Sun, Dec 4, 2011·Pepsi Center, Denver
Detroit Red Wings 2, Colorado Avalanche 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 89% of the time.
85%
COL winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:36 | 0.13 | 47.6% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:56 | 0.10 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:38 | 0.11 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:37 | 0.56 | 64.0% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 20:55 | 0.33 | 33.1% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 20:10 | 0.21 | 22.5% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.07 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.01 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.21 | 63.8% | +27.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.15 | 32.3% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.06 | 13.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.10 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:51 | 0.15 | 13.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.01 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:40 | 0.14 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:51 | 0.03 | 14.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 4.66 | +1.7 | 58:58 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.13 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.01 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.01 | 39.3% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.05 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.88 | 60.1% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:10 | 0.14 | 43.3% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 19:08 | 0.04 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 18:40 | 0.83 | 50.9% | +50.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:54 | 0.43 | 64.8% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.17 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.02 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.77 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.89 | 75.8% | +18.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.34 | 41.9% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:06 | 0.32 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:57 | 0.02 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:04 | 0.27 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:59 | 0.00 | 83.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.36 | +0.4 | 59:43 |