14:48Shot by Benn, saved by DiPietro4v5
  51. P2 16:08Goal by Wandell (Dowell, Dvorak)6v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dvorak, Fiddler, Fistric, Dowell, Wandell, Larsen · NYI Reasoner, Mottau, Reese, Okposo, Grabner

  52. P2 17:10Goal by Moulson (Parenteau)+27 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Souray, Robidas, Ribeiro, Ott, Vincour · NYI Staios, Jurcina, Parenteau, Moulson, Tavares

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:22Shot by Parenteau, saved by Raycroft
  56. P3 1:09Shot by Souray, saved by Montoya
  57. P3 2:51Shot by Larsen, saved by Montoya
  58. P3 3:24Shot by Grabner, saved by Raycroft
  59. P3 3:43Shot by Souray, saved by Montoya
  60. P3 4:00Shot by Bailey, saved by Raycroft
  61. P3 4:33Shot by Grabner, saved by Raycroft
  62. P3 5:03Shot by Streit, saved by Raycroft
  63. P3 7:34Shot by Benn, saved by Montoya
  64. P3 7:36Shot by Eriksson, saved by Montoya
  65. P3 8:12Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Montoya
  66. P3 8:19Shot by Hamonic, saved by Raycroft
  67. P3 10:31Shot by Nielsen, saved by Raycroft
  68. P3 11:31Shot by Pardy, saved by Montoya
  69. P3 12:19Shot by Ullstrom, saved by Raycroft
  70. P3 14:11Shot by Petersen, saved by Montoya
  71. P3 17:27Shot by Larsen, saved by Montoya
  72. P3 18:36Shot by Souray, saved by Montoya
  73. P3 18:51Shot by Benn, saved by Montoya6v5
  74. P3 18:53Shot by Benn, saved by Montoya6v5
  75. P3 19:50Shot by Ryder, saved by Montoya6v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final