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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 4, 2011·Pepsi Center, Denver

Detroit Red Wings 2, Colorado Avalanche 4

Away

Detroit Red Wings

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 89% of the time.

COL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:57Shot by Winnik, saved by Conklin
  3. P1 5:34Filppula: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Hejduk, O'Byrne, Hejda, Winnik, Stastny, Duchene · DET Lidstrom, Stuart, Zetterberg, Filppula, Hudler

  4. P1 6:37Shot by Duchene, saved by Conklin5v4
  5. P1 6:40Shot by Stastny, saved by Conklin5v4
  6. P1 6:51Shot by Conner, saved by Varlamov5v4
  7. P1 8:45Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 8:59Shot by Miller, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 9:05Shot by Porter, saved by Conklin
  10. P1 9:22Shot by Johnson, saved by Conklin
  11. P1 9:24Shot by Jones, saved by Conklin
  12. P1 10:29Shot by Franzen, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 13:29Quincey: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL McClement, Hejda, Quincey, Jones, O'Reilly · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler, Ericsson, Franzen

  14. P1 13:56Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Varlamov4v5
  15. P1 14:44Shot by Franzen, saved by Varlamov4v5
  16. P1 15:08Goal by Franzen (Datsyuk, Lidstrom)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejda, Johnson, Galiardi, Landeskog · DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, Hudler, Franzen

  17. P1 15:06Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Varlamov4v5
  18. P1 15:29Shot by Kronwall, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 15:44Shot by Jones, saved by Conklin
  20. P1 18:57Shot by Ericsson, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 19:25Shot by Helm, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:26Goal by O'Reilly (Landeskog)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Quincey, O'Brien, O'Reilly, Landeskog · DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, White, Franzen

  25. P2 0:37Shot by Duchene, saved by Conklin
  26. P2 0:43Ericsson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Jones, Stastny, Johnson, Wilson, Duchene · DET Cleary, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Hudler, Ericsson

  27. P2 1:25Shot by Landeskog, saved by Conklin5v4
  28. P2 1:24Shot by Landeskog, saved by Conklin5v4
  29. P2 1:44Shot by Quincey, saved by Conklin5v4
  30. P2 1:47Shot by Quincey, saved by Conklin5v4
  31. P2 1:48Shot by Jones, saved by Conklin5v4
  32. P2 2:11Goal by Stastny (Duchene)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Quincey, Jones, Stastny, Wilson, Duchene · DET Lidstrom, Stuart, Zetterberg, Abdelkader

  33. P2 2:09Shot by Duchene, saved by Conklin5v4
  34. P2 3:12Shot by Johnson, saved by Conklin
  35. P2 3:13Shot by Johnson, saved by Conklin
  36. P2 3:15Shot by Porter, saved by Conklin
  37. P2 5:26Johnson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL McClement, Winnik, Johnson, Wilson, Galiardi · DET Holmstrom, Stuart, Miller, Kindl, Helm

  38. P2 6:21Shot by White, saved by Varlamov4v5
  39. P2 7:08Shot by Landeskog, saved by Conklin4v5
  40. P2 7:09Shot by Landeskog, saved by Conklin4v5
  41. P2 9:44Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 10:33Landeskog: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Hejda, Wilson, O'Reilly, Landeskog · DET Cleary, Ericsson, Kindl, Helm, Conner

  43. P2 11:50Shot by Kronwall, saved by Varlamov4v5
  44. P2 14:49Shot by Duchene, saved by Conklin
  45. P2 15:51Kronwall: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL O'Brien, Jones, Stastny, Wilson, Duchene · DET Holmstrom, Stuart, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Miller

  46. P2 16:43Shot by Johnson, saved by Conklin5v4
  47. P2 17:43Shot by Landeskog, saved by Conklin5v4
  48. P2 17:51Shot by Wilson, saved by Conklin5v4
  49. P2 18:33Shot by O'Brien, saved by Conklin
  50. P2 19:18Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:13Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 0:53Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 1:16O'Byrne: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL O'Byrne, Hejda, Jones, Stastny, Duchene · DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Datsyuk, White, Franzen

  56. P3 2:03Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Varlamov4v5
  57. P3 5:08Goal by Cleary (Zetterberg, Bertuzzi)+27 pts WP

    On ice: COL McClement, O'Byrne, Hejda, Winnik, Galiardi · DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Cleary, Zetterberg, White

  58. P3 5:22Shot by Franzen, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 5:36Shot by Galiardi, saved by Conklin
  60. P3 5:35Shot by McClement, saved by Conklin
  61. P3 5:53Shot by Landeskog, saved by Conklin
  62. P3 6:48Shot by Miller, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 6:55Shot by Stuart, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 7:24Wilson: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL McClement, Hejda, Winnik, Wilson, Duchene · DET Bertuzzi, Stuart, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Hudler, Abdelkader

  65. P3 9:22Goal by Galiardi (Landeskog)4v5+30 pts WP

    On ice: COL Quincey, O'Brien, Galiardi, Landeskog · DET Stuart, Kronwall, Miller, Abdelkader, Helm

  66. P3 13:09Shot by Stuart, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 13:17Shot by Duchene, saved by Conklin
  68. P3 13:38Shot by Conner, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 14:13Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 14:19Shot by White, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 15:36Shot by White, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 16:26Shot by O'Byrne, saved by Conklin
  73. P3 17:02Shot by Duchene, saved by Conklin
  74. P3 17:37Shot by Porter, saved by Conklin
  75. P3 19:07Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Varlamov5v6
  76. P3 19:26Goal by O'Reilly (McClement, Winnik)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL McClement, Quincey, O'Brien, Winnik, O'Reilly · DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Franzen

  77. P3 19:55Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Varlamov
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final