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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 17, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Vancouver Canucks 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Vancouver Canucks

5

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:02Goal by Higgins (Edler, Salo)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak · VAN Salo, Higgins, Kesler, Edler, Raymond

  3. P1 2:04Shot by Bieksa, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 3:17Ballard: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Liles, Armstrong, MacArthur, Franson · VAN Ballard, Rome, Lapierre, Mancari, Weise

  5. P1 3:56Shot by Liles, saved by Luongo5v4
  6. P1 3:58Goal by Lupul (Bozak, Liles)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak · VAN Salo, Burrows, Kesler, Edler

  7. P1 4:48Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Gustavsson
  8. P1 4:56Shot by Grabovski, saved by Luongo
  9. P1 5:29Shot by Ballard, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 6:03Shot by Edler, saved by Gustavsson
  11. P1 6:35Shot by Hansen, saved by Gustavsson
  12. P1 7:10Shot by Franson, saved by Luongo
  13. P1 7:45Shot by Frattin, saved by Luongo
  14. P1 8:14Shot by Raymond, saved by Gustavsson
  15. P1 8:23Shot by Armstrong, saved by Luongo
  16. P1 9:12Shot by Burrows, saved by Gustavsson
  17. P1 11:13Shot by Kesler, saved by Gustavsson
  18. P1 11:59Shot by Sedin, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 12:57Aulie: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie, Frattin, Schenn · VAN Malhotra, Ballard, Rome, Hansen, Hodgson

  20. P1 13:04Shot by Edler, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  21. P1 14:38Shot by Connolly, saved by Luongo4v5
  22. P1 14:48Shot by Hodgson, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  23. P1 15:59Shot by Kulemin, saved by Luongo
  24. P1 17:21Shot by Lupul, saved by Luongo
  25. P1 18:43Shot by Burrows, saved by Gustavsson
  26. P1 19:40Shot by Kessel, saved by Luongo
  27. P1 19:54Shot by Raymond, saved by Gustavsson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:33Shot by Sedin, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P2 0:49Goal by Raymond (Kesler, Higgins)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Bozak · VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Higgins, Kesler, Raymond

  32. P2 3:14Shot by Schenn, saved by Luongo
  33. P2 3:28Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Gustavsson
  34. P2 4:05Shot by Raymond, saved by Gustavsson
  35. P2 4:41Shot by Burrows, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 5:03Shot by Kulemin, saved by Luongo
  37. P2 5:42Shot by Lapierre, saved by Gustavsson
  38. P2 5:43Shot by Lapierre, saved by Gustavsson
  39. P2 5:43Connolly: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Armstrong, MacArthur, Aulie, Schenn · VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Lapierre, Mancari, Weise

  40. P2 5:43Weise: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Armstrong, MacArthur, Aulie, Schenn · VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Lapierre, Mancari, Weise

  41. P2 6:12Shot by Bieksa, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  42. P2 6:26Shot by Kesler, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  43. P2 6:57Shot by Lupul, saved by Luongo4v4
  44. P2 7:33Goal by Bozak (Kessel)4v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · VAN Salo, Sedin, Sedin, Edler

  45. P2 9:32Shot by Frattin, saved by Luongo
  46. P2 10:41Shot by Salo, saved by Gustavsson
  47. P2 11:13Shot by Connolly, saved by Luongo
  48. P2 12:43Shot by Edler, saved by Gustavsson
  49. P2 13:17Shot by Burrows, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P2 16:51Shot by Crabb, saved by Luongo
  51. P2 17:39Shot by Frattin, saved by Luongo
  52. P2 17:43Shot by Grabovski, saved by Luongo
  53. P2 19:16Goal by Sedin (Burrows, Bieksa)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Bieksa, Burrows

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 3:13Shot by Lapierre, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 3:45Shot by Burrows, saved by Gustavsson
  58. P3 3:57Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Gustavsson
  59. P3 4:02Shot by Sedin, saved by Gustavsson
  60. P3 4:25Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Luongo
  61. P3 6:50Shot by Sedin, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P3 7:36Shot by MacArthur, saved by Luongo
  63. P3 9:48Shot by Sedin, saved by Gustavsson
  64. P3 10:10Shot by Crabb, saved by Luongo
  65. P3 10:36Shot by Frattin, saved by Luongo
  66. P3 10:56Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Gustavsson
  67. P3 14:06Goal by Burrows (Sedin, Hamhuis)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Armstrong, Crabb, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Bieksa, Burrows, Edler

  68. P3 15:32Shot by Frattin, saved by Luongo
  69. P3 16:38Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Luongo
  70. P3 17:17Goal by Kessel (Bozak, Liles)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Bozak · VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Higgins, Kesler, Raymond

  71. P3 17:42Shot by Kessel, saved by Luongo
  72. P3 18:14Shot by Lupul, saved by Luongo
  73. P3 18:20Goal by Hansen, unassisted+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak · VAN Hamhuis, Bieksa, Higgins, Kesler, Hansen

  74. P3 18:46Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Luongo6v5
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final